F. Auger-Aliassime vs K. Khachanov - US Open Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds

Félix Auger-Aliassime

1 - 3

7-6 · 3-6 · 2-6 · 2-6

Karen Khachanov

#50

HardUS Open1/32 - finals

Final

S1S2S3S4

Félix Auger-Aliassime

7322

Karen Khachanov

6666

Comparison of analyst and AI predictions

Predicto AI

Correct

F. Auger-Aliassime to win first set

@1.31

View Reasoning

Félix Auger-Aliassime has a strong chance of winning the first set, given his higher ranking and recent performance compared to Khachanov's struggles. The Canadian's aggressive style is well-suited for hard courts, where he can exploit Khachanov's lack of confidence. Their even head-to-head record suggests a competitive match, but Auger-Aliassime's current form makes him the favorite to take the first set.

Human Analyst

Incorrect

F. Auger-Aliassime to win

@1.31

View Reasoning

Félix Auger-Aliassime, ranked #4, has shown better form recently compared to Karen Khachanov, who is ranked #50 and has lost four consecutive matches. On hard courts, Auger-Aliassime's powerful serve and aggressive baseline play give him a significant advantage. Their head-to-head record is tied, but Auger-Aliassime's current form suggests he is more likely to secure the win.

Both back Félix Auger-Aliassime—different markets

Rankings & Form

Felix Auger-Aliassime enters this US Open clash as the clear favorite, holding the ATP No. 4 spot with 4640 points. His recent form reads WLWWL, showing resilience and an ability to close out matches effectively. Karen Khachanov, ranked No. 50 with 1050 points, has struggled lately, posting a WLLLL run. This contrast in current momentum will be a key factor.

Head-to-Head Record

The pair's four previous meetings have been tightly contested, with each player winning twice. Notably, Khachanov has edged Auger-Aliassime 2-1 in their latest matches at Halle and Hertogenbosch, while Felix claimed a narrow 2-1 advantage at Cincinnati. This parity suggests the match could be competitive despite the rankings gap.

Playing Styles & Tactics

Auger-Aliassime’s aggressive baseline game and solid serve give him an upper hand on hard courts like the US Open. Khachanov relies on heavy groundstrokes and powerful serves but has been inconsistent recently, which might play into Felix’s hands. The Canadian’s ability to dictate rallies and convert break points could prove decisive.

Match Prediction

Given the rankings, form, and surface, Auger-Aliassime is favored to win here, with expert odds around 1.40. The AI also favors Felix taking the first set at roughly 1.75. While Khachanov’s past wins show he can challenge, the current momentum and tactical matchup lean heavily towards the Canadian advancing.

Martin Anderson

Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across European football markets. See the public track record.

Community Predictions

260

Match Winner

Total Sets

Match Statistics

Post-match, live data

Félix Auger-Aliassime

Karen Khachanov

12
Aces
12
8
Double Faults
4
58%
1st Serve %
50%
67%
1st Serve Won
77%
41%
2nd Serve Won
61%
65%
Break Points Saved
78%
22%
Break Points Won
35%
43
Winners
37
47
Unforced Errors
30

Match momentum

Félix Auger-AliassimeKaren Khachanov

Cumulative game lead across the match

Frequently Asked Questions

What's your prediction for this match?

The prediction favors F. Auger-Aliassime to win against K. Khachanov, considering the ATP ranking gap where Auger-Aliassime is #4 with 4640 points compared to Khachanov's #50 with 1050 points. Auger-Aliassime's recent form of WLWWL contrasts with Khachanov's struggling WLLLL run. Although their head-to-head is balanced at 2-2, Auger-Aliassime's higher ranking and better momentum make him the likely winner.

Which player has better recent form?

F. Auger-Aliassime is showing stronger recent form with a 3-2 match record in the last five, including wins against higher-ranked opponents, as indicated by his WLWWL string. In contrast, K. Khachanov has struggled with a 1-4 record recently, reflected in his WLLLL pattern and consecutive losses. This momentum difference suggests Auger-Aliassime is in better shape heading into the US Open match.

What are the best betting opportunities?

The best betting markets for F. Auger-Aliassime vs K. Khachanov include the match winner, where Auger-Aliassime is favored around 1.40 odds, reflecting his higher ranking and form. The first set winner market also offers value with Auger-Aliassime at approximately 1.75 odds. Considering the form and ranking gap, set betting and total games markets could be profitable, especially leaning towards Auger-Aliassime winning in straight sets or with a limited number of games lost.

How do these players match up head-to-head?

The head-to-head record between F. Auger-Aliassime and K. Khachanov is evenly matched at 2-2 over four encounters. Khachanov won twice at Halle (1-2) and Hertogenbosch (0-2), while Auger-Aliassime took Cincinnati (1-2) and Hertogenbosch (0-2). This balanced H2H indicates competitive matches, but recent form and rankings suggest a slight edge for Auger-Aliassime.

How does the surface favor each player?

The US Open is played on hard courts, a surface that generally suits F. Auger-Aliassime’s aggressive baseline style and solid serve, which is supported by his strong recent performances. K. Khachanov, while capable on hard courts, has shown inconsistent results as seen in his recent form. This surface advantage for Auger-Aliassime aligns with the expert and AI picks favoring him in this matchup.

Should I bet on the favorite or underdog?

The betting value lies clearly with F. Auger-Aliassime to win, given his top 5 ranking, superior recent form, and balanced head-to-head record against K. Khachanov. The match winner market at around 1.40 odds offers a solid return for a likely outcome. Additionally, the first set winner market at about 1.75 odds provides excellent value, as Auger-Aliassime’s momentum and surface advantage suggest he will start strong.