Fulham VS Hull City Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds (Oct 17, 2026)

Fulham FCFulham

1 - 0

HT: 1-0

Hull City AFCHull City

Premier League·Craven Cottage

Comparison of analyst and AI predictions

Predicto AI

Incorrect

Draw

@4.16

View Reasoning

Both Fulham FC and Hull City AFC have competitive records, with Hull showing slightly better form at W7 D8 L5 compared to Fulham's W6 D6 L8. The head-to-head record also indicates a close contest, with Fulham winning 6 of the last 10 encounters but Hull winning 3, suggesting that a draw is a plausible outcome. Additionally, with both teams having BTTS rates around 45-50%, a draw could reflect a hard-fought stalemate.

Human Analyst

Correct

Under 2.5 goals

@2.15

View Reasoning

Fulham FC has a clean sheet rate of only 30% and an over 2.5 goals rate of 40%, while Hull City AFC also maintains a low over 2.5 goals rate of 40%. With their head-to-head matches producing an average of 2.5 goals per game, this suggests a tendency for lower-scoring encounters. Thus, betting on under 2.5 goals seems prudent, especially given the defensive records of both teams.

Split call — see both takes above

Key Stats

Fulhamper gameHull City

1.8

xG for

0.8

2.1

xG against

1.7

54.4

Possession %

32.2

14.4

Shots

Fulham — last 5

DDLLL

Hull City — last 5

LDDWW

Team Stats

Fulhamper gameHull City

1.8

xG for

0.8

2.1

xG against

1.7

54.4

Possession %

32.2

14.4

Shots

4.4

Shots on tgt

3.8

5.6

Corners

3.4

BTTS %

Over 2.5 %

Clean sheet %

Fulham — last 5

DDLLL

Hull City — last 5

LDDWW

Last season

Team	W-D-L	GF/g	GA/g	CS
Fulham	15-7-16	1.2	1.3	9
Hull City	0-0-0	0	0	0

Fulham performance

Total Matches

Form

6W6D8L

Avg Scored

1.15

per match

Avg Conceded

1.25

per match

Goals Scored23

Goals Conceded25

Clean Sheets6 (30%)

BTTS50%

Over 2.545%

Over 3.520%

Hull City performance

Total Matches

Form

7W9D4L

Avg Scored

1.20

per match

Avg Conceded

0.90

per match

Goals Scored24

Goals Conceded18

Clean Sheets8 (40%)

BTTS50%

Over 2.540%

Over 3.515%

Expected Match Outcome

Fulham

1-1

(1.0 - 1.2 xG)

Hull City

Fulham

Scores1.15/g

Concedes1.25/g

Hull City

Scores1.20/g

Concedes0.90/g

Market Predictions

BTTS

50%

Over 2.5

43%

Over 3.5

18%

Under 2.5

58%

Predicto Power Ranking

This is a real-time strength score based on form, stats, and momentum — not just opinion.

Head-to-Head & Form

Fulham wins

Draws

Hull City wins

Recent meetings

07 Jan 2023Hull City

0–2

Fulham

12 Feb 2022Hull City

0–1

Fulham

21 Aug 2021Fulham

2–0

Hull City

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	9	8	0	1	+9	24
2	Manchester City	9	7	0	2	+10	21
3	Brighton	9	6	1	2	+17	19
4	Chelsea	9	5	1	3	+4	16
5	Liverpool	9	4	3	2	+2	15
6	Brentford	9	3	5	1	+7	14
7	Everton	9	3	4	2	0	13
8	Bournemouth	9	3	3	3	+1	12
9	Tottenham	9	3	3	3	0	12
10	Aston Villa	9	3	3	3	-3	12
11	Hull City	9	2	5	2	+1	11
12	Leeds	9	2	5	2	+1	11
13	Newcastle	9	3	2	4	-3	11
14	Ipswich	9	3	2	4	-4	11
15	Fulham	9	2	3	4	-2	9
16	Coventry	9	3	0	6	-7	9
17	Manchester United	9	1	4	4	-5	7
18	Crystal Palace	9	2	1	6	-12	7
19	Nottingham Forest	9	1	3	5	-6	6
20	Sunderland	9	1	2	6	-10	5

Overview

Fulham, currently 19th with 2 points, face Hull City, 8th with 8 points, in this Championship clash. Despite Fulham's historical strength against Hull (4 wins in last 5 meetings), their current form is poor (DDLLL). Hull have started better this season (LDDWW), showing defensive solidity with only 0.8 goals conceded per game. The match could be tightly contested given Fulham's higher possession (54.4%) but Hull's resilience.

Form & xG

Fulham average 1.81 xG and concede 2.08 xG per game this season, suggesting defensive issues despite a decent attacking threat. Hull's xG stats are lower (0.77 for, 1.68 against), reflecting a more defensive setup. Last season, Fulham scored 1.2 and conceded 1.3 per game, a baseline better than current form indicates. Hull have no last season data in this division, adding uncertainty.

Team news & key players

Fulham's Joshua King leads with 2.94 shots/90 and 1.6 on target, contributing 1 goal so far. Alex Iwobi provides creativity with 2.47 key passes/90. Hull's standout is McBurnie with 1.83 shots/90 and 1 assist, while defender Semi Ajayi adds a goal and solid tackling (1.27/90). Goalkeepers Leno (Fulham) and Tzolakis (Hull) have ratings 6.61 and 7.27 respectively, indicating potential defensive vulnerabilities.

Stats & betting angles

Fulham have a 60% BTTS rate this season, Hull only 40%, but Fulham's defense concedes 2.08 xG per game, suggesting chances for both sides. Over 2.5 goals has occurred in 40% of matches for both. Fulham's corners (5.6) exceed Hull's 3.4, aligning with their higher possession. Hull keep 60% clean sheets this season, indicating a strong defense that could limit Fulham's scoring.

Verdict

Given Fulham's poor form and defensive fragility (2.08 xG conceded), Hull's better recent results and defensive strength, this match may see Hull frustrate Fulham. Expect a close game with Fulham pressing but Hull defending well. A 2-1 Fulham win is plausible considering their historical dominance and attacking firepower from King and Iwobi. BTTS and Over 2.5 goals are reasonable given attacking stats and defensive lapses.

Martin Anderson

Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across European football markets. See the public track record.

Frequently Asked Questions

How has recent form influenced the likely outcome of the Fulham vs Hull City match?

Fulham's recent form is poor with DDLLL and only 2 points from 5 games, while Hull City have LDDWW and 8 points, indicating better momentum. Fulham's defense concedes 2.08 xG per game this season, worse than last season's 1.3, signaling vulnerability. Hull's improved form and defensive solidity (0.8 goals conceded per game) suggest they can challenge Fulham effectively.

What do the xG stats tell us about the attacking and defensive strengths of both teams?

Fulham averages 1.81 xG and concedes 2.08 xG per game, indicating attacking potential but defensive frailty. Hull's 0.77 xG for and 1.68 against show a more defensive approach with limited attacking threat. The disparity suggests Fulham likely to create more chances but Hull's defense could be tested.

Which key players are likely to influence the match outcome based on their per-90 stats?

Joshua King (Fulham) leads with 2.94 shots/90 and 1.6 on target/90, having scored 1 goal, making him a crucial attacker. Alex Iwobi's 2.47 key passes/90 provide creativity. For Hull, McBurnie offers 1.83 shots/90 and 1 assist, while Semi Ajayi contributes defensively with 1.27 tackles/90 and 1 goal, key in defense and set pieces.

How does defensive frailty or strength affect the BTTS likelihood in this game?

Fulham concedes 2.08 xG per game and has a 60% BTTS rate, showing defensive vulnerability. Hull concedes 1.68 xG but keeps clean sheets 60% of the time, lowering their BTTS to 40%. The contrast suggests BTTS is likely as Fulham’s defense is prone to conceding, while Hull’s attack is more limited.

Why might the match finish over or under 2.5 goals based on stats?

Both teams have a 40% rate of matches finishing over 2.5 goals this season. Fulham’s 1.81 xG and Hull’s 0.77 xG suggest moderate attacking output. Fulham’s higher corners (5.6 vs 3.4) and possession (54.4%) support attacking chances. Defensive frailty (2.08 xG conceded by Fulham) suggests at least 3 goals are possible, making Over 2.5 a viable bet.

What does the recent head-to-head record suggest about likely match dynamics?

Fulham have won 4 of the last 5 meetings against Hull, including 2-0 and 1-0 wins, showing historical dominance. The last 2 encounters ended 2-0 and 1-0 in Fulham's favor, suggesting tight but controlled wins. This indicates Fulham can manage Hull well but matches tend to be low to moderate scoring.

Is there any betting value in this game considering the stats and form?

Betting on Fulham to win 2-1 offers value given their historical dominance and attacking stats despite poor current form. The Over 2.5 goals and BTTS Yes markets align with the 1.81 xG for Fulham and 2.08 xG conceded, suggesting goals at both ends. Hull’s defensive record (60% clean sheets) tempers expectations but does not preclude scoring.