Elversberg VS Augsburg Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds (Oct 17, 2026)

SV 07 ElversbergElversberg

4 - 3

HT: 3-1

FC AugsburgAugsburg

Bundesliga·Waldstadion Kaiserlinde

Comparison of analyst and AI predictions

Predicto AI

Correct

Both Teams to Score

@1.44

View Reasoning

The Both Teams to Score (BTTS) prediction is supported by the high BTTS percentages for both teams, with SV 07 Elversberg at 75% and FC Augsburg at 70%. Both teams have shown reliability in finding the back of the net, with Elversberg scoring 47 goals and Augsburg 50 in their respective matches. Given these stats and the competitive nature of their previous encounter, where both teams scored, this bet is likely to be successful.

Human Analyst

Correct

Over 2.5 goals

@1.50

View Reasoning

The prediction of Over 2.5 goals is supported by both teams' attacking stats, with SV 07 Elversberg averaging a remarkable 3.13 goals per match (47GF/15 matches) and FC Augsburg averaging 3.57 goals (50GF/14 matches). Additionally, both teams have a high O2.5% of 75%, indicating a consistent trend of high-scoring games. Given their offensive strengths and the historical H2H match that featured 4 total goals, this bet appears promising.

Split call — see both takes above

Key Stats

SV Elversbergper gameFC Augsburg

1.8

xG for

2.4

2.1

xG against

2.2

42.5

Possession %

41.5

10.3

Shots

13.8

SV Elversberg — last 5

DLWW

FC Augsburg — last 5

LDWW

Team Stats

SV Elversbergper gameFC Augsburg

1.8

xG for

2.4

2.1

xG against

2.2

42.5

Possession %

41.5

10.3

Shots

13.8

4.5

Shots on tgt

7.3

3.8

Corners

4.8

BTTS %

Over 2.5 %

100

Clean sheet %

SV Elversberg — last 5

DLWW

FC Augsburg — last 5

LDWW

Last season

Team	W-D-L	GF/g	GA/g	CS
SV Elversberg	0-0-0	0	0	0
FC Augsburg	12-7-15	1.3	1.8	5

Elversberg performance

Total Matches

Form

10W4D6L

Avg Scored

2.30

per match

Avg Conceded

1.35

per match

Goals Scored46

Goals Conceded27

Clean Sheets5 (25%)

BTTS70%

Over 2.575%

Over 3.545%

Augsburg performance

Total Matches

Form

8W7D5L

Avg Scored

2.60

per match

Avg Conceded

1.90

per match

Goals Scored52

Goals Conceded38

Clean Sheets3 (15%)

BTTS75%

Over 2.580%

Over 3.570%

Expected Match Outcome

Elversberg

2-2

(2.1 - 2.0 xG)

Augsburg

Elversberg

Scores2.30/g

Concedes1.35/g

Augsburg

Scores2.60/g

Concedes1.90/g

Market Predictions

BTTS

73%

Over 2.5

78%

Over 3.5

58%

Under 2.5

23%

Predicto Power Ranking

This is a real-time strength score based on form, stats, and momentum — not just opinion.

Head-to-Head & Form

SV Elversberg wins

Draws

FC Augsburg wins

Recent meetings

07 Aug 2015SV Elversberg

1–3

FC Augsburg

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bayern München	8	5	3	0	+19	18
2	Borussia Dortmund	8	5	3	0	+8	18
3	SC Freiburg	8	5	1	2	+8	16
4	RB Leipzig	8	5	0	3	+11	15
5	Werder Bremen	8	4	3	1	+3	15
6	Bayer Leverkusen	8	4	1	3	+2	13
7	SV Elversberg	8	4	1	3	0	13
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	3	2	3	-5	11
9	FSV Mainz 05	8	3	1	4	0	10
10	FC Augsburg	8	2	3	3	+3	9
11	VfB Stuttgart	8	3	0	5	-1	9
12	1899 Hoffenheim	8	3	0	5	-2	9
13	1. FC Köln	8	2	3	3	-3	9
14	SC Paderborn 07	8	2	3	3	-3	9
15	Hamburger SV	8	3	0	5	-12	9
16	Union Berlin	8	1	4	3	-12	7
17	FC Schalke 04	8	1	3	4	-5	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	8	1	1	6	-11	4

Overview

SV Elversberg and FC Augsburg meet with both sides holding 7 points, positioned 7th and 4th respectively. Elversberg is adapting to this league with only 4 games played previously in higher leagues last season (0 goals, 0 conceded baseline). Augsburg's last season baseline in this competition showed 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game over 34 matches, indicating a more experienced side. The match on 17 October thus pits a newcomer against a more established competitor.

Form & xG

Elversberg's recent form is DLWW with 2 scored and 1.75 conceded per game, xG 1.79 for and 2.12 against, possession 42.5%. Augsburg shows LDWW in 4 games, scoring 2.75 and conceding 1.5 per game, with xG 2.43 for and 2.16 against, and possession 41.5%. Both teams have a high BTTS rate of 75%, with Augsburg at 100% over 2.5 goals, Elversberg 75%. Augsburg's underlying numbers suggest a stronger attack, but defensive frailty remains for both.

Team news & key players

Elversberg's key attacker Lukas Petkov averages 1.53 shots and 1.02 OT per 90 with 1 goal and 1 assist so far. Midfielder F. Keidel contributes 1 goal with 1.31 key passes per 90. Augsburg's F. Rieder leads with 3 assists and 1.03 shots per 90, while C. Brackelmann has 1 goal and 1.03 shots per 90. Defensive contributions by Augsburg's Banks and Brackelmann with over 3 tackles per 90 could influence defensive solidity.

Stats & betting angles

Both teams have 25% clean sheets this season, conceding over 1.5 goals per game on average. Augsburg's higher shots per game (13.8 vs 10.3) and higher xG (2.43 vs 1.79) suggest attacking edge. Both have 75% BTTS, and Augsburg 100% O2.5, Elversberg 75%. Last season's defensive numbers favour Augsburg but current season small sample sizes temper confidence. The solitary H2H from 2015 ended 3-1 to Augsburg, indicating potential for multiple goals.

Verdict

Expect a competitive match with both sides likely to score and a total over 2.5 goals given the current BTTS rates and xG profiles. Augsburg's attacking superiority and experience in this league provide a slight edge for a win, but Elversberg's recent form and home advantage suggest they will score as well. A 2-1 scoreline aligns with these stats and betting trends.

Martin Anderson

Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across European football markets. See the public track record.

Frequently Asked Questions

How has recent form impacted the expected outcome?

Elversberg’s form is DLWW, while Augsburg is LDWW over 4 games. Both teams scored above 2 goals per game recently (2.0 and 2.75 respectively). Despite Elversberg’s defensive fragility (1.75 conceded), Augsburg also concedes 1.5 per match. This recent form suggests a competitive match with multiple goals, favoring Augsburg slightly due to better attack and more consistent wins.

What do xG numbers reveal about each team's attacking and defensive capabilities?

Elversberg’s xG is 1.79 for and 2.12 against per game, while Augsburg’s is 2.43 for and 2.16 against. Augsburg’s higher xG for indicates a stronger attack, but both teams concede over 2 xG against, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. This suggests an open game with chances for both sides to score.

Which key attackers are most likely to influence the match and why?

For Elversberg, Lukas Petkov is crucial with 1.53 shots and 1.02 OT per 90, contributing 1 goal and 1 assist. Augsburg’s F. Rieder stands out with 3 assists and 1.03 shots per 90. Both players have high involvement in key passes and shot creation, making them pivotal for their teams’ attacking output.

How do defensive stats affect the prediction for goals and clean sheets?

Both teams have conceded over 1.5 goals per game and maintain only 25% clean sheets this season. Augsburg’s defenders like Banks and Brackelmann average over 3 tackles per 90, indicating active defense but not necessarily solidity. Defensive frailty on both sides supports expectation of goals from both teams.

Why is BTTS (Both Teams To Score) likely in this fixture?

Both teams have a BTTS rate of 75% this season. Elversberg con xG conceded 2.12 and Augsburg 2.16, both conceding regularly. The attacking stats (shots, key passes) and low clean sheet percentages reinforce that both sides tend to score and concede, making BTTS a strong betting angle.

What supports the over 2.5 goals prediction in this match?

Augsburg has 100% O2.5 games this season, Elversberg 75%. Combined with both conceding over 1.5 goals per match and the single H2H result in 2015 ending 3-1, the data supports expectations for at least 3 goals, aligning with the attacking and defensive stats.

What do head-to-head stats indicate for this fixture?

The only recent H2H meeting was in 2015, ending 3-1 to Augsburg. This suggests Augsburg can score multiple goals against Elversberg, though the data is limited. Given Elversberg’s improved offense and home advantage, a similar high-scoring match is plausible.

Is there betting value in backing Augsburg despite the small sample size?

Yes. Augsburg’s last season baseline of 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded over 34 games contrasts with Elversberg’s 0 baseline. Their higher xG (2.43 vs 1.79) and 100% O2.5 rate show attacking quality. Despite small 4-game samples this season, Augsburg’s experience and stats provide value backing them to win and contribute goals.