Fast Filters

Live & Upcoming

Liga Portugal iconLiga Portugal
GD Estoril Praia logoFC Famalicão logo
In 0m
EST vs FAM

Browse

Eredivisie iconEredivisie
SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden logoSBV Excelsior logo
In 0m
CAM vs EXC

Browse

Toronto logoToronto
Marta Kostyuk logoIga Świątek logo
In 0m
KOS vs ŚWI(11/8)

Browse

Liga Portugal iconLiga Portugal
CF Estrela da Amadora logoSporting Clube de Portugal logo
In 0m
AMA vs SPO

Browse

Eredivisie iconEredivisie
AZ logoADO Den Haag logo
In 0m
AZ vs ADO

Browse

Toronto logoToronto
Aryna Sabalenka logoEkaterina Alexandrova logo
In 0m
SAB vs ALE(1/19)

Browse

Eredivisie iconEredivisie
PSV logoFortuna Sittard logo
In 0m
PSV vs SIT

Browse

Liga Portugal iconLiga Portugal
Vitória SC logoFC Arouca logo
In 0m
GUI vs FCA

Browse

Toronto logoToronto
Jessica Pegula logoDiana Shnaider logo
In 0m
PEG vs SHN(3/18)

Browse

Liga Portugal iconLiga Portugal
CS Marítimo logoCasa Pia AC logo
In 0m
CSM vs CAS

Browse

MLS iconMLS
New England Revolution logoHouston Dynamo logo
In 0m
NER vs HOU

Browse

Eredivisie iconEredivisie
Go Ahead Eagles logoWillem II Tilburg logo
In 0m
GOA vs WII

Browse

Eredivisie iconEredivisie
NEC logoTelstar 1963 logo
In 0m
NEC vs TEL

Browse

Liga Portugal iconLiga Portugal
Sport Lisboa e Benfica logoAcadémico de Viseu FC logo
In 0m
BEN vs ACV

Browse

Liga Portugal iconLiga Portugal
Moreirense FC logoSporting Clube de Braga logo
In 0m
MOR vs SCB

Browse

Eredivisie iconEredivisie
PEC Zwolle logoAFC Ajax logo
In 0m
ZWO vs AJA

Browse

Liga Portugal iconLiga Portugal
FC Porto logoFC Alverca logo
In 0m
FCP vs ALV

Browse

Eredivisie iconEredivisie
SC Heerenveen logoFC Twente '65 logo
In 0m
HEE vs TWE

Browse

Eredivisie iconEredivisie
FC Groningen logoFC Utrecht logo
In 0m
GRO vs UTR

Browse

Eredivisie iconEredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam logoFeyenoord Rotterdam logo
In 0m
SPA vs FEY

Browse

Liga Portugal iconLiga Portugal
Gil Vicente FC logoRio Ave FC logo
In 0m
GIL vs RIO

Browse

Liga Portugal iconLiga Portugal
CD Santa Clara logoCD Nacional logo
In 0m
CD vs CDN

Browse

C. Alcaraz vs T. Paul - Australian Open Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds

3 - 0

7-6 · 6-4 · 7-5

HardAustralian Open1/8 - finals
Final
 S1S2S3
Carlos Alcaraz
767
Tommy Paul
645

Comparison of analyst and AI predictions

Predicto AI

Predicto AI

Correct

Alcaraz to win

@1.09
View Reasoning
Carlos Alcaraz is the world number one and has a significant ranking advantage over Tommy Paul, who is ranked 21st. Despite Alcaraz's recent form being less than ideal, he is still expected to dominate this match given his overall talent and experience.
Human Analyst

Human Analyst

Correct

Over 21.5 total games

@1.85
View Reasoning
Given Alcaraz's recent form of two losses and Paul's ability to push top players, this match could see extended rallies. Both players may struggle to find their rhythm early, leading to a competitive contest with a potential for a high total game count.
Split call — see both takes above

Match Statistics

Post-match, live data
Carlos Alcaraz
Tommy Paul
  • 2
    Aces
    7
  • 0
    Double Faults
    5
  • 70%
    1st Serve %
    54%
  • 79%
    1st Serve Won
    81%
  • 68%
    2nd Serve Won
    46%
  • 50%
    Break Points Saved
    70%
  • 30%
    Break Points Won
    50%
  • 35
    Winners
    27
  • 28
    Unforced Errors
    35

Match Preview

As the Australian Open heats up, tennis fans are eagerly anticipating the showdown between Carlos Alcaraz and Tommy Paul on January 25, 2026. This match promises to be an exciting clash of styles, as both players bring unique strengths to the court. Alcaraz, currently ranked number 1 in the ATP rankings, is known for his explosive power and aggressive baseline play, while Paul, ranked 21, offers a more tactical approach with a solid all-court game.

Analyzing the recent form of both players, Alcaraz has faced some challenges in the lead-up to this match, having lost his last two encounters in November 2025. Despite these setbacks, he remains a formidable opponent with a wealth of experience and talent, having accumulated 12,050 points in his career. His ability to bounce back and perform under pressure will be crucial in this high-stakes match.

On the other hand, Tommy Paul has also had a rough patch, suffering a defeat in his most recent match against a lower-ranked opponent earlier this month. With only 2,000 points to his name and a ranking of 21, Paul will need to elevate his game significantly to compete with Alcaraz. His previous head-to-head encounter with Alcaraz at the French Open ended in a loss, which may weigh on his confidence as they prepare to face off again.

Key factors to watch in this match include Alcaraz's powerful serve and return game, which can put immense pressure on Paul right from the start. Additionally, Paul's ability to construct points and exploit any weaknesses in Alcaraz's game will be crucial. Mental fortitude will also play a vital role; Alcaraz will need to shake off his recent losses, while Paul must focus on maintaining composure against the world number one.

As the match approaches, the excitement builds, with fans eager to see if Alcaraz can reclaim his dominant form or if Paul can rise to the occasion and create an upset. No matter the outcome, this matchup is set to be a thrilling chapter in the ongoing saga of the Australian Open.

Martin Anderson
Martin Anderson
Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across European football markets. See the public track record.

Read Full Match Preview

Match Winner

First Set Winner

Best odds shown from multiple bookmakers

Head-to-Head

Carlos Alcaraz
5
Wins
Tommy Paul
2
Wins

Community Predictions

Pick what you think will happen, then cast your vote.

260
Match Winner
Total Sets

Indicative only — not betting advice

Ranking
#1
Points
12050
Recent Matches4
Wins0
Losses4
Form
LLLL
Ranking
#21
Points
2000
Recent Matches3
Wins0
Losses3
Form
LLL

World Ranking Comparison

12,050 pts
#1
#21
2,000 pts
Ranking Gap
20
positions apart

Recent Form

Carlos Alcaraz
W
Jan 23, 2026
VS C. Moutet
3 - 0
ATP Australian Open
W
Jan 21, 2026
VS Y. Hanfmann
3 - 0
ATP Australian Open
W
Jan 18, 2026
VS A. Walton
3 - 0
ATP Australian Open
Tommy Paul
W
Jan 21, 2026
VS T. A. Tirante
3 - 0
ATP Australian Open
W
Jan 19, 2026
VS A. Kovacevic
3 - 0
ATP Australian Open
L
Jan 16, 2026
VS T. Machac
2 - 1
Adelaide

Explore more predictions

Best betting partners on this match

Top pick
Megapari logo

Megapari

9.7(789)

200% Welcome Bonus up to $100

Why we picked this: Covers over 40+ sports including eSports

Reviewed by our team
visa
skrill
tether
bitcoin
ethereum
22Bet logo

22Bet

9.9

100% Welcome Bonus up to €122

Reviewed by our team
visa
skrill
tether
bitcoin
Claim Free BetTerms & Conditions · 18+
Betwinner logo

Betwinner

9.5

Exclusive 100% Sports Bonus up to $130

Reviewed by our team
visa
skrill
tether
bitcoin
Claim Free BetTerms & Conditions · 18+
Melbet logo

Melbet

9.3

100% Sportsbook Bonus up to €100

Reviewed by our team
visa
skrill
tether
bitcoin
Claim Free BetTerms & Conditions · 18+
1WIN logo

1WIN

8.9

500% Welcome Package up to €1000

Reviewed by our team
visa
skrill
tether
bitcoin
Claim Free BetTerms & Conditions · 18+
888 Starz logo

888 Starz

9.1

100% Sports Bonus up to €100

Reviewed by our team
visa
skrill
tether
bitcoin
Claim Free BetTerms & Conditions · 18+

This match has ended

See Today's Picks
We use cookies to ensure you get the best experience on our website. For more information on how we use cookies, please see our cookie policy.