Rögle vs Vaxjo - SHL Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds (Apr 14, 2026)

Rögle

4 - 1

Vaxjo

SHL

Team	P1	P2	P3	Total
RögleRögle	3	1	0	4
VaxjoVaxjo	0	0	1	1

AI vs Analyst Prediction

Predicto AI

Correct

Rögle to win

@1.40

View Reasoning

Rögle has a strong home record and is in good form with three consecutive wins. Vaxjo, while competitive, has shown vulnerability on the road, making Rögle a favorable pick.

Human Analyst

Correct

Rögle to win

@1.40

View Reasoning

Rögle has a strong home advantage with a recent form of WWWLW, while Vaxjo shows vulnerability on the road. Given the head-to-head history where Rögle has performed well against Vaxjo, this is a favorable spot for the home team.

Both back: Rögle to win

Team Statistics

Rögleper gameVaxjo

25-14-8 · 93 pts26-16-4 · 94 pts

48%

Win Rate

50%

+32

Goal Diff

+14

3.0

Avg Goals For

2.9

2.4

Avg Goals Against

2.6

52 GPTotal Goals: 155 · 15052 GP

#	Team	GP	Wins	L	PTS	Form
4	Rögle	52	25	14	93
3	Vaxjo	52	26	16	94

Standings & Form

Rögle currently sits 4th in the SHL with 93 points from 52 games, holding a record of 25 wins, 14 losses, and 8 overtime results. Their recent form shows resilience, winning three of their last five matches (WWWLW). Vaxjo is just ahead in 3rd place with 94 points and a slightly better record of 26-16-4. Despite some inconsistency in their last five games (WLLWW), they remain a formidable opponent near the top of the table.

Defensive Structure

Defensively, Rögle has been more stingy this season, conceding 123 goals compared to Vaxjo’s 136. This difference is notable given both teams have played the same number of games. Rögle’s ability to limit opponents’ scoring opportunities could be a decisive factor, especially when considering their strong home form. Vaxjo, while effective offensively, has shown some vulnerability at the back, which Rögle might look to exploit.

Scoring Trends

Offensively, Rögle has netted 155 goals so far, marginally outscoring Vaxjo’s 150. Both teams maintain similar scoring rates, but Rögle’s slightly better goal differential (+32 vs +14) reflects their balance between attack and defense. Vaxjo’s recent high-scoring games, including a 7-3 win, underline their potential to break through defenses, but consistency remains an issue.

Game Prediction

Given Rögle’s solid defensive record combined with their recent winning streak, they appear marginally better positioned to take the win at home. The head-to-head stats show Vaxjo leading 6-4 in the last ten meetings, but recent results have been mixed. Betting on Rögle to win at 2.10 odds offers value, especially considering their form and home advantage in this crucial late-season clash.

Martin Anderson

Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across NHL, SHL, and Liiga markets. See the public track record.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What's your prediction for this game?

The prediction for Rögle vs Vaxjo leans towards a Rögle win despite Vaxjo holding a slight edge in the standings at #3 with 94 points versus Rögle's #4 with 93 points. Rögle’s recent form of WWWLW is stronger compared to Vaxjo’s WLLWW, and Rögle's better goal differential (+32 vs +14) suggests a more balanced team performance. Although Vaxjo leads the head-to-head with 6 wins to Rögle’s 4 in the last 10 games, the recent close scorelines and expert pick favor Rögle to edge this matchup.

Which team has better recent form?

Rögle has shown more consistent recent form with a WWWLW streak compared to Vaxjo's mixed WLLWW. Both teams have strong season records—Rögle at 25W-14L-8OT and Vaxjo at 26W-16L-4OT—reflecting competitive consistency. Rögle sits 4th with 93 points, just one point behind 3rd-placed Vaxjo with 94, indicating both teams are closely matched in the SHL standings.

What are the best betting opportunities?

Considering the goal totals, Rögle has scored 155 goals and conceded 123, while Vaxjo has 150 goals for and 136 against. Their matches often feature moderate scoring, with recent head-to-head games ranging from 3-2 to 3-7. Betting on total goals over/under around 5 to 6 could be valuable, and given Rögle’s defensive edge and home advantage, betting markets on Rögle to win at 2.10 odds are attractive.

How do these teams match up historically?

The head-to-head record between Rögle and Vaxjo over the last 10 games favors Vaxjo with 6 wins to Rögle's 4. At home, Rögle has won 4 times, while Vaxjo has 6 away victories. Recent match scores include tight games like 3-4 and 3-5, but also high-scoring affairs such as 3-7 and 5-2, showing variability in outcomes.

What are the key line matchups?

Key matchups include Rögle's stronger defense, conceding fewer goals (123) compared to Vaxjo's 136, potentially limiting Vaxjo’s scoring chances. Rögle’s offense is slightly more potent with 155 goals versus Vaxjo’s 150. With both teams showing solid form but Rögle’s recent consistency and home advantage, the battle between Rögle’s defense and Vaxjo’s offense will be crucial in determining the outcome.

Should I bet on the favorite or underdog?

The betting value lies in backing Rögle to win at the offered 2.10 odds, considering their better recent form, goal differential, and home advantage. The puck line could also offer value, as Rögle’s defensive solidity suggests they may keep the game close. Additionally, betting on total goals under 6 aligns with the typical moderate scoring seen in their recent encounters and overall season stats.