Anaheim Ducks vs Toronto Maple Leafs - NHL Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds (Mar 31, 2026)

Anaheim Ducks

4 - 5

Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL·Honda Center

Team	P1	P2	P3	OT	Total
Anaheim DucksDucks	2	1	1	0	4
Toronto Maple LeafsLeafs	1	0	3	1	5

AI vs Analyst Prediction

Predicto AI

Incorrect

Anaheim Ducks to win

@1.56

View Reasoning

The Ducks are in better form with a recent record of 3 wins in their last 5 games compared to the Maple Leafs' 2 wins. Additionally, the Ducks have a strong home advantage and historically perform well against the Maple Leafs.

Human Analyst

Incorrect

Anaheim Ducks to win

@1.56

View Reasoning

The Ducks are in better form, winning 3 of their last 5 games, while the Maple Leafs have struggled recently. Additionally, the Ducks have a strong home advantage and a favorable head-to-head record against the Leafs.

Both back: Anaheim Ducks to win

Team Statistics

Ducksper gameLeafs

41-28-4 · 86 pts31-34-9 · 75 pts

56%

Win Rate

42%

-18

Goal Diff

-22

2.5

Avg Goals For

2.5

2.7

Avg Goals Against

2.8

73 GPTotal Goals: 179 · 18274 GP

Eastern Conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	PTS	GF	GA	Form
1	Carolina Hurricanes	82	39	22	7	113	296	240	-
2	Buffalo Sabres	82	42	23	9	109	288	241	-
3	Tampa Bay Lightning	82	40	26	6	106	290	231	-
4	Montreal Canadiens	82	34	24	10	106	283	256	-
5	Boston Bruins	82	33	27	10	100	272	250	-
6	Ottawa Senators	82	38	27	11	99	278	246	-
7	Pittsburgh Penguins	82	34	25	16	98	293	268	-
8	Philadelphia Flyers	82	27	27	12	98	250	243	-
9	Washington Capitals	82	37	30	9	95	263	244	-
10	Detroit Red Wings	82	30	31	10	92	241	258	-
11	Columbus Blue Jackets	82	28	30	12	92	253	253	-
12	New York Islanders	82	29	34	5	91	233	241	-
13	New Jersey Devils	82	29	37	3	87	230	254	-
14	Florida Panthers	82	32	38	4	84	251	276	-
15	Toronto Maple Leafs	82	23	36	14	78	253	299	-
16	New York Rangers	82	25	39	9	77	238	250	-

Western Conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	PTS	GF	GA	Form
1	Colorado Avalanche	82	48	16	11	121	302	203	-
2	Dallas Stars	82	38	20	12	112	279	226	-
3	Minnesota Wild	82	31	24	12	104	272	240	-
4	Vegas Golden Knights	82	30	26	17	95	265	250	-
5	Edmonton Oilers	82	32	30	11	93	282	269	-
6	Utah Mammoth	82	33	33	6	92	268	240	-
7	Anaheim Ducks	82	26	33	6	92	273	288	-
8	Los Angeles Kings	82	22	27	20	90	225	247	-
9	San Jose Sharks	82	27	35	8	86	251	292	-
10	St. Louis Blues	82	33	33	12	86	231	258	-
11	Nashville Predators	82	28	34	10	86	247	269	-
12	Winnipeg Jets	82	28	35	12	82	231	260	-
13	Seattle Kraken	82	26	37	11	79	226	263	-
14	Calgary Flames	82	27	39	9	77	212	259	-
15	Chicago Blackhawks	82	22	39	14	72	213	275	-
16	Vancouver Canucks	82	15	49	8	58	216	316	-

Standings & Form

The Anaheim Ducks sit 14th in the NHL standings with a respectable 86 points from 73 games, boasting a 41-28-4 record. Their recent form shows a slight inconsistency (LDDWL), but they remain competitive. Meanwhile, the Toronto Maple Leafs are 24th with 75 points from 74 games and a 31-34-9 record, struggling to find consistent wins. Toronto’s last five games (LWDDD) suggest resilience but an inability to close out matches convincingly.

Defensive Structure

Defensively, Anaheim has conceded 197 goals, slightly more than their goals for tally of 179, indicating a negative goal differential but a defense that can hold the line sporadically. Toronto has allowed 201 goals while scoring 181, reflecting a similar struggle to keep opponents off the scoreboard. Both teams hover around the 2.45 goals against per game mark, underscoring the importance of goaltending and structured defensive plays in this matchup.

Head-to-Head Trends

Toronto dominates the recent head-to-head with 8 wins out of the last 10 meetings, including a 3-6 victory in their most recent clash. However, Anaheim has managed to secure two wins this season against Toronto, showing they can exploit weaknesses. The alternating results in recent games (2-3, 3-6, 5-2, 2-5, 4-2) highlight the unpredictability and potential for Anaheim to upset the favored Leafs on home ice.

Game Prediction

Given Anaheim’s stronger position in the standings and slightly better overall record, betting on the Ducks to win at 2.10 offers good value. Their home advantage and ability to contain Toronto’s offense could tip the scales. Expect a game where defensive discipline and opportunistic scoring define the outcome.

Martin Anderson

Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across NHL, SHL, and Liiga markets. See the public track record.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What's your prediction for this game?

The prediction for Anaheim Ducks vs Toronto Maple Leafs favors the Anaheim Ducks to win. Anaheim sits higher in the standings at 14th with 86 points compared to Toronto's 24th place and 75 points. Despite Toronto's better recent form (LWDDD), Anaheim's overall goal differential (-18) is better than Toronto's (-20), and Anaheim has dominated the head-to-head with 8 wins in the last 10 games. These factors combined suggest Anaheim is more likely to secure the victory.

Which team has better recent form?

The Anaheim Ducks have a recent form of LDDWL, reflecting some inconsistency but overall better performance with a 41-28-4 record and 86 points, placing them 14th. The Toronto Maple Leafs show a slightly better recent form of LWDDD but lag behind with a 31-34-9 record and 75 points, standing 24th in the league. Anaheim's stronger overall points total and higher league ranking indicate a more successful season despite Toronto's steadier recent results.

What are the best betting opportunities?

For betting on Anaheim Ducks vs Toronto Maple Leafs, considering both teams' goals for and against—179 GF/197 GA for Anaheim and 181 GF/201 GA for Toronto—markets like total goals over/under are appealing. The combined average goals per game hover around 5, suggesting a moderately high-scoring game. Additionally, historical head-to-head games have seen mixed scorelines with recent results ranging from 2-3 to 5-2, making the total goals market and moneyline bets on Anaheim attractive.

How do these teams match up historically?

The head-to-head record between Anaheim Ducks and Toronto Maple Leafs over their last 10 games shows a clear advantage to Toronto with 8 wins versus Anaheim’s 2, including home and away matches. Recent scores have fluctuated: Toronto won 3-2 and 5-2 in some matches, while Anaheim managed wins like 5-2 and 4-2. This history points to Toronto’s dominance in previous encounters, though recent form suggests Anaheim may challenge this trend.

What are the key line matchups?

Key matchups in Anaheim Ducks vs Toronto Maple Leafs revolve around offense versus defense. Anaheim averages about 2.45 goals per game (179 GF in 73 GP) and concedes around 2.7 goals, while Toronto scores slightly more at 2.44 per game but allows 2.72. Anaheim’s recent form shows some defensive lapses (LDDWL), whereas Toronto has steadier form but a weaker standing. This suggests Anaheim’s offense might exploit Toronto’s defensive vulnerabilities, making these matchups critical.

Should I bet on the favorite or underdog?

The betting value in Anaheim Ducks vs Toronto Maple Leafs lies primarily in backing Anaheim to win at odds of 2.10, reflecting their superior standing and historical edge. Given the combined goal averages and recent scorelines, betting on the puck line with Anaheim -1.5 could offer value if they capitalize on Toronto’s defensive issues. Additionally, the total goals market, likely around 5, provides a balanced opportunity depending on how both teams' offenses perform.