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F. Auger-Aliassime vs R. Hijikata - US Open Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds

17:00

Mon, Aug 31 2026

HardUS Open1/64 - finals

Comparison of analyst and AI predictions

Predicto AI

Predicto AI

F. Auger-Aliassime to win first set

@1.08
View Reasoning
Félix Auger-Aliassime has demonstrated a strong start in matches, and with his current ranking of #4, he is likely to take the first set against the lower-ranked Hijikata. Given Auger-Aliassime's recent form and superior skills on hard courts, he is expected to secure the first set convincingly. The odds are favorable for him to win the opening set.
Human Analyst

Human Analyst

F. Auger-Aliassime to win

@1.08
View Reasoning
Félix Auger-Aliassime, ranked #4, has a significant advantage over R. Hijikata, who is ranked #95. Auger-Aliassime's recent form of 4-1 compared to Hijikata's 2-3 suggests he is in better shape heading into the match. Given the hard surface of the US Open, Auger-Aliassime's powerful serve and overall skill set should dominate, making him a strong favorite to win.
Both back Félix Auger-Aliassimedifferent markets
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Rankings & Form

Felix Auger-Aliassime holds a solid position as ATP No. 4 with 4740 points, contrasting sharply with Rinky Hijikata, who is ranked 95th and has 673 points. Auger-Aliassime’s recent form reads LWWLW, reflecting a generally strong run with three wins in his last five matches, whereas Hijikata’s WLWLL form suggests some inconsistency. The ranking disparity and recent results set a clear expectation for the Canadian to dominate, yet Hijikata’s occasional breakthroughs hint at potential resistance.

Playing Styles

Auger-Aliassime is known for his aggressive baseline game and strong serve, which should prove effective on the hard courts of the US Open. Hijikata, although less experienced at this level, brings a dynamic style with solid shot variety but can struggle to maintain pressure under sustained attack. The contrast in styles could see Auger-Aliassime pushing Hijikata into defensive positions frequently, especially given Felix’s ability to convert break points, as reflected in recent matches.

Recent Results

Looking at recent matches, Auger-Aliassime’s scores show a mix of straight-set wins (0-2) and a challenging loss with a 1-3 set score, indicating some vulnerability but overall control. Hijikata’s recent results include a notable win (2-0) but also losses where he failed to gain momentum, such as a 0-2 defeat. This pattern suggests that while Hijikata can produce bursts of high-quality tennis, sustaining it against a top-four player like Felix will be difficult.

Match Prediction

Given Auger-Aliassime’s higher ranking, stronger recent form, and style well-suited to hard courts, the expert pick favors him to win at roughly 1.20 odds. The AI prediction also supports Felix taking the first set at around 1.50 odds, reflecting the expectation that he will establish control early. While Hijikata’s fighting spirit may extend some rallies, the overall outlook points to a relatively straightforward progression for Auger-Aliassime in this US Open encounter.

Martin Anderson
Martin Anderson
Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across European football markets. See the public track record.

Read Full Match Preview

Match Winner

First Set Winner

Best odds shown from multiple bookmakers

Community Predictions

Pick what you think will happen, then cast your vote.

260
Match Winner
Total Sets

Indicative only — not betting advice

Ranking
#4
Points
4740
Recent Matches5
Wins3
Losses2
Form
LWWLW
Ranking
#95
Points
673
Recent Matches5
Wins2
Losses3
Form
WLWLL

World Ranking Comparison

Ranking Gap
91
positions apart

Recent Form

Félix Auger-Aliassime
L
Aug 20, 2026
VS F. Tiafoe
2 - 0
Cincinnati
W
Aug 19, 2026
VS J. M. Cerundolo
0 - 2
Cincinnati
W
Aug 16, 2026
VS S. Tsitsipas
0 - 2
Cincinnati
R. Hijikata
L
Aug 26, 2026
VS B. Bonzi
0 - 2
Winston-Salem
W
Aug 25, 2026
VS R. Collignon
1 - 2
Winston-Salem
W
Aug 24, 2026
VS Dar. Blanch
2 - 0
Winston-Salem

Frequently Asked Questions

What's your prediction for this match?

The prediction for F. Auger-Aliassime vs R. Hijikata strongly favors Auger-Aliassime, who is ranked world No. 4 with 4740 points compared to Hijikata's No. 95 and 673 points. Auger-Aliassime's recent form of LWWLW indicates solid momentum despite a couple of losses, while Hijikata's WLWLL form is less consistent. Although no direct head-to-head data is provided, the ranking gap and current form suggest Auger-Aliassime is the clear favorite to win this US Open match.

Which player has better recent form?

Analyzing recent performances, F. Auger-Aliassime has a mixed but overall positive form with wins against top players and a 3-2 match record in his last five matches. R. Hijikata, however, shows inconsistency with a 2-3 match record and recent losses impacting momentum. Auger-Aliassime's form string LWWLW contrasts with Hijikata's WLWLL, indicating Auger-Aliassime carries better rhythm into the US Open clash.

What are the best betting opportunities?

The best betting markets for F. Auger-Aliassime vs R. Hijikata include backing Auger-Aliassime as match winner at odds around 1.20, reflecting his ranking and form superiority. The AI pick to take the first set at approximately 1.50 offers good value given Auger-Aliassime's stronger start potential. Additionally, considering the players' recent results, betting on total games under or set betting markets may provide opportunities, especially if Auger-Aliassime asserts dominance early.

How do these players match up head-to-head?

There is no specific head-to-head record provided between F. Auger-Aliassime and R. Hijikata in the data. Without direct H2H results, the analysis relies on ranking and form, where Auger-Aliassime holds a clear advantage. Any future encounters at the US Open will establish the first official competitive history between these two players.

How does the surface favor each player?

The US Open is played on hard courts, a surface that generally suits F. Auger-Aliassime's aggressive baseline game and strong serve, enhancing his chances against R. Hijikata. While Hijikata's specific surface preference isn't detailed, his lower ranking and form suggest he may struggle to match Auger-Aliassime's power and consistency on this fast surface. Historically, Auger-Aliassime performs well on hard courts, making this surface an advantage for him.

Should I bet on the favorite or underdog?

Betting value lies with F. Auger-Aliassime as match winner given his clear ranking superiority and better recent form, making the ~1.20 odds a safe investment. The AI pick at ~1.50 for Auger-Aliassime to win the first set also offers value, considering his ability to start strong. Caution is advised on total games markets due to some recent competitive set scores, but conservative under bets may hold value given Hijikata’s inconsistency.

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Analyst
Human Analyst Recommendation
F. Auger-Aliassime to win
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