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F. Auger-Aliassime vs R. Hijikata - US Open Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds

HardUS Open1/64 - finals
Final
 S1S2
Félix Auger-Aliassime
74
R. Hijikata
56

Comparison of analyst and AI predictions

Predicto AI

Predicto AI

F. Auger-Aliassime to win first set

@1.08
View Reasoning
Félix Auger-Aliassime has demonstrated a strong start in matches, and with his current ranking of #4, he is likely to take the first set against the lower-ranked Hijikata. Given Auger-Aliassime's recent form and superior skills on hard courts, he is expected to secure the first set convincingly. The odds are favorable for him to win the opening set.
Human Analyst

Human Analyst

Incorrect

F. Auger-Aliassime to win

@1.08
View Reasoning
Félix Auger-Aliassime, ranked #4, has a significant advantage over R. Hijikata, who is ranked #95. Auger-Aliassime's recent form of 4-1 compared to Hijikata's 2-3 suggests he is in better shape heading into the match. Given the hard surface of the US Open, Auger-Aliassime's powerful serve and overall skill set should dominate, making him a strong favorite to win.
Both back Félix Auger-Aliassimedifferent markets

Match Statistics

Post-match, live data
Félix Auger-Aliassime
R. Hijikata
  • 7
    Aces
    3
  • 6
    Double Faults
    3
  • 70%
    1st Serve %
    50%
  • 81%
    1st Serve Won
    76%
  • 33%
    2nd Serve Won
    50%
  • 0%
    Break Points Saved
    71%
  • 29%
    Break Points Won
    100%
  • 24
    Winners
    16
  • 27
    Unforced Errors
    15

Rankings & Form

Felix Auger-Aliassime arrives at the US Open as the clear favorite, holding the ATP No. 4 spot with 4,740 points. His recent form is somewhat mixed but leans positive with a LWWLW sequence, indicating resilience despite some inconsistencies. On the other side, Rinky Hijikata, ranked No. 95 with 673 points, enters this clash with a WLWLL pattern, struggling to find consistent momentum against higher-ranked opponents.

Recent Results

Auger-Aliassime’s recent matches have featured some tight scorelines, including a 2-0 loss and two 0-2 wins, showcasing his ability to close out matches decisively when in form. Hijikata’s recent outings include a 1-2 win and a 2-0 loss, reflecting a player still adjusting to the demands of a Grand Slam environment. These results hint at Auger-Aliassime’s greater experience in managing high-pressure situations.

Playing Styles & Tactics

Auger-Aliassime’s game is built on a powerful baseline attack with a solid serve and aggressive forehand, which should allow him to dictate points on the hard courts of Flushing Meadows. Hijikata, while less experienced at this level, uses a more defensive style with occasional bursts of offense, but may struggle to handle Auger-Aliassime’s pace and depth consistently.

Match Prediction

Given the ranking gap and recent form, Auger-Aliassime is expected to take control early and likely secure the first set, as reflected in the betting odds (~1.20 to win and ~1.50 to take the opening set). Hijikata’s chances hinge on disrupting Felix’s rhythm, but the data strongly favors the Canadian advancing to the next round.

Martin Anderson
Martin Anderson
Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across European football markets. See the public track record.

Read Full Match Preview

Match Winner

First Set Winner

Best odds shown from multiple bookmakers

Community Predictions

Pick what you think will happen, then cast your vote.

260
Match Winner
Total Sets

Indicative only — not betting advice

Ranking
#4
Points
4640
Recent Matches5
Wins3
Losses2
Form
LWWLW
Ranking
#85
Points
724
Recent Matches5
Wins2
Losses3
Form
WLWLL

World Ranking Comparison

Ranking Gap
81
positions apart

Recent Form

Félix Auger-Aliassime
L
Aug 20, 2026
VS F. Tiafoe
2 - 0
Cincinnati
W
Aug 19, 2026
VS J. M. Cerundolo
0 - 2
Cincinnati
W
Aug 16, 2026
VS S. Tsitsipas
0 - 2
Cincinnati
R. Hijikata
L
Aug 26, 2026
VS B. Bonzi
0 - 2
Winston-Salem
W
Aug 25, 2026
VS R. Collignon
1 - 2
Winston-Salem
W
Aug 24, 2026
VS Dar. Blanch
2 - 0
Winston-Salem

Frequently Asked Questions

What's your prediction for this match?

The prediction for F. Auger-Aliassime vs R. Hijikata strongly favors Auger-Aliassime, given his ATP ranking of 4 compared to Hijikata's 95 and a solid form of LWWLW versus WLWLL. Although the head-to-head data is limited, Auger-Aliassime's higher ranking and more consistent recent results suggest he is the clear favorite to win this match.

Which player has better recent form?

F. Auger-Aliassime has shown a stronger recent form with a record of LWWLW, indicating more consistent wins compared to R. Hijikata’s WLWLL. Auger-Aliassime’s recent losses have come in close matches, while Hijikata’s form shows more inconsistency with alternating wins and losses. This suggests Auger-Aliassime carries better momentum into their US Open encounter.

What are the best betting opportunities?

The best betting markets for F. Auger-Aliassime vs R. Hijikata include the match winner, where Auger-Aliassime is favored at around 1.20 odds, offering a solid but expected return. The first set winner market also presents value with Auger-Aliassime priced near 1.50. Considering their form and ranking gap, set betting on Auger-Aliassime winning in straight sets is a strong angle, while the games total could be moderate given Hijikata’s potential to win some games.

How do these players match up head-to-head?

There is no detailed head-to-head record available between F. Auger-Aliassime and R. Hijikata in this dataset. However, based on their ranking gap and recent form, this will likely be one of their first competitive matches, giving Auger-Aliassime the advantage of experience at high-level tournaments like the US Open.

How does the surface favor each player?

The US Open is played on hard courts, a surface that generally suits F. Auger-Aliassime’s aggressive baseline style and powerful serve. R. Hijikata, while competitive, has less proven results on this surface at the elite level, which may challenge his ability to maintain consistency against Auger-Aliassime. Overall, the hard court conditions favor Auger-Aliassime’s game.

Should I bet on the favorite or underdog?

The betting value in the F. Auger-Aliassime vs R. Hijikata match lies primarily in backing Auger-Aliassime as the match winner given his top 5 ranking and stronger recent form. While the odds around 1.20 are low, they are justified by the data. Additionally, the first set winner market at about 1.50 offers solid value considering Auger-Aliassime’s ability to start strong. Betting on total games slightly above a low threshold could also be prudent, as Hijikata is capable of taking some games off the favorite.

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