Villarreal VS Levante Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds (Sep 20, 2026)

Villarreal CFVillarreal

3 - 1

HT: 1-1

Levante UDLevante

LaLiga·Estadio de la Ceramica

Comparison of analyst and AI predictions

Predicto AI

Correct

Both Teams to Score

@1.57

View Reasoning

Both teams have shown a high propensity to score in their matches, with Villarreal CF hitting the back of the net in 75% of their games and Levante UD scoring in 50% of theirs. The H2H statistics also support this, with both teams contributing to a total of 26 goals in their last 9 encounters. Therefore, betting on both teams to score is a sensible choice.

Human Analyst

Correct

Over 2.5 goals

@1.47

View Reasoning

Villarreal CF has a strong tendency to produce high-scoring matches, with 65% of their games going over 2.5 goals. Additionally, their recent H2H record against Levante UD shows a high-scoring trend, with a total of 26 goals in 9 matches. Given these statistics, betting on over 2.5 goals seems very promising.

Split call — see both takes above

Key Stats

Villarrealper gameLevante

1.9

xG for

1.3

1.2

xG against

1.4

61.5

Possession %

44.3

15.3

Shots

11.3

Villarreal — last 5

LLLDD

Levante — last 5

DWDL

Team Stats

Villarrealper gameLevante

1.9

xG for

1.3

1.2

xG against

1.4

61.5

Possession %

44.3

15.3

Shots

11.3

Shots on tgt

3.5

7.3

Corners

3.5

BTTS %

Over 2.5 %

Clean sheet %

Villarreal — last 5

LLLDD

Levante — last 5

DWDL

Last season

Team	W-D-L	GF/g	GA/g	CS
Villarreal	22-6-10	1.9	1.2	8
Levante	11-9-18	1.2	1.6	9

Villarreal performance

Total Matches

Form

8W4D8L

Avg Scored

1.90

per match

Avg Conceded

1.55

per match

Goals Scored38

Goals Conceded31

Clean Sheets2 (10%)

BTTS75%

Over 2.570%

Over 3.550%

Levante performance

Total Matches

Form

10W3D7L

Avg Scored

1.45

per match

Avg Conceded

1.40

per match

Goals Scored29

Goals Conceded28

Clean Sheets7 (35%)

BTTS50%

Over 2.555%

Over 3.530%

Expected Match Outcome

Villarreal

2-2

(1.6 - 1.5 xG)

Levante

Villarreal

Scores1.90/g

Concedes1.55/g

Levante

Scores1.45/g

Concedes1.40/g

Market Predictions

BTTS

63%

Over 2.5

63%

Over 3.5

40%

Under 2.5

38%

Predicto Power Ranking

This is a real-time strength score based on form, stats, and momentum — not just opinion.

Head-to-Head & Form

Villarreal wins

Draws

Levante wins

Recent meetings

05 Aug 2026Villarreal

1–0

Levante

02 May 2026Villarreal

5–1

Levante

18 Feb 2026Levante

0–1

Villarreal

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	10	9	0	1	+29	27
2	Atletico Madrid	10	8	1	1	+12	25
3	Real Madrid	10	8	0	2	+15	24
4	Real Betis	10	6	2	2	+2	20
5	Real Sociedad	10	6	1	3	+1	19
6	Sevilla	10	5	2	3	0	17
7	Alaves	10	3	3	4	+3	12
8	Athletic Club	9	3	3	3	+3	12
9	Celta Vigo	10	2	6	2	+3	12
10	Villarreal	10	3	3	4	+1	12
11	Deportivo La Coruna	10	2	5	3	0	11
12	Osasuna	10	3	2	5	-10	11
13	Racing Santander	10	3	2	5	-11	11
14	Levante	10	2	4	4	-3	10
15	Elche	10	2	4	4	-3	10
16	Rayo Vallecano	9	2	3	4	-8	9
17	Getafe	10	2	3	5	-10	9
18	Espanyol	10	2	2	6	-2	8
19	Valencia	10	1	3	6	-10	6
20	Malaga	10	0	5	5	-12	5

Overview

Villarreal currently sit 17th with 2 points from 4 matches, struggling to find form after last season's 22W-6D-10L record with 1.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Levante are 11th with 5 points, showing slightly better early-season form compared to Villarreal. Historically, Villarreal dominate the H2H, winning 7 of the last 10 meetings including a 5-1 win in May 2026 and a narrow 1-0 victory in August 2026.

Form & xG

Villarreal's 2026/27 underlying stats show 1.89 xG for and 1.15 against, indicating some attacking promise but defensive lapses resulting in 2 goals conceded per game. Levante's xG of 1.28 for and 1.41 conceded points to a less potent attack and mediocre defense. Villarreal's possession dominance at 61.5% contrasts with Levante's 44.3%, suggesting Villarreal will control play but may struggle to convert chances efficiently as reflected in their 0% clean sheet rate this season.

Team News & Key Players

Villarreal rely on Georges Mikautadze (2.51 shots/90, 1.43 on target/90, 1G1A in 3 apps) and Pape Gueye (0.67 shots/90, 1.67 key passes/90) for creativity. Juan Foyth's defensive solidity is notable with 2 tackles/90 and a 7.27 rating. Levante’s Jon Ander Olasagasti contributes 1.33 shots/90 and 2.33 key passes/90, while goalkeeper Mathew Ryan boasts a 7.63 rating, crucial to Levante's 50% clean sheets this season.

Stats & Betting Angles

Villarreal's matches have featured 75% BTTS and Over 2.5 goals this season; Levante show only 25% BTTS and 50% Over 2.5, reflecting contrasting styles. Villarreal average 7.3 corners per game vs. Levante’s 3.5, supporting an attacking edge. The head-to-head trend favors Villarreal with multiple high-scoring wins including 5-1 and 5-0 results. However, Villarreal's 0% clean sheets this season raise defensive concerns.

Verdict

Villarreal’s superior xG, possession, and historical dominance suggest they will edge this fixture, but their defensive frailty and Levante’s resilience (50% clean sheets) imply goals at both ends. Expect a competitive, open game with Villarreal likely to score multiple times and Levante hitting the net once. The predicted 2-1 scoreline aligns with both teams' attacking stats and recent H2H results.

Martin Anderson

Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across European football markets. See the public track record.

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Villarreal's recent form affected their performance?

Villarreal's recent form is poor with LLLDD in their first 5 matches, earning only 2 points and conceding 2 goals per game. This contrasts with last season's 22W-6D-10L record and 1.2 goals conceded per game, indicating defensive struggles this campaign. Their 0% clean sheet rate this season highlights ongoing defensive frailty that could impact this match.

What does the xG profile suggest about both teams' attacking and defensive capabilities?

Villarreal's 1.89 xG for and 1.15 xG against this season suggest they create good chances but concede more than expected defensively. Levante's 1.28 xG for and 1.41 xG against indicate less attacking threat and a slightly leaky defense. The small sample size means last season's 1.9 scored and 1.2 conceded for Villarreal, and 1.2/1.6 for Levante, remain important baselines.

Who are the key attackers to watch and their per-90 contributions?

For Villarreal, Georges Mikautadze stands out with 2.51 shots/90, 1.43 on target/90, and 1 goal plus 1 assist in 3 apps. Pape Gueye offers 0.67 shots/90 and 1.67 key passes/90. Levante's Jon Ander Olasagasti contributes 1.33 shots/90 and 2.33 key passes/90, making him their main creative threat. These players will be crucial in breaking down defenses.

What defensive weaknesses could influence the match outcome?

Villarreal concede 2 goals per game this season with 0% clean sheets, reflecting defensive frailty despite a 7.27 rating from Juan Foyth and 2 tackles/90. Levante concede 1.25 goals per game but have kept clean sheets in 50% of matches, supported by Mathew Ryan's 7.63 rating. Villarreal's defensive issues may allow Levante to score.

Why is BTTS (both teams to score) a key consideration here?

Villarreal's matches have a 75% BTTS rate this season, reflecting their offensive capability but defensive lapses. Levante's BTTS rate is only 25%, indicating fewer goals conceded or scored. However, given Villarreal's 2 goals conceded per game and Levante's ability to score, BTTS 'Yes' is supported by recent form and H2H where Villarreal's 2-1 and 5-1 wins featured goals at both ends.

What justifies the over/under 2.5 goals prediction?

Villarreal have 75% Over 2.5 matches this season, Levante 50%. Their last H2H meetings often produced high-scoring games (5-1, 5-0). Villarreal's 1.89 xG and Levante's 1.28 xG suggest multiple goal opportunities. Combined with Villarreal conceding 2 per game, an Over 2.5 goals outcome is statistically supported.

How do head-to-head trends influence the expected result?

Villarreal have dominated recent H2H with 7 wins in last 10, including 5-1 (May 2026), 5-0 (Jan 2022), and 1-0 (August 2026). Levante’s rare wins are by narrow margins. These trends favor Villarreal to win but with Levante scoring, supporting a 2-1 final scoreline consistent with historical outcomes.

Is there any betting value in this fixture?

Given Villarreal’s poor start but strong H2H and attacking stats, betting on a 2-1 Villarreal win with BTTS Yes and Over 2.5 goals offers value. Levante’s 50% clean sheet rate and ability to score suggest the game won’t be one-sided. Small-season samples caution betting, but last season’s baseline and H2H support this prediction.