Udinese VS Lazio Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds (Sep 7, 2026)

Udinese CalcioUdinese

1 - 2

HT: 0-0

SS LazioLazio

Serie A·Stadio Friuli

Comparison of analyst and AI predictions

Predicto AI

Correct

SS Lazio to win

View Reasoning

SS Lazio is favored to win this match due to their slightly better overall performance this season, with a record of 9 wins compared to Udinese's 8. The historical head-to-head results also favor Lazio, who have won 5 out of the last 15 encounters. Given the odds and the current form of both teams, SS Lazio's chances of securing a victory appear promising.

Human Analyst

Incorrect

Under 2.5 goals

View Reasoning

The prediction for 'Under 2.5 goals' is supported by both Udinese Calcio and SS Lazio's low scoring trends, with each team averaging less than 1.5 goals per match this season (27GF/20 matches and 22GF/20 matches respectively). Additionally, both teams have a 'BTTS' percentage of only 35%, indicating a tendency for matches to end with fewer goals. With a history of 39 total goals across their last 15 encounters, a low-scoring match is likely, making 'Under 2.5 goals' a strong bet.

Split call — see both takes above

Key Stats

Udineseper gameLazio

1.6

xG for

1.1

1.6

xG against

1.1

Possession %

43.5

14.5

Shots

12.5

Udinese — last 5

Lazio — last 5

Team Stats

Udineseper gameLazio

1.6

xG for

1.1

1.6

xG against

1.1

Possession %

43.5

14.5

Shots

12.5

Shots on tgt

2.5

Corners

100

BTTS %

Over 2.5 %

Clean sheet %

100

Udinese — last 5

Lazio — last 5

Last season

Team	W-D-L	GF/g	GA/g	CS
Udinese	14-8-16	1.2	1.3	11
Lazio	14-12-12	1.1	1.1	15

Udinese performance

Total Matches

Form

8W4D8L

Avg Scored

1.35

per match

Avg Conceded

0.95

per match

Goals Scored27

Goals Conceded19

Clean Sheets7 (35%)

BTTS35%

Over 2.540%

Over 3.520%

Lazio performance

Total Matches

Form

9W5D6L

Avg Scored

1.10

per match

Avg Conceded

1.20

per match

Goals Scored22

Goals Conceded24

Clean Sheets7 (35%)

BTTS35%

Over 2.540%

Over 3.515%

Expected Match Outcome

Udinese

1-1

(1.3 - 1.0 xG)

Lazio

Udinese

Scores1.35/g

Concedes0.95/g

Lazio

Scores1.10/g

Concedes1.20/g

Market Predictions

BTTS

35%

Over 2.5

40%

Over 3.5

18%

Under 2.5

60%

Predicto Power Ranking

This is a real-time strength score based on form, stats, and momentum — not just opinion.

Head-to-Head & Form

Udinese wins

Draws

Lazio wins

Recent meetings

27 Apr 2026Lazio

3–3

Udinese

27 Dec 2025Udinese

1–1

Lazio

10 Mar 2025Lazio

1–1

Udinese

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Inter	6	5	1	0	+10	16
2	Lazio	6	5	1	0	+7	16
3	AS Roma	6	4	2	0	+11	14
4	Cagliari	6	4	1	1	+3	13
5	AC Milan	6	3	3	0	+6	12
6	Juventus	6	3	2	1	+4	11
7	Como	6	3	2	1	+3	11
8	Napoli	6	3	1	2	+4	10
9	Frosinone	6	3	1	2	+2	10
10	Atalanta	6	3	0	3	0	9
11	Sassuolo	6	2	2	2	0	8
12	Torino	6	2	1	3	-2	7
13	Lecce	6	2	0	4	-6	6
14	Bologna	6	1	2	3	-2	5
15	Udinese	6	1	1	4	-4	4
16	Monza	6	1	1	4	-6	4
17	Genoa	6	1	1	4	-6	4
18	Parma	6	1	1	4	-6	4
19	Fiorentina	6	1	1	4	-7	4
20	Venezia	6	0	0	6	-11	0

Overview

Udinese (9th, 4 pts) and Lazio (6th, 6 pts) meet early in Serie A with Lazio slightly ahead in the standings. Udinese scored 2 goals and conceded 1.5 per game so far, while Lazio has scored 1 and kept 2 clean sheets in 2 matches. Last season, Udinese averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; Lazio had 1.1 goals scored and conceded with 15 clean sheets out of 38 games. Both sides have similar defensive records historically, promising a competitive match.

Form & xG

Udinese's xG this season is 1.56 per game with 1.6 conceded, indicating some defensive vulnerability. Lazio's xG is 1.13 with 1.1 conceded, showing a tighter defense and less attacking output. Udinese's BTTS rate this season is 100%, contrasting with Lazio's 0%. However, small sample sizes (2 games each) mean last season's baselines (Udinese 1.2/1.3, Lazio 1.1/1.1) provide more reliable context. Both teams have shown balanced attack and defense last year.

Team News & Key Players

Udinese's standout is Hassane Kamara with 2 goals, 1 assist, 2 shots and 1.5 on target per 90 minutes, rating 7.9. Defender Mërgim Vojvoda contributes 2.06 key passes and 2.57 tackles per 90, rating 7.3. Lazio's Mattia Zaccagni delivers 1.5 shots and 2.5 key passes per 90, but has 1 yellow card. Goalkeeper Christos Mandas has kept 2 clean sheets with a 7.9 rating. Lazio's defense, led by Danilho Doekhi, is disciplined with 1 tackle and 1.5 fouls per 90.

Stats & Betting Angles

Udinese averages 14.5 shots and 2 corners per game, Lazio 12.5 shots and 5 corners, showing Lazio’s superior set-piece threat. Fouls differ: Lazio commits 18.5 per game with 2.5 yellows, Udinese 12.5 fouls and 1.5 yellows, suggesting Lazio plays more aggressively. Head-to-head shows high-scoring draws recently, including 3-3 and multiple 1-1 draws. Last 10 meetings include 4 draws and 3 wins for Udinese, indicating a tight matchup with goals likely on both sides.

Verdict

Expect a competitive, closely-fought game with goals from both sides. Udinese’s attacking form (2 goals PG) and 100% BTTS this season contrasts with Lazio’s solid defense (2 CS in 2) but less scoring. Historical data and recent H2H suggest BTTS and over 2.5 goals are likely. A 2-1 scoreline favors Udinese’s slightly better attacking output but Lazio’s defensive resilience keeps it close.

Martin Anderson

Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across European football markets. See the public track record.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the recent form of Udinese and Lazio influencing this match?

Udinese comes with a WD form and 2 goals scored, 1.5 conceded per game this season, while Lazio boasts two wins and 2 clean sheets, conceding just 1 goal in 2 matches. Udinese’s 100% BTTS contrasts with Lazio’s 0% BTTS, indicating Udinese concedes more often. However, small sample sizes mean last season’s stable baseline (Udinese 1.2/1.3, Lazio 1.1/1.1) is more predictive. Both teams have solid but slightly different recent trends.

What do the xG numbers say about the attacking and defensive strengths?

Udinese’s xG is 1.56 for and 1.6 against this season, reflecting decent attack but defensive vulnerability. Lazio’s xG is 1.13 for and 1.1 against, showing a modest attack with stronger defense. Last season’s data (Udinese 1.2/1.3, Lazio 1.1/1.1) confirms balanced but slightly more defensive solidity for Lazio. The xG gap suggests Udinese may create more chances but concede more.

Who are the key attackers and what are their per-90 contributions?

Udinese’s Hassane Kamara leads with 2 goals, 1 assist, 2 shots and 1.5 on target per 90 minutes, rating 7.9. Lazio’s Mattia Zaccagni offers 1.5 shots and 2.5 key passes per 90 with a 7.15 rating. Kamara’s higher goal involvement contrasts with Lazio’s more creative but less clinical Zaccagni. These players are pivotal for their teams’ attacking output.

How do defensive stats and fouls affect the match dynamics?

Udinese concedes 1.5 goals per game with 12.5 fouls and 1.5 yellow cards per game, showing moderate discipline. Lazio concedes less (1 goal per game), but commits 18.5 fouls and 2.5 yellows per game, indicating more aggressive play. Lazio’s higher fouls and cards could disrupt rhythm or invite set-piece danger, while Udinese’s slightly weaker defense might be exploited.

Why is BTTS likely or unlikely in this fixture?

Udinese’s BTTS rate this season is 100% with 2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded, while Lazio has 0% BTTS with 2 clean sheets and only 1 goal scored. However, last season both teams averaged around 1.2 goals scored and conceded, and recent head-to-head matches often ended with both teams scoring (3-3, 1-1). This suggests BTTS is probable despite Lazio’s strong start.

What does the over/under 2.5 goals market indicate here?

Udinese’s over 2.5 rate is 50% this season, Lazio’s 0%, but last season both teams averaged around 2.5 combined goals per game. Recent head-to-heads include a 3-3 draw and multiple 2-3 goal scorelines, indicating a tendency for matches with goals. Given Udinese’s attacking form (2 goals per game) and Lazio’s defensive solidity but conceding occasional goals, over 2.5 goals is a reasonable forecast.

Is there betting value in this match and where?

Given Udinese’s stronger attacking stats (2 goals/game) and Lazio’s defensive discipline but aggressive fouling (18.5 fouls and 2.5 yellows), betting on BTTS 'Yes' and Over 2.5 goals has value. The recent 3-3 draw and several high-scoring draws in H2H support this. Lazio’s 100% clean sheets this season may regress, so backing Udinese to edge a 2-1 win offers a balanced risk-reward.