Overview
Torino sit 14th with 4 points, Udinese just above at 13th also with 4 points after 5 rounds. Torino's last season baseline was 12W-9D-17L with 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game, Udinese had a slightly better defensive record conceding 1.3 per game with 14W-8D-16L. Early in this season, Torino's xG is 0.95 versus Udinese's 1.49, showing Udinese create more quality chances. Both sides share similar points but differ in defensive solidity.
Form & xG
Torino’s recent form is poor: DLWLL with only 1 goal scored per game and xG 0.95, conceding 1.63. Udinese’s form is LLLWD, scoring 1.6 goals per game with xG 1.49, conceding 2.2. Both teams have 80% BTTS and 60% Over 2.5 this season, though sample size is small. Last season, Torino conceded more (1.7 pg) than Udinese (1.3 pg), indicating Udinese's defense was stronger overall.
Team News & Key Players
Torino’s key players have low attacking returns early this season; Giovanni Simeone has 0 goals despite 2.06 shots/90, Rolando Mandragora contributes 1 assist and 1.68 OT/90. Udinese’s top contributors include Jürgen Ekkelenkamp (2G, 1A, 2.06 shots/90, 0.82 OT/90) and H. Kamara (2G, 1A, 1.46 shots/90, 1.04 OT/90). Udinese’s higher attacking output per 90 suggests more threat upfront.
Stats & Betting Angles
Head-to-head, Udinese have won the last two meetings (2-0, 2-1) and both teams have scored in 80% of Torino’s season matches. Both teams have 0 clean sheets so far, aligning with their last season’s defensive records. Torino’s lower xG and shots per game (9.2) versus Udinese’s 14.2 hint at Udinese controlling chances. Both sides average about 3-4 corners per game, with Udinese slightly higher at 4.6.
Verdict
Given Udinese’s stronger attacking numbers and better last season defensive baseline, plus recent head-to-head wins, they look marginally favored. Expect goals from both teams given 80% BTTS rate this season and 60% Over 2.5 matches. A 2-1 result to Udinese fits the data with both sides scoring and over 2.5 goals highly probable.
































































































































