Torino VS Roma Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds (Sep 14, 2026)

Torino FCTorino

0 - 2

HT: 0-1

AS RomaRoma

Serie A·Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

Comparison of analyst and AI predictions

Predicto AI

Incorrect

Both Teams to Score

View Reasoning

With both teams having a BTTS rate of 65% for Torino FC and 55% for AS Roma, there's a solid chance that both teams will find the net in this matchup. Furthermore, Torino's defensive record shows they have conceded 34 goals, which increases the likelihood of AS Roma scoring given their attacking strength. Thus, betting on both teams to score is a wise choice.

Human Analyst

Incorrect

Over 2.5 goals

View Reasoning

Given Torino FC's matches have seen over 2.5 goals in 75% of their games this season, and AS Roma's scoring prowess with 45 goals scored, this match is likely to produce at least three goals. The head-to-head history also supports this, with an average of 2.67 goals per match in their last 15 encounters. Therefore, betting on over 2.5 goals is a strong choice.

Split call — see both takes above

Key Stats

Torinoper gameAS Roma

1.3

xG for

3.2

xG against

0.6

47.5

Possession %

62.5

Shots

Torino — last 5

AS Roma — last 5

Team Stats

Torinoper gameAS Roma

1.3

xG for

3.2

xG against

0.6

47.5

Possession %

62.5

Shots

2.5

Shots on tgt

2.5

Corners

1.5

100

BTTS %

100

Over 2.5 %

100

Clean sheet %

100

Torino — last 5

AS Roma — last 5

Last season

Team	W-D-L	GF/g	GA/g	CS
Torino	12-9-17	1.2	1.7	12
AS Roma	23-4-11	1.6	0.8	18

Torino performance

Total Matches

Form

8W4D8L

Avg Scored

1.25

per match

Avg Conceded

1.20

per match

Goals Scored25

Goals Conceded24

Clean Sheets5 (25%)

BTTS60%

Over 2.555%

Over 3.520%

Roma performance

Total Matches

Form

11W4D5L

Avg Scored

2.25

per match

Avg Conceded

1.45

per match

Goals Scored45

Goals Conceded29

Clean Sheets8 (40%)

BTTS55%

Over 2.570%

Over 3.550%

Expected Match Outcome

Torino

1-2

(1.4 - 1.7 xG)

Roma

Torino

Scores1.25/g

Concedes1.20/g

Roma

Scores2.25/g

Concedes1.45/g

Market Predictions

BTTS

58%

Over 2.5

63%

Over 3.5

35%

Under 2.5

38%

Predicto Power Ranking

This is a real-time strength score based on form, stats, and momentum — not just opinion.

Head-to-Head & Form

Torino wins

Draws

AS Roma wins

Recent meetings

18 Jan 2026Torino

0–2

AS Roma

13 Jan 2026AS Roma

2–3

Torino

14 Sept 2025AS Roma

0–1

Torino

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Inter	7	6	1	0	+12	19
2	Lazio	7	6	1	0	+10	19
3	AS Roma	7	5	2	0	+13	17
4	AC Milan	7	4	3	0	+7	15
5	Como	7	4	2	1	+5	14
6	Frosinone	7	4	1	2	+4	13
7	Cagliari	7	4	1	2	-1	13
8	Juventus	7	3	2	2	+1	11
9	Napoli	7	3	1	3	+3	10
10	Torino	7	3	1	3	+1	10
11	Atalanta	7	3	0	4	-1	9
12	Lecce	7	3	0	4	-3	9
13	Sassuolo	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	Monza	7	2	1	4	-2	7
15	Bologna	7	1	2	4	-4	5
16	Udinese	7	1	1	5	-7	4
17	Genoa	7	1	1	5	-8	4
18	Fiorentina	7	1	1	5	-9	4
19	Parma	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Venezia	7	1	0	6	-10	3

Overview

Torino, currently 14th with 3 points, face top-ranked AS Roma, who have 9 points after 3 wins. Torino's last season baseline shows 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game, while Roma scored 1.6 and conceded 0.8. Roma’s defensive solidity and offensive efficiency contrast with Torino’s struggles, setting a challenging fixture for the home side.

Form & xG

Torino’s 2-game sample this season shows poor form (LL), scoring 1 and conceding 2 per match, with an xG of 1.28 for and 2 against, and 100% BTTS and Over 2.5. Roma are in fine form (WW), scoring 4 and conceding 0, with a strong xG of 3.21 for and 0.55 against, maintaining clean sheets and no BTTS. Roma’s possession (62.5%) and shots (16 per game) highlight their dominance.

Team News & Key Players

Torino’s key contributors like Saúl Coco and Vlašić have yet to impact offensively, with minimal shots or key passes per 90. Roma’s Paulo Dybala is in exceptional form, averaging 3.31 shots and 3.87 key passes per 90 with 3 assists already. Defensively, Roma’s Gianluca Mancini and Mario Hermoso provide solidity evidenced by their high tackle rates and clean sheets.

Stats & Betting Angles

Torino’s defensive frailty (1.7 goals conceded last season, 2 this season) contrasts with Roma’s solidity (0.8 last season, 0 conceded this season). BTTS is likely given Torino’s 100% BTTS this season and Roma’s 0%, but Roma’s clean sheets suggest a possible exception. Over 2.5 goals is supported by both teams’ offensive stats and prior matches, including a recent 3-2 Roma win and 2-3 Torino win in H2H.

Verdict

Roma’s superior form, xG superiority (3.21 vs 1.28), and defensive strength predict a Roma win, but Torino’s home advantage and BTTS tendency suggest at least one goal scored. Expect a competitive match with goals on both sides, leaning towards Roma’s attacking efficiency to prevail with a 2-1 scoreline.

Martin Anderson

Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across European football markets. See the public track record.

Frequently Asked Questions

How has the recent form of both teams influenced this match prediction?

Torino's recent form is poor with two losses (LL) and only 1 goal scored per game, while Roma is in excellent form with two wins (WW) scoring 4 goals and conceding none. This contrast, combined with Torino's xG of 1.28 versus Roma's 3.21, heavily influences the prediction favoring Roma to win 2-1.

What does the xG profile reveal about Torino and Roma's attacking and defensive capabilities?

Torino's xG is 1.28 for and 2 against per game this season, indicating weaker attack and vulnerable defense. Roma boasts a strong xG of 3.21 for and only 0.55 against, reflecting potent offense and solid defense. These figures align with last season’s baseline (Torino 1.2/1.7, Roma 1.6/0.8), confirming Roma's superiority in both areas.

Which key players are likely to influence the match outcome?

Paulo Dybala stands out for Roma with 3.31 shots and 3.87 key passes per 90 minutes plus 3 assists. Torino’s key players like Saúl Coco and Nikola Vlašić have minimal offensive impact so far. Roma's defenders Mancini and Hermoso contribute with high tackle rates (1.94 and 4.39 per 90) and clean sheets, strengthening Roma’s defense.

How does Torino’s defensive frailty affect the likelihood of BTTS?

Torino conceded 1.7 goals per game last season and 2 per game this season, with 100% BTTS in their two matches so far. Roma’s strong defense keeps clean sheets (0 conceded this season). Torino’s defensive issues increase BTTS likelihood, but Roma’s clean sheet record suggests a possible exception, making BTTS plausible but not guaranteed.

What supports the over/under 2.5 goals market prediction?

Both teams have 100% Over 2.5 in their two matches this season. Torino averages 1.2 goals last season and concedes 1.7, while Roma averages 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded, showing offensive potency and defensive solidity. Recent H2H matches featured multiple goals (e.g., 3-2, 2-3), supporting an Over 2.5 prediction.

What do recent head-to-head results indicate about this fixture?

Recent H2H matches show a mix of wins for both sides, with close scorelines: Torino won 3-2 and 1-0; Roma won 2-0, 2-0, 1-0, and 3-2. Several matches ended with BTTS. This history suggests a competitive game with goals from both sides and a narrow Roma victory likely.

Is there betting value in backing Roma to win with BTTS and Over 2.5 goals?

Roma’s defensive record (18 clean sheets last season, 0 conceded this season) and strong attack make a Roma win probable. Torino’s BTTS record (100%) and recent H2H with multiple goals support BTTS and Over 2.5. Given Torino’s struggles and Roma’s form, backing Roma 2-1 with BTTS and Over 2.5 offers solid value.