Bremen VS Augsburg Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds (Sep 19, 2026)

SV Werder BremenBremen

3 - 2

HT: 0-1

FC AugsburgAugsburg

Bundesliga·Weserstadion

Comparison of analyst and AI predictions

Predicto AI

Correct

Both Teams to Score

@1.40

View Reasoning

Both SV Werder Bremen and FC Augsburg have shown a consistent ability to score, with BTTS rates of 60% and 65% respectively. Their recent performances indicate that both teams are likely to find the back of the net, especially considering the attacking strengths reflected in their goal stats. The H2H record further supports this prediction, with both teams scoring frequently in previous encounters.

Human Analyst

Correct

Over 2.5 goals

@1.48

View Reasoning

With both SV Werder Bremen and FC Augsburg showcasing strong attacking capabilities, evident from their goal totals (36GF for Bremen and 49GF for Augsburg), an Over 2.5 goals bet is highly plausible. Additionally, both teams demonstrate a high percentage of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, with Bremen at 55% and Augsburg at 70%. Given their H2H history of 23 total goals in 10 matches, this trend is likely to continue.

Split call — see both takes above

Key Stats

Werder Bremenper gameFC Augsburg

0.8

xG for

2.4

1.9

xG against

2.2

Possession %

10.5

Shots

20.5

Werder Bremen — last 5

FC Augsburg — last 5

Team Stats

Werder Bremenper gameFC Augsburg

0.8

xG for

2.4

1.9

xG against

2.2

Possession %

10.5

Shots

20.5

Shots on tgt

3.5

Corners

7.5

100

BTTS %

100

Over 2.5 %

100

Clean sheet %

Werder Bremen — last 5

FC Augsburg — last 5

Last season

Team	W-D-L	GF/g	GA/g	CS
Werder Bremen	8-8-18	1.1	1.8	6
FC Augsburg	--	–	–

Bremen performance

Total Matches

Form

9W3D8L

Avg Scored

1.80

per match

Avg Conceded

1.45

per match

Goals Scored36

Goals Conceded29

Clean Sheets4 (20%)

BTTS60%

Over 2.555%

Over 3.545%

Augsburg performance

Total Matches

Form

9W5D6L

Avg Scored

2.45

per match

Avg Conceded

1.75

per match

Goals Scored49

Goals Conceded35

Clean Sheets4 (20%)

BTTS65%

Over 2.570%

Over 3.555%

Expected Match Outcome

Bremen

2-2

(1.8 - 2.0 xG)

Augsburg

Bremen

Scores1.80/g

Concedes1.45/g

Augsburg

Scores2.45/g

Concedes1.75/g

Market Predictions

BTTS

63%

Over 2.5

63%

Over 3.5

50%

Under 2.5

38%

Predicto Power Ranking

This is a real-time strength score based on form, stats, and momentum — not just opinion.

Head-to-Head & Form

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bayern München	6	4	2	0	+17	14
2	Borussia Dortmund	6	4	2	0	+7	14
3	SC Freiburg	6	4	1	1	+9	13
4	Bayer Leverkusen	6	4	1	1	+7	13
5	FSV Mainz 05	6	3	1	2	+4	10
6	SV Elversberg	6	3	1	2	+1	10
7	RB Leipzig	6	3	0	3	+5	9
8	Werder Bremen	6	2	3	1	0	9
9	Hamburger SV	6	3	0	3	-9	9
10	FC Augsburg	6	2	2	2	+4	8
11	Eintracht Frankfurt	6	2	2	2	-6	8
12	1. FC Köln	6	2	1	3	-3	7
13	VfB Stuttgart	6	2	0	4	-2	6
14	1899 Hoffenheim	6	2	0	4	-3	6
15	FC Schalke 04	6	1	2	3	-3	5
16	SC Paderborn 07	6	1	2	3	-4	5
17	Union Berlin	6	1	2	3	-12	5
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	6	0	0	6	-12	0

Overview

Werder Bremen hosts FC Augsburg in this early Bundesliga clash. Bremen sits 11th with 3 points from 2 matches, while Augsburg leads the table with 6 points. Bremen's last season baseline shows 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Augsburg's previous season data is missing, but their strong start with 3.5 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded per game this season reflects attacking potency and defensive solidity.

Form & xG

Bremen's current form is mixed (W-L), scoring 2 and conceding 2.5 goals per game, with a low xG of 0.75 for and 1.94 against, showing offensive inefficiency and defensive frailty. Augsburg, unbeaten in two (W-W), averages 3.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded, supported by a high xG of 2.43 and xGA of 2.16, suggesting clinical finishing and some defensive pressure. Bremen's 38% possession contrasts with Augsburg’s 44%, hinting Augsburg’s control but not dominance.

Team News & Key Players

Werder Bremen’s key players like Amos Pieper and Marco Friedl have low per-90 contributions, with Pieper tallying 1 shot/90 and 2 tackles/90. Augsburg’s Anton Kade stands out with a 9.7 rating, 1 goal, 1 assist, 5 shots (4 on target), and 2 key passes per 90, highlighting his influence. Keeper Finn Dahmen’s 8.2 rating and Augsburg’s low foul count (9 fouls per game) underline disciplined defense.

Stats & Betting Angles

Bremen’s 0% clean sheet rate this season and 13 failed-to-score games last season contrast with Augsburg’s 50% clean sheets and 50% BTTS this season. Both teams have had 100% over 2.5 goals matches this season. Augsburg’s higher shots (20.5 vs 10.5) and corners (7.5 vs 3.5) per game suggest attacking dominance. BTTS is likely given Bremen’s defensive leaks and Augsburg’s scoring form.

Verdict

Expect an open game with Augsburg’s attacking edge and Bremen’s defensive struggles. Augsburg’s form, key player performances, and superior xG metrics make them favorites. Bremen’s 1.1 scoring baseline and 1.8 concession last season plus current 2.5 goals conceded per game point to a high-scoring affair possibly ending 2-1 to Augsburg. BTTS and Over 2.5 goals are both supported.

Martin Anderson

Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across European football markets. See the public track record.

Frequently Asked Questions

How has the recent form of both teams influenced their current momentum?

Werder Bremen has a mixed start with a W-L record, scoring 2 goals and conceding 2.5 per game, while Augsburg is unbeaten (W-W) with 3.5 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded per game. Augsburg's momentum is stronger, reflected in their 6 points and top table position versus Bremen's 3 points and 11th place.

What do the xG numbers tell us about the attacking and defensive strengths?

Bremen’s xG of 0.75 for and 1.94 against suggest low attacking threat and defensive vulnerability. Augsburg’s xG of 2.43 for and 2.16 against indicate strong offensive capability and some defensive pressure. The difference supports Augsburg’s superiority in creating quality chances and controlling the defensive line.

Who are the key attackers and what are their per-90 contributions?

Anton Kade is Augsburg’s standout attacker with a 9.7 rating, 1 goal, 1 assist, 5 shots (4 on target), and 2 key passes per 90 minutes. Bremen’s key players have minimal offensive output; for example, Amos Pieper has 1 shot and 2 tackles per 90, indicating Augsburg’s attacking edge.

How vulnerable is each team defensively based on recent stats?

Bremen concedes 2.5 goals per game this season and had 1.8 conceded per game last season with only 6 clean sheets. Augsburg concedes 0.5 goals per game this season and maintains a 50% clean sheet rate. Bremen’s defensive frailty is a significant factor in predicting BTTS.

What supports the likelihood of BTTS in this fixture?

Bremen’s 100% BTTS rate this season and 13 failed-to-score games last season indicate offensive inconsistency but defensive leaks. Augsburg’s 50% BTTS rate and strong attack paired with Bremen’s defensive issues make BTTS very likely.

Why is over/under 2.5 goals expected to be over?

Both teams have played matches with 100% over 2.5 goals this season. Bremen concedes 2.5 goals per game and Augsburg scores 3.5 goals per game, creating conditions for a high-scoring match exceeding 2.5 goals.

Are there any head-to-head trends influencing this match?

No recent head-to-head data exists between Werder Bremen and FC Augsburg, so predictions rely heavily on last season’s baseline and current season form.

Is there any betting value in this match to consider?

Given Augsburg's strong xG (2.43), high shots (20.5), and Bremen's defensive weaknesses (1.94 xGA and 2.5 goals conceded), betting on Augsburg to win with BTTS and Over 2.5 goals offers good value. Bremen’s low scoring (1.1 last season) reduces the chance of a draw.