Stade Rennais VS OFI Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds (Oct 15, 2026)

Stade Rennais FC 1901Stade Rennais

2 - 1

HT: 0-1

OFI HeraklionOFI

UEFA Europa League·Roazhon Park

Comparison of analyst and AI predictions

Predicto AI

Correct

Both Teams to Score

@2.00

View Reasoning

Both teams have shown a tendency to score in their matches, with Stade Rennais FC 1901 having a BTTS rate of 75%, while OFI Heraklion has a lower BTTS rate of 45%. However, considering the attacking capabilities of both teams, especially with Stade Rennais FC's 33 goals scored, it's likely both teams will find the net. This makes the 'Both Teams to Score' bet a worthwhile consideration.

Human Analyst

Correct

Over 2.5 goals

@1.44

View Reasoning

Stade Rennais FC 1901 has a high tendency for matches to produce over 2.5 goals, achieving this in 85% of their games. With a goal difference of just -2 and having scored 33 goals compared to 35 conceded, their matches are often high-scoring. This aligns with OFI Heraklion's own scoring rate, as they average 34 goals scored with a solid 60% O2.5 rate, making this bet appealing.

Split call — see both takes above

Key Stats

Rennesper gameOFI

1.9

xG for

1.8

xG against

52.8

Possession %

40.7

17.3

Shots

Rennes — last 5

LDWWW

OFI — last 5

WWW

Team Stats

Rennesper gameOFI

1.9

xG for

1.8

xG against

52.8

Possession %

40.7

17.3

Shots

5.3

Shots on tgt

4.7

4.8

Corners

3.3

BTTS %

Over 2.5 %

Clean sheet %

100

Rennes — last 5

LDWWW

OFI — last 5

WWW

Last season

Team	W-D-L	GF/g	GA/g	CS
Rennes	0-0-0	0	0	0
OFI	0-0-0	0	0	0

Stade Rennais performance

Total Matches

Form

9W3D8L

Avg Scored

1.75

per match

Avg Conceded

1.75

per match

Goals Scored35

Goals Conceded35

Clean Sheets3 (15%)

BTTS75%

Over 2.585%

Over 3.545%

OFI performance

Total Matches

Form

9W3D8L

Avg Scored

1.60

per match

Avg Conceded

1.45

per match

Goals Scored32

Goals Conceded29

Clean Sheets8 (40%)

BTTS45%

Over 2.565%

Over 3.540%

Expected Match Outcome

Stade Rennais

2-2

(1.6 - 1.7 xG)

OFI

Stade Rennais

Scores1.75/g

Concedes1.75/g

OFI

Scores1.60/g

Concedes1.45/g

Market Predictions

BTTS

60%

Over 2.5

75%

Over 3.5

43%

Under 2.5

25%

Head-to-Head & Form

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olympiakos Piraeus	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Bayer Leverkusen	3	3	0	0	+8	9
4	Bournemouth	3	3	0	0	+7	9
5	Ferencvarosi TC	3	3	0	0	+6	9
6	Union St. Gilloise	3	2	1	0	+7	7
7	Juventus	3	2	1	0	+6	7
8	Beşiktaş	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Sunderland	3	2	1	0	+2	7
10	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	0	1	+4	6
11	Omonia Nicosia	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	Rennes	4	1	3	0	+1	6
13	Lyon	3	2	0	1	-1	6
14	Real Sociedad	3	1	1	1	+5	4
15	Crystal Palace	3	1	1	1	+3	4
16	Sparta Praha	3	1	1	1	+2	4
17	Levski Sofia	3	1	1	1	0	4
18	Dinamo Zagreb	3	1	1	1	-1	4
19	Sturm Graz	3	1	1	1	-2	4
20	NEC Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	-3	4
21	Red Bull Salzburg	3	1	1	1	-3	4
22	Anderlecht	3	1	0	2	+1	3
23	1899 Hoffenheim	3	1	0	2	0	3
24	AC Milan	3	1	0	2	-1	3
25	Celta Vigo	3	1	0	2	-1	3
26	OFI	3	1	0	2	-1	3
27	Jagiellonia	3	1	0	2	-2	3
28	Torreense	3	1	0	2	-3	3
29	Celje	3	0	1	2	-5	1
30	Hapoel Beer Sheva	3	0	1	2	-5	1
31	Lillestrom	3	0	1	2	-7	1
32	Lech Poznan	3	0	1	2	-8	1
33	Plzen	3	0	0	3	-5	0
34	Marseille	3	0	0	3	-5	0
35	Celtic	3	0	0	3	-6	0
36	Ararat-Armenia	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Overview

This cup tie features Rennes, currently 18th in the competition standings with 1 point, against OFI, who sit 9th with 3 points. Rennes have played 6 games this season with a 4W-1D-1L form, scoring 1.33 goals and conceding 1.5 per game. OFI are unbeaten in 3 games, winning all, scoring an impressive 2.33 goals per game while keeping clean sheets. Despite the small sample size for this season, OFI's defensive solidity contrasts with Rennes' more balanced but leaky defense.

Form & xG

Rennes have an xG of 1.92 per game but concede 1.83 xG against, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. Their possession is 52.8%, with 17.3 shots per match, 5.3 on target, and 4.8 corners per game. OFI, despite only 3 matches, have scored 2.33 goals per game but their xG data is missing; however, they maintain a 100% clean sheet record and a lower possession at 40.7%. OFI's fewer shots (9 per game) but high scoring suggests clinical finishing. BTTS occurs in 50% of Rennes’ games but 0% in OFI's, indicating contrasting defensive profiles.

Team news & key players

Rennes' key attacker Esteban Lepaul averages 5.06 shots and 2.34 on target per 90 minutes, scoring 3 goals in 6 games. A. Thomasson contributes 2.67 key passes per 90, with 1 goal and 2 assists. Defensively, B. Samba has a 7.44 rating but minimal defensive actions. OFI's T. Androutsos scored 1 goal in 4 games, with 0.33 shots and 0.33 on target per 90. Nikolaos Christogeorgos and D. Nikolaou are defensive mainstays with ratings above 7.1, contributing solid defensive work with tackles per 90 around 1.0-1.6.

Stats & betting angles

Rennes averages 4.8 corners per game against OFI's 3.3, possibly indicating more attacking pressure. Rennes concedes 1.5 goals per game, OFI none. Rennes’ BTTS rate is 50%, OFI's is 0%. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 67% of Rennes’ matches but only 33% for OFI. Rennes has a 33% clean sheet rate, OFI 100%. Given these contrasts, expect a competitive match with Rennes pushing forward more, OFI likely to defend solidly and counterattack.

Verdict

Rennes should edge this tie due to their higher xG (1.92), more shots (17.3), and home advantage, despite conceding more (1.5 goals per game). OFI’s defensive record is impressive but sample size is tiny. Expect a 2-1 win for Rennes, with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals. Rennes’ attacking key players like Lepaul and Thomasson should find chances against OFI’s defense, while OFI’s clinical finishing could yield a goal.

Martin Anderson

Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across European football markets. See the public track record.

Frequently Asked Questions

How has the recent form of both teams influenced this match prediction?

Rennes have a 4W-1D-1L record in 6 games with 1.33 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game, while OFI boasts a perfect 3W record with 2.33 goals scored and 0 conceded. Despite the small sample sizes, OFI's perfect defensive record and higher scoring rate suggest strong form, but Rennes’ experience and home advantage balance the prediction towards a narrow win for Rennes.

What do the xG statistics reveal about the attacking and defensive strengths of Rennes and OFI?

Rennes averages 1.92 xG per game and concedes 1.83 xG, indicating a slightly leaky defense and decent attack. OFI's xG data is missing but with 2.33 goals scored and 0 conceded in 3 games, their defense looks very solid while attack is efficient. Rennes’ higher shot volume (17.3 vs 9) and possession (52.8% vs 40.7%) suggest more attacking intent, but OFI’s clinical finishing is notable.

Which key attacker is most likely to influence the match and what are their per-90 stats?

Esteban Lepaul of Rennes stands out with 5.06 shots and 2.34 shots on target per 90 minutes, scoring 3 goals in 6 games. His high shot volume and accuracy make him the primary attacking threat. Thomasson contributes 2.67 key passes per 90 with 1 goal and 2 assists. OFI’s main attacker Androutsos has 0.33 shots and 0.33 on target per 90, scoring once in 4 games, indicating a less prolific attack.

How do defensive strengths and frailties compare between Rennes and OFI?

Rennes concedes 1.5 goals per game with an xG against of 1.83, and a 33% clean sheet rate. OFI concedes 0 goals per game with an unknown xG against but a 100% clean sheet rate in 3 games. Defensively, OFI's Nikolaos Christogeorgos and D. Nikolaou have ratings above 7.1 with solid tackle rates, indicating a more robust defense than Rennes, who concede more and have a lower clean sheet percentage.

What is the rationale for BTTS (both teams to score) in this match?

Rennes has a 50% BTTS rate, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.5 goals per game, showing a tendency for matches with goals at both ends. OFI has a 0% BTTS rate with 2.33 goals scored and 0 conceded, indicating a strong defense but less frequent conceding. Given Rennes' attacking pressure and OFI's scoring efficiency, BTTS 'Yes' is plausible as Rennes likely concedes and OFI should find a goal.

Why is the over/under 2.5 goals prediction set to over in this match?

Rennes experiences over 2.5 goals in 67% of their matches, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.5 per game. OFI has over 2.5 in only 33% of games but scores 2.33 per game. Combined, the expected total goals lean towards over 2.5. Rennes’ high shot volume (17.3) and OFI's clinical finishing support a more open, goal-filled game.

Are there any head-to-head trends or historical data influencing this match?

There is no head-to-head data available for Rennes vs OFI, making historical matchup analysis impossible. Predictions rely heavily on current season form and last-season baselines. This lack of direct past encounters means betting and analysis focus on team form, xG, and player stats rather than rivalry or psychological factors.

What betting value angles are present for this fixture?

Betting value lies in backing Rennes to win 2-1 with over 2.5 goals and BTTS 'Yes', combining Rennes' higher xG (1.92), shot volume (17.3), and home advantage with OFI's unbeaten form and clean sheets. OFI's low BTTS and over 2.5 rates suggest the underdog could score on the counter, making a close, goal-rich game probable and offering value in combined markets.