SL Benfica VS Gil Vicente Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds (Sep 13, 2026)

Sport Lisboa e BenficaSL Benfica

3 - 1

HT: 1-1

Gil Vicente FCGil Vicente

Liga Portugal·Estádio da Luz

Comparison of analyst and AI predictions

Predicto AI

Correct

Both Teams to Score

View Reasoning

While Gil Vicente FC has struggled offensively with only 26 goals scored this season, their ability to find the net in 45% of their matches suggests they could score against a Benfica side that has a 30% clean sheet rate. Benfica's high BTTS rate of 65% indicates that they often concede goals despite their strong performance. Therefore, betting on Both Teams to Score offers good value.

Human Analyst

Correct

Over 2.5 goals

View Reasoning

Sport Lisboa e Benfica has a strong attacking record with 49 goals scored this season, averaging over 2.5 goals per game with a 85% rate of matches going over this total. Given their dominant H2H record against Gil Vicente FC, where they have scored a total of 47 goals over 15 matches, it is likely this trend will continue. Therefore, betting on Over 2.5 goals is a compelling option.

Split call — see both takes above

Key Stats

Benficaper gameGIL Vicente

2.8

xG for

1.7

0.5

xG against

0.5

66.5

Possession %

23.5

Shots

15.3

Benfica — last 5

WWWWW

GIL Vicente — last 5

LDWW

Team Stats

Benficaper gameGIL Vicente

2.8

xG for

1.7

0.5

xG against

0.5

66.5

Possession %

23.5

Shots

15.3

Shots on tgt

4.3

7.3

Corners

4.5

BTTS %

100

Over 2.5 %

Clean sheet %

Benfica — last 5

WWWWW

GIL Vicente — last 5

LDWW

Last season

Team	W-D-L	GF/g	GA/g	CS
Benfica	23-11-0	2.2	0.7	14
GIL Vicente	--	–	–

SL Benfica performance

Total Matches

Form

14W4D2L

Avg Scored

3.00

per match

Avg Conceded

0.95

per match

Goals Scored60

Goals Conceded19

Clean Sheets6 (30%)

BTTS70%

Over 2.585%

Over 3.560%

Gil Vicente performance

Total Matches

Form

6W7D7L

Avg Scored

1.15

per match

Avg Conceded

1.25

per match

Goals Scored23

Goals Conceded25

Clean Sheets6 (30%)

BTTS50%

Over 2.555%

Over 3.530%

Expected Match Outcome

SL Benfica

2-1

(2.1 - 1.0 xG)

Gil Vicente

SL Benfica

Scores3.00/g

Concedes0.95/g

Gil Vicente

Scores1.15/g

Concedes1.25/g

Market Predictions

BTTS

60%

Over 2.5

70%

Over 3.5

45%

Under 2.5

30%

Head-to-Head & Form

Benfica wins

Draws

GIL Vicente wins

Recent meetings

02 Mar 2026GIL Vicente

1–2

Benfica

26 Sept 2025Benfica

2–1

GIL Vicente

28 Mar 2025GIL Vicente

0–3

Benfica

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	8	8	0	0	+16	24
2	Benfica	8	6	1	1	+17	19
3	Sporting CP	8	5	3	0	+11	18
4	Santa Clara	8	5	3	0	+8	18
5	Arouca	8	4	2	2	+4	14
6	GIL Vicente	8	4	2	2	+2	14
7	Academico Viseu	8	4	2	2	+1	14
8	Alverca	8	3	2	3	+1	11
9	SC Braga	8	3	2	3	-1	11
10	Estrela	8	2	4	2	-1	10
11	Maritimo	8	2	2	4	-5	8
12	Moreirense	8	2	2	4	-7	8
13	Famalicao	8	1	4	3	-1	7
14	Rio Ave	8	2	1	5	-9	7
15	Vitória SC	8	1	2	5	-5	5
16	Nacional	8	1	1	6	-9	4
17	Casa Pia	8	1	1	6	-14	4
18	Estoril	8	0	2	6	-8	2

Overview

Benfica sits 2nd in the league with 13 points from 6 games, showcasing a dominant 23W-11D-0L record last season. Gil Vicente, 6th with 7 points, face a tough challenge against a side that averaged 2.2 goals and conceded 0.7 last season. Benfica's home advantage and historical dominance in head-to-heads (multiple 3+ goal wins) set the stage for a likely high-scoring encounter.

Form & xG

Benfica boasts a perfect form streak (WWWWW) this season, scoring 3.75 goals per game with an xG of 2.77 and conceding just 0.75 (xG against 0.53). Gil Vicente's form is mixed (LDWW), scoring 0.75 goals per game, with xG 1.7 for and 0.48 against. Benfica's 66.5% possession and 23.5 shots per game vs Gil Vicente's 56% possession and 15.3 shots indicate Benfica's clear attacking superiority.

Team News & Key Players

Benfica’s G. Prestianni leads with 3 goals, 2 assists, 3.96 shots/90 and 3.68 key passes/90, rating 8.75. Defensively, Lenglet’s 7.62 rating and 0 cards in 4 apps bolster stability. Gil Vicente’s top threat, Gil Pinto Martins, has 1 goal and 2.27 shots/90 but overall lower attacking output. Defensive discipline is key as Gil Vicente averages 1.75 yellow cards per game vs Benfica’s 1.

Stats & Betting Angles

Benfica's 100% Over 2.5 and 50% BTTS this season contrast with Gil Vicente's 0% Over 2.5 and 0% BTTS, reflecting their defensive solidity but limited attack. Last season’s 14 clean sheets for Benfica vs Gil Vicente’s unknown defensive record hint at Benfica’s chances to keep a clean sheet. Head-to-head results consistently favor Benfica scoring multiple goals, suggesting Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes as strong bets.

Verdict

Given Benfica's superior xG, possession, shots, and historical dominance (e.g., 5-1 and 3-0 wins), expect a 2-1 home victory with both teams scoring. Gil Vicente’s defensive resilience may limit goals conceded but their low scoring rate suggests Benfica will control the match. Over 2.5 goals and BTTS Yes align with Benfica’s 100% Over 2.5 this season and Gil Vicente’s potential to score despite defensive focus.

Martin Anderson

Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across European football markets. See the public track record.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is Benfica's recent form influencing expectations for this match?

Benfica is in outstanding recent form with a 5-game winning streak (WWWWW), scoring 3.75 goals per game and conceding only 0.75. Their xG of 2.77 and xG against of 0.53 show clinical finishing and solid defense. This dominant form, compared to Gil Vicente's LDWW, suggests Benfica will likely control and score multiple goals.

What does the xG profile suggest about the attacking strengths of both teams?

Benfica's xG of 2.77 per game indicates a high-quality chance creation, supported by 23.5 shots and 7.3 corners per game. Gil Vicente's 1.7 xG with 15.3 shots and 4.5 corners suggests more limited attacking threat. Benfica's offensive metrics strongly favor them to create and convert more chances.

Who is the key attacker for Benfica and how do their per-90 stats impact the prediction?

G. Prestianni leads Benfica with 3 goals, 2 assists, 3.96 shots/90 and 3.68 key passes/90, rating 8.75. His prolific attacking involvement underpins Benfica’s high scoring rate (3.75 goals pg) and supports the expectation of multiple goals in this match.

What defensive frailties or strengths do both teams show?

Benfica concedes 0.75 goals per game (xG against 0.53) with 50% clean sheets this season and 14 last season, indicating strong defense. Gil Vicente concedes only 0.25 goals per game (xG 0.48) and has 75% clean sheets, showing defensive solidity but limited attacking output.

Why is BTTS (both teams to score) a reasonable bet in this fixture?

Benfica has a 50% BTTS rate this season, while Gil Vicente has 0% but still averages 0.75 goals per game. Historical H2H shows multiple 2-1 and 3-1 results, implying Gil Vicente can score despite Benfica's solid defense, supporting BTTS Yes.

How do the over/under 2.5 goals stats influence the expected total goals?

Benfica has recorded Over 2.5 goals in 100% of their games this season, while Gil Vicente has 0%. Given Benfica's average 3.75 goals per game and historical high-scoring encounters against Gil Vicente (e.g., 5-1, 3-0), Over 2.5 is strongly favored.

What does the head-to-head trend reveal about possible scorelines?

Recent H2H matches show Benfica consistently winning with scorelines like 2-1 (twice), 3-0, and 5-1. Gil Vicente has only occasionally scored against Benfica, suggesting a Benfica win with both teams scoring, supporting a 2-1 final score.

Is there a betting value angle for this match?

Considering Benfica’s dominant xG (2.77), shot volume (23.5), and perfect Over 2.5 record versus Gil Vicente’s low scoring and possession, betting on Benfica to win with BTTS Yes and Over 2.5 offers good value. The 2-1 correct score combines a reasonable margin with both teams scoring, aligning with data and form.