SC Paderborn VS Stuttgart Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds (Oct 10, 2026)

SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn

0 - 2

HT: 0-1

VfB StuttgartStuttgart

Bundesliga·Home Deluxe Arena

Comparison of analyst and AI predictions

Predicto AI

Incorrect

Both Teams to Score

@1.40

View Reasoning

Both teams have shown a strong tendency to score, with SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart both having a BTTS percentage of 65%. Given their attacking capabilities, illustrated by Paderborn's 35 goals and Stuttgart's 55 goals this season, it is likely that both teams will find the back of the net in this match.

Human Analyst

Incorrect

Over 2.5 goals

@1.34

View Reasoning

Considering SC Paderborn 07's matches have gone over 2.5 goals 60% of the time and VfB Stuttgart's impressive 85%, this matchup is expected to see multiple goals. With both teams averaging over 1.5 goals per game and a high-scoring history in their H2H matches, a bet on over 2.5 goals appears favorable.

Split call — see both takes above

Key Stats

SC Paderborn 07per gameVfB Stuttgart

0.8

xG for

0.8

1.2

xG against

4.1

46.5

Possession %

11.8

Shots

15.3

SC Paderborn 07 — last 5

WLLD

VfB Stuttgart — last 5

LLWWL

Team Stats

SC Paderborn 07per gameVfB Stuttgart

0.8

xG for

0.8

1.2

xG against

4.1

46.5

Possession %

11.8

Shots

15.3

Shots on tgt

5.5

Corners

6.5

BTTS %

Over 2.5 %

Clean sheet %

SC Paderborn 07 — last 5

WLLD

VfB Stuttgart — last 5

LLWWL

Last season

Team	W-D-L	GF/g	GA/g	CS
SC Paderborn 07	1-1-0	1	0.5	1
VfB Stuttgart	18-8-8	2.1	1.4	11

SC Paderborn performance

Total Matches

Form

10W6D4L

Avg Scored

1.75

per match

Avg Conceded

1.40

per match

Goals Scored35

Goals Conceded28

Clean Sheets6 (30%)

BTTS60%

Over 2.560%

Over 3.545%

Stuttgart performance

Total Matches

Form

11W4D5L

Avg Scored

2.85

per match

Avg Conceded

1.30

per match

Goals Scored57

Goals Conceded26

Clean Sheets5 (25%)

BTTS60%

Over 2.585%

Over 3.565%

Expected Match Outcome

SC Paderborn

2-2

(1.5 - 2.1 xG)

Stuttgart

SC Paderborn

Scores1.75/g

Concedes1.40/g

Stuttgart

Scores2.85/g

Concedes1.30/g

Market Predictions

BTTS

60%

Over 2.5

73%

Over 3.5

55%

Under 2.5

28%

Predicto Power Ranking

This is a real-time strength score based on form, stats, and momentum — not just opinion.

Head-to-Head & Form

SC Paderborn 07 wins

Draws

VfB Stuttgart wins

Recent meetings

31 Jan 2023SC Paderborn 07

1–2

VfB Stuttgart

23 May 2015SC Paderborn 07

1–2

VfB Stuttgart

20 Dec 2014VfB Stuttgart

0–0

SC Paderborn 07

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bayern München	7	5	2	0	+19	17
2	Borussia Dortmund	7	5	2	0	+8	17
3	SC Freiburg	7	4	1	2	+7	13
4	Bayer Leverkusen	7	4	1	2	+4	13
5	RB Leipzig	7	4	0	3	+9	12
6	Werder Bremen	7	3	3	1	+1	12
7	FSV Mainz 05	7	3	1	3	+3	10
8	SV Elversberg	7	3	1	3	-3	10
9	FC Augsburg	7	2	3	2	+4	9
10	1899 Hoffenheim	7	3	0	4	0	9
11	Hamburger SV	7	3	0	4	-10	9
12	1. FC Köln	7	2	2	3	-3	8
13	SC Paderborn 07	7	2	2	3	-3	8
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	7	2	2	3	-7	8
15	VfB Stuttgart	7	2	0	5	-3	6
16	FC Schalke 04	7	1	3	3	-3	6
17	Union Berlin	7	1	3	3	-12	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	7	1	0	6	-11	3

Overview

SC Paderborn 07 (#12, 4pts) host VfB Stuttgart (#15, 3pts) in a Bundesliga clash. Paderborn have a defensive baseline from last season conceding just 0.5 goals per game in their limited 2 matches, while Stuttgart scored 2.1 and conceded 1.4 over 34 matches. Stuttgart’s early season form is shaky (LLWWL) but they maintain a higher xG conceded (4.06) than Paderborn (1.24), suggesting defensive vulnerabilities. Historical H2H favors Stuttgart with two 2-1 wins, but a 0-0 draw in 2014 shows Paderborn can frustrate.

Form & xG

Paderborn’s four games this season yield 0.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game, with xG 0.75 for, 1.24 against, highlighting a struggling attack but relatively stable defense. Stuttgart’s 1.5 goals scored but 2.25 conceded per game, paired with a worrying 4.06 xG conceded, reveals defensive frailty despite better attacking output. Possession favors Stuttgart at 53% vs 46.5%, and shots per game are higher for Stuttgart (15.3) compared to Paderborn (11.8).

Team news & key players

Key Paderborn players include S. Castañeda (1 goal, 1.33 shots/90) and L. Curda (1 assist, 1.46 shots/90, 1.82 key passes/90). Stuttgart rely on J. Vagnoman (2 goals, 1 assist, 1.54 shots/90), M. Mittelstädt (1 goal, 1 assist, 3.62 key passes/90), and Grischa Prömel (1 goal, 2.03 shots/90). Defensive discipline is average with 1.5 yellows per game each side. Stuttgart’s goalkeeper F. Bredlow has a 7.13 rating but faces high xG against.

Stats & betting angles

Paderborn’s BTTS rate this season is low at 25%, while Stuttgart’s is high at 75%, suggesting Stuttgart concede often. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 50% of Paderborn’s games and 75% for Stuttgart. Last season, Stuttgart kept 11 clean sheets in 34 games, Paderborn only 1 in 2 games, showing Stuttgart’s defensive capability historically. Corners favor Stuttgart (6.5/g) vs Paderborn (4/g). Cards are balanced at 1.5 yellows per game each.

Verdict

Expect a competitive match with Stuttgart slightly favored due to superior attacking numbers and historical edge in H2H. Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides and Stuttgart’s higher xG conceded suggest goals likely. A 2-1 Stuttgart win aligns with past 2-1 results and BTTS trends. Over 2.5 goals is probable given both teams’ attack and defensive stats, with Stuttgart’s offensive players expected to influence the scoreline.

Martin Anderson

Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across European football markets. See the public track record.

Frequently Asked Questions

How has the recent form of both teams influenced expectations for this match?

Paderborn’s form is WLLD with 4 points from 4 games, scoring 0.75 goals per game and conceding 1.25, indicating a struggling attack but moderate defense. Stuttgart’s form is LLWWL with 3 points from 4 games, scoring 1.5 but conceding 2.25 per game and a high xG conceded of 4.06, showing defensive weaknesses despite recent wins. This contrast suggests Stuttgart's defense is more vulnerable, setting expectation for goals.

What do the xG stats reveal about the attacking and defensive strengths of both teams?

Paderborn’s xG is 0.75 for and 1.24 against per game, indicating a low attacking threat but relatively disciplined defense. Stuttgart’s xG for is lower at 0.79 but their xG against is alarmingly high at 4.06, reflecting defensive frailty. The contrast suggests Stuttgart create chances but also concede high-quality chances, while Paderborn struggles offensively but defends better.

Which key attackers are likely to influence this match based on per-90 stats?

Stuttgart’s J. Vagnoman stands out with 2 goals, 1 assist, 1.54 shots/90, and 1.79 key passes/90, while M. Mittelstädt contributes 1 goal, 1 assist, and 3.62 key passes/90. For Paderborn, S. Castañeda (1 goal, 1.33 shots/90) and L. Curda (1 assist, 1.46 shots/90, 1.82 key passes/90) are their main offensive outlets. These players are pivotal for creating and converting chances.

How do the defensive stats and recent xG conceded reflect on both teams’ vulnerabilities?

Stuttgart concedes 2.25 goals per game with an xG against of 4.06, indicating they allow many high-quality chances. Paderborn concedes fewer goals (1.25) and a lower xG against (1.24), suggesting a more resilient defense. However, Paderborn’s attack is less potent, which may force them to defend deeper. Stuttgart’s defensive frailty is a key factor likely to increase goal-scoring opportunities.

What is the rationale behind the BTTS and over/under 2.5 goals predictions?

Stuttgart’s BTTS rate is 75% this season, while Paderborn’s is only 25%, reflecting Stuttgart’s tendency to concede. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 75% of Stuttgart’s games and 50% of Paderborn’s, supported by Stuttgart’s high xG conceded (4.06) and attacking players’ output. This suggests both teams will likely score and the total goals will exceed 2.5.

What do the head-to-head results suggest about likely outcomes?

Recent H2H shows two 2-1 wins for Stuttgart (2023-01-31, 2015-05-23) and one 0-0 draw (2014-12-20), indicating a trend where Stuttgart narrowly edges Paderborn but Paderborn can occasionally hold them scoreless. This supports a close match with a slight Stuttgart win, likely 2-1, consistent with previous scorelines.

Is there any betting value in the predicted outcomes given the stats?

Considering Stuttgart’s higher xG conceded (4.06) and Paderborn’s low scoring rate (0.75 goals/game), backing BTTS Yes and Over 2.5 goals looks promising. The recent H2H 2-1 wins for Stuttgart align with a correct score prediction, offering value against more conservative odds. The balanced cards and corner stats also hint at an open, competitive game.