Deportivo VS Sevilla FC Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds (Sep 16, 2026)

RC Deportivo La CoruñaDeportivo

0 - 1

HT: 0-0

Sevilla FCSevilla FC

LaLiga·Estadio Abanca-Riazor

Comparison of analyst and AI predictions

Predicto AI

Incorrect

RC Deportivo La Coruña to win

@2.68

View Reasoning

RC Deportivo La Coruña's impressive record of 11 wins in 20 matches, coupled with their stronger goal difference (30GF/20GA), indicates they are in better form compared to Sevilla FC, who have struggled defensively with 32 goals conceded. Additionally, their head-to-head dominance, with Sevilla winning 8 out of 15 encounters, suggests that Deportivo might capitalize on their home advantage to secure a win. This makes 'RC Deportivo La Coruña to win' a promising bet.

Human Analyst

Incorrect

Both Teams to Score

@1.91

View Reasoning

Both teams have shown a strong tendency to score, with RC Deportivo La Coruña boasting a BTTS rate of 70% and Sevilla FC at 65%. Given that the recent head-to-head record shows a total of 47 goals over 15 matches, it's reasonable to expect both teams to find the net again. The current form of both teams also supports this prediction, making 'Both Teams to Score' a solid bet.

Split call — see both takes above

Key Stats

Deportivo La Corunaper gameSevilla

xG for

1.2

1.5

xG against

1.4

41.5

Possession %

42.5

8.3

Shots

11.5

Deportivo La Coruna — last 5

WWDD

Sevilla — last 5

DLWW

Team Stats

Deportivo La Corunaper gameSevilla

xG for

1.2

1.5

xG against

1.4

41.5

Possession %

42.5

8.3

Shots

11.5

3.5

Shots on tgt

Corners

100

BTTS %

100

Over 2.5 %

Clean sheet %

Deportivo La Coruna — last 5

WWDD

Sevilla — last 5

DLWW

Last season

Team	W-D-L	GF/g	GA/g	CS
Deportivo La Coruna	0-0-0	0	0	0
Sevilla	12-7-19	1.2	1.6	6

Deportivo performance

Total Matches

Form

10W8D2L

Avg Scored

1.55

per match

Avg Conceded

0.85

per match

Goals Scored31

Goals Conceded17

Clean Sheets6 (30%)

BTTS65%

Over 2.540%

Over 3.525%

Sevilla FC performance

Total Matches

Form

11W2D7L

Avg Scored

1.20

per match

Avg Conceded

1.05

per match

Goals Scored24

Goals Conceded21

Clean Sheets5 (25%)

BTTS55%

Over 2.550%

Over 3.515%

Expected Match Outcome

Deportivo

1-1

(1.3 - 1.0 xG)

Sevilla FC

Deportivo

Scores1.55/g

Concedes0.85/g

Sevilla FC

Scores1.20/g

Concedes1.05/g

Market Predictions

BTTS

60%

Over 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 2.5

55%

Predicto Power Ranking

This is a real-time strength score based on form, stats, and momentum — not just opinion.

Head-to-Head & Form

Deportivo La Coruna wins

Draws

Sevilla wins

Recent meetings

17 Apr 2018Deportivo La Coruna

0–0

Sevilla

02 Dec 2017Sevilla

2–0

Deportivo La Coruna

08 Apr 2017Sevilla

4–2

Deportivo La Coruna

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	8	8	0	0	+27	24
2	Atletico Madrid	8	6	1	1	+10	19
3	Real Betis	8	6	1	1	+5	19
4	Real Madrid	8	6	0	2	+11	18
5	Sevilla	8	4	2	2	+1	14
6	Real Sociedad	8	4	1	3	-3	13
7	Alaves	8	3	2	3	+4	11
8	Deportivo La Coruna	8	2	4	2	+1	10
9	Celta Vigo	8	1	5	2	+2	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Villarreal	8	2	2	4	0	8
12	Espanyol	8	2	2	4	0	8
13	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	-5	8
14	Getafe	8	2	2	4	-6	8
15	Racing Santander	8	2	2	4	-10	8
16	Osasuna	8	2	2	4	-10	8
17	Levante	7	1	3	3	-4	6
18	Elche	8	1	3	4	-6	6
19	Valencia	8	1	2	5	-9	5
20	Malaga	8	0	4	4	-9	4

Overview

Deportivo La Coruna currently sits 5th in the standings with 8 points from 4 matches, showing a solid start with 2 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Sevilla, in 8th place with 6 points, averages 1.75 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Both teams have maintained a 100% BTTS rate this season. Historical clashes favor Sevilla with multiple wins in recent years, but Deportivo's home advantage and current form make this a competitive fixture.

Form & xG

Deportivo's underlying stats show an xG of 0.96 for and 1.53 against per match, indicating defensive vulnerabilities despite scoring fewer than expected goals (2 actual vs 3.84 xG in 4 games). Sevilla's xG profile is slightly better with 1.17 for and 1.36 against, aligning with their 1.75 goals scored per game. Both teams have similar possession rates around 41-42%, but Sevilla generates more shots (11.5 vs 8.3) and corners (3 vs 3), suggesting a marginal offensive edge.

Team News & Key Players

Deportivo's main attacking threat is Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, who has scored all 3 of their goals this season with 3.06 shots and 2.38 on target per 90 minutes. Midfielders like Lorenzo Amatucci contribute with key passes (0.33 KP/90). Sevilla lacks a prolific scorer so far but R. Ure offers creativity with 0.97 shots and key passes per 90. Defensively, both teams have disciplinary issues: Sevilla averages 3.5 yellow cards per game, Deportivo 2.5, which could influence game flow.

Stats & Betting Angles

Both teams have BTTS in 100% of their games this season, supporting a high chance of goals at both ends. Sevilla's higher over 2.5 goals rate (75%) compared to Deportivo's 50% suggests a slightly more open game. Historically, Sevilla has won multiple matches with 3+ goals scored, while Deportivo's last clean sheet was never recorded this season. Corners and fouls stats indicate a physical match with 14.3 fouls/game for Deportivo and 16.8 for Sevilla, potentially leading to set-piece opportunities.

Verdict

Expect a close and entertaining encounter with both teams likely to score given their 100% BTTS this season and defensive frailties (1.25-1.5 goals conceded per game). Aubameyang's finishing can be decisive for Deportivo, while Sevilla's slightly better xG and shot volume hint at a narrow away victory or draw. A 2-1 scoreline fits the underlying stats, with over 2.5 goals and BTTS strongly supported by season form and historical trends.

Martin Anderson

Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across European football markets. See the public track record.

Frequently Asked Questions

How has the recent form of both teams influenced their attacking and defensive records?

Deportivo La Coruna's recent form is strong with WWDD in 4 games, scoring 2 goals and conceding 1.25 per game, but their xG for is only 0.96, indicating slight underperformance in attack. Sevilla's form is less consistent (DLWW) but they score more at 1.75 goals per game with an xG of 1.17, conceding 1.5. Defensive frailties persist for both, with Deportivo conceding 1.53 xG and Sevilla 1.36, suggesting open games.

What does the xG profile tell us about the expected attacking efficiency of Deportivo and Sevilla?

Deportivo's xG of 0.96 per game is lower than their actual goals scored (2 total in 4 games), indicating some finishing efficiency but also possible sustainability questions. Sevilla's xG of 1.17 closely matches their 1.75 goals per game, showing a more balanced attack. Both concede over 1.3 xG per match, highlighting defensive weaknesses. The slight xG edge to Sevilla suggests they create better chances overall.

Who are the key attackers to watch and what are their per-90 statistics?

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is Deportivo's main threat with 3 goals, 3.06 shots and 2.38 shots on target per 90 minutes. Lorenzo Amatucci adds creativity with 0.33 key passes per 90. For Sevilla, R. Ure is the standout creator with 0.97 shots and 0.97 key passes per 90, though no goals yet. This indicates Aubameyang’s finishing is crucial, while Sevilla relies on collective chance creation.

How vulnerable are both teams defensively based on goals conceded and disciplinary records?

Deportivo concedes 1.25 goals per game but their xG against is higher at 1.53, indicating defensive lapses. Sevilla concedes 1.5 goals per game with an xG against of 1.36. Disciplinary issues also stand out: Sevilla averages 3.5 yellow cards per game vs Deportivo’s 2.5, increasing risk of defensive instability. These factors contribute to the high BTTS rate for both teams.

Why is BTTS (both teams to score) highly likely in this fixture?

Both teams have a 100% BTTS rate this season over 4 games, with Deportivo conceding 1.25 and Sevilla 1.5 goals per game. Their xG conceded (1.53 and 1.36) reflects defensive vulnerabilities. Also, historical matches show multiple high-scoring games with Sevilla often scoring twice or more. Combined with offensive stats like Aubameyang’s 3 goals and Sevilla’s shot volume, BTTS is strongly supported.

What supports the prediction of over 2.5 goals in this game?

Sevilla has a 75% over 2.5 goals rate this season, higher than Deportivo’s 50%. Both teams concede over 1.25 goals per game and have high fouls (14.3 and 16.8 per game), increasing set-piece chances. Historical head-to-heads often feature 3+ goals (e.g., 4-2, 3-4, 3-1). Combined with attacking talents like Aubameyang, these factors justify an expectation of over 2.5 goals.

How do the head-to-head trends inform the expected outcome?

Recent head-to-heads show Sevilla winning several high-scoring matches: 4-2 and 3-4 away wins in 2017 and 3-2 away in 2016. There were also draws including a 0-0 in 2018 and 1-1 in 2016. This suggests a trend of competitive matches with goals for both sides. Sevilla’s historical dominance combined with Deportivo’s home form points to a close 2-1 result.

Is there betting value in backing a 2-1 correct score and BTTS/Over 2.5 combination?

Given the 100% BTTS rate for both teams, Sevilla’s 75% over 2.5 rate, and defensive vulnerabilities (1.25-1.5 goals conceded per game), the 2-1 correct score is realistic. Historical H2H supports multiple 3+ goal games. The attacking output of Aubameyang and Sevilla’s shot volume further justify this. The odds on such a precise scoreline combined with BTTS and Over 2.5 could offer value for bettors seeking a balanced risk.