Portsmouth VS Blackburn Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds (Sep 19, 2026)

Portsmouth FCPortsmouth

2 - 2

HT: 1-1

Blackburn Rovers FCBlackburn

Championship·Fratton Park

Comparison of analyst and AI predictions

Predicto AI

Incorrect

Draw

@3.50

View Reasoning

The likelihood of a draw is supported by both teams' closely matched records, with Portsmouth FC at W7 D6 L7 and Blackburn Rovers FC at W6 D7 L7. Additionally, both teams have similar goal statistics, scoring 24 goals each while conceding nearly the same amount, which suggests that a stalemate is a plausible outcome. Considering these factors, a draw seems a reasonable prediction.

Human Analyst

Correct

Both Teams to Score

@1.83

View Reasoning

Both teams have shown a strong tendency to score, with Portsmouth FC recording a 'Both Teams to Score' (BTTS) rate of 60% and Blackburn Rovers FC matching this with the same BTTS percentage. Additionally, their head-to-head matches have produced a total of 15 goals in 6 matches, indicating that encounters between these teams often see both sides finding the net. Given these statistics, betting on both teams to score appears a solid choice.

Split call — see both takes above

Key Stats

Portsmouthper gameBlackburn

1.4

xG for

0.7

1.4

xG against

1.6

54.2

Possession %

53.2

Shots

11.2

Portsmouth — last 5

WLLWL

Blackburn — last 5

LLDLW

Team Stats

Portsmouthper gameBlackburn

1.4

xG for

0.7

1.4

xG against

1.6

54.2

Possession %

53.2

Shots

11.2

4.4

Shots on tgt

Corners

5.8

BTTS %

Over 2.5 %

Clean sheet %

Portsmouth — last 5

WLLWL

Blackburn — last 5

LLDLW

Last season

Team	W-D-L	GF/g	GA/g	CS
Portsmouth	14-13-19	1.1	1.4	10
Blackburn	13-13-20	0.9	1.2	12

Portsmouth performance

Total Matches

Form

7W6D7L

Avg Scored

1.20

per match

Avg Conceded

1.40

per match

Goals Scored24

Goals Conceded28

Clean Sheets6 (30%)

BTTS60%

Over 2.545%

Over 3.535%

Blackburn performance

Total Matches

Form

6W7D7L

Avg Scored

1.20

per match

Avg Conceded

1.20

per match

Goals Scored24

Goals Conceded24

Clean Sheets5 (25%)

BTTS60%

Over 2.560%

Over 3.515%

Expected Match Outcome

Portsmouth

1-1

(1.2 - 1.3 xG)

Blackburn

Portsmouth

Scores1.20/g

Concedes1.40/g

Blackburn

Scores1.20/g

Concedes1.20/g

Market Predictions

BTTS

60%

Over 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 2.5

48%

Head-to-Head & Form

Portsmouth wins

Draws

Blackburn wins

Recent meetings

07 Mar 2026Blackburn

1–1

Portsmouth

13 Dec 2025Portsmouth

2–1

Blackburn

29 Mar 2025Portsmouth

1–0

Blackburn

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Swansea	11	7	2	2	+8	23
2	West Ham	11	6	4	1	+18	22
3	Middlesbrough	11	6	4	1	+6	22
4	Birmingham	11	5	5	1	+9	20
5	West Brom	11	6	2	3	+3	20
6	Stoke City	11	6	1	4	+2	19
7	Wolves	11	5	3	3	+3	18
8	Southampton	11	6	3	2	+11	17
9	QPR	11	4	5	2	+3	17
10	Blackburn	11	4	3	4	+1	15
11	Sheffield Utd	11	4	3	4	+1	15
12	Millwall	11	4	3	4	0	15
13	Portsmouth	11	4	3	4	0	15
14	Wrexham	11	3	5	3	-1	14
15	Bolton	11	4	2	5	-3	14
16	Bristol City	11	4	2	5	-3	14
17	Charlton	11	3	5	3	-5	14
18	Lincoln	11	3	3	5	-10	12
19	Cardiff	11	2	5	4	+1	11
20	Watford	11	3	2	6	-9	11
21	Norwich	11	3	0	8	-4	9
22	Burnley	11	1	5	5	-5	8
23	Derby	11	1	3	7	-11	6
24	Preston	11	1	1	9	-15	4

Overview

Portsmouth and Blackburn meet with both struggling near the relegation zone, Portsmouth 17th with 6 points and Blackburn 18th with 5. Last season, Portsmouth averaged 1.1 goals and conceded 1.4 per game, while Blackburn scored 0.9 and conceded 1.2. This season’s small samples show Portsmouth scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6, Blackburn scoring 1.17 and conceding 1.5, indicating defensive vulnerabilities for both sides.

Form & xG

Portsmouth's recent form is WLLWL with an xG of 1.4 for and 1.39 against per game, while Blackburn has LLDLW and a notably lower xG for at 0.72 but higher xG against at 1.57. Portsmouth's possession edge (54.2%) and higher shots (16 vs 11.2) suggest more offensive intent. BTTS rates lean towards goals on both sides: 60% for Portsmouth and 83% for Blackburn, supporting a likely open game.

Team news & key players

Portsmouth’s key players include Segecic (2 shots/90, 0.25 OT/90, rating 7.2) and Kamara (1.61 shots/90, 0.54 OT/90), both contributing to attack. Blackburn’s Alebiosu and McLoughlin offer defensive solidity but with low offensive output, while Cantwell (2.22 shots/90, 0.92 OT/90) and Morishita (1.44 shots/90, 0.72 OT/90) lead their attack. Blackburn’s higher yellow card rate (2.83/yel per game) may impact discipline.

Stats & betting angles

Portsmouth averages 7 corners per game versus Blackburn's 5.8, with match averages of 11.6 and 10.7 respectively. Portsmouth concedes slightly more (1.6 vs 1.5). BTTS is historically higher for Blackburn (83% this season), and O2.5 goals have occurred 60% of Portsmouth’s matches and 83% of Blackburn’s. Clean sheets remain rare: 20% for Portsmouth, 17% for Blackburn, indicating goals likely at both ends.

Verdict

Given similar defensive frailty and attacking potential, a close, open encounter with goals at both ends is expected. Portsmouth's slight edge in possession and shots may translate into a narrow win, but Blackburn's strong BTTS and O2.5 record suggest this will be a high-scoring, competitive match. The last three H2H meetings mostly ended with goals on both sides and tight scorelines favoring Portsmouth.

Martin Anderson

Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across European football markets. See the public track record.

Frequently Asked Questions

How has the recent form of Portsmouth and Blackburn influenced this match prediction?

Portsmouth's recent form is WLLWL with 6 points from 5 games, scoring 1.4 goals and conceding 1.6 per match. Blackburn's form is LLDLW with 5 points from 6 games, scoring 1.17 and conceding 1.5. Both teams show defensive frailty and inconsistent results, supporting expectations of a competitive match with goals on both sides.

What do the xG statistics indicate about this fixture?

Portsmouth’s xG is 1.4 for and 1.39 against per game this season, while Blackburn’s is 0.72 for and 1.57 against. Portsmouth’s higher xG for suggests better offensive chances, but similar xG conceded implies both defenses are vulnerable, indicating a match likely to feature goals from both teams.

Which key attackers are likely to influence the match based on per-90 stats?

Portsmouth’s Kamara (1.61 shots/90, 0.54 OT/90) and Segecic (2 shots/90, 0.25 OT/90) are the main attacking outlets. Blackburn’s Cantwell (2.22 shots/90, 0.92 OT/90) and Morishita (1.44 shots/90, 0.72 OT/90) provide offensive thrust. Cantwell’s high shots and OT indicate he could be decisive in goal creation or scoring.

What defensive weaknesses might affect the outcome?

Both teams concede over 1.4 goals per game this season (Portsmouth 1.6, Blackburn 1.5) with low clean sheet rates (20% Portsmouth, 17% Blackburn). Blackburn’s higher foul count and 2.83 yellow cards per game suggest potential disciplinary issues. Defensive frailty and possible suspensions could open spaces and increase goal chances.

Why is BTTS a strong consideration for this game?

BTTS is 60% for Portsmouth and 83% for Blackburn this season, reflecting frequent goals at both ends. Historically, recent H2H matches (e.g., 1-1 and 2-1 results) also support both teams scoring. Defensive weaknesses and attacking stats reinforce the likelihood of goals for both sides.

What under/over 2.5 goals trends support the prediction?

Portsmouth has O2.5 in 60% of matches this season, Blackburn 83%. Their last three H2H games averaged over 2.5 goals (2-1, 1-1, 1-0). Both teams’ high shots and xG conceded support an open game with more than 2.5 goals likely.

How does the head-to-head record influence betting value?

Recent H2H shows Portsmouth slightly stronger with two wins and a draw in last three meetings, including a 2-1 home win in Dec 2025. Matches often feature BTTS and close scorelines, indicating value in betting on Portsmouth to win with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals.