Zwolle VS Feyenoord Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds (Sep 13, 2026)

PEC ZwolleZwolle

0 - 7

HT: 0-3

Feyenoord RotterdamFeyenoord

Eredivisie·MAC³PARK stadion

Comparison of analyst and AI predictions

Predicto AI

Incorrect

Both Teams to Score

View Reasoning

The prediction that both teams will score is justified by both teams' BTTS percentages, with PEC Zwolle at 70% and Feyenoord Rotterdam at 65%. This statistic indicates that both teams have consistently found the net in their matches. Furthermore, considering the H2H record, where Feyenoord has dominated but PEC Zwolle can still pose a threat, it is likely that both sides will score.

Human Analyst

Correct

Over 2.5 goals

View Reasoning

The prediction for over 2.5 goals is supported by PEC Zwolle's tendency to concede, with 41 goals against in 20 matches, leading to a BTTS percentage of 70%. Additionally, Feyenoord Rotterdam has a solid offensive record with 33 goals scored this season, contributing to a 55% chance of matches going over 2.5 goals. Given the historical context of their encounters, where 55 goals were scored in the last 15 matches, this bet appears promising.

Split call — see both takes above

Key Stats

PEC Zwolleper gameFeyenoord

1.2

xG for

2.9

1.6

xG against

0.9

38.8

Possession %

59.3

11.8

Shots

PEC Zwolle — last 5

DLWLL

Feyenoord — last 5

DWDW

Team Stats

PEC Zwolleper gameFeyenoord

1.2

xG for

2.9

1.6

xG against

0.9

38.8

Possession %

59.3

11.8

Shots

Shots on tgt

7.8

3.6

Corners

7.5

BTTS %

Over 2.5 %

Clean sheet %

PEC Zwolle — last 5

DLWLL

Feyenoord — last 5

DWDW

Last season

Team	W-D-L	GF/g	GA/g	CS
PEC Zwolle	9-10-15	1.3	2.1	6
Feyenoord	19-8-7	2.1	1.3	10

Zwolle performance

Total Matches

Form

4W6D10L

Avg Scored

1.10

per match

Avg Conceded

2.05

per match

Goals Scored22

Goals Conceded41

Clean Sheets3 (15%)

BTTS60%

Over 2.555%

Over 3.545%

Feyenoord performance

Total Matches

Form

12W7D1L

Avg Scored

2.25

per match

Avg Conceded

1.25

per match

Goals Scored45

Goals Conceded25

Clean Sheets4 (20%)

BTTS80%

Over 2.570%

Over 3.550%

Expected Match Outcome

Zwolle

1-2

(1.2 - 2.1 xG)

Feyenoord

Zwolle

Scores1.10/g

Concedes2.05/g

Feyenoord

Scores2.25/g

Concedes1.25/g

Market Predictions

BTTS

70%

Over 2.5

63%

Over 3.5

48%

Under 2.5

38%

Head-to-Head & Form

PEC Zwolle wins

Draws

Feyenoord wins

Recent meetings

17 May 2026PEC Zwolle

0–2

Feyenoord

06 Dec 2025Feyenoord

6–1

PEC Zwolle

25 Apr 2025Feyenoord

4–0

PEC Zwolle

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Feyenoord	9	7	2	0	+21	23
2	AZ Alkmaar	9	6	2	1	+10	20
3	PSV Eindhoven	9	6	1	2	+15	19
4	Ajax	9	5	3	1	+15	18
5	Twente	9	5	2	2	+7	17
6	Fortuna Sittard	9	4	3	2	-1	15
7	Groningen	9	4	2	3	+3	14
8	Heerenveen	9	3	3	3	+4	12
9	GO Ahead Eagles	9	2	5	2	-1	11
10	Excelsior	9	3	2	4	-2	11
11	Utrecht	9	3	2	4	-10	11
12	NEC Nijmegen	9	2	4	3	-1	10
13	Sparta Rotterdam	9	2	3	4	-6	9
14	Cambuur	9	2	3	4	-8	9
15	PEC Zwolle	9	2	1	6	-12	7
16	Telstar	9	1	3	5	-8	6
17	ADO Den Haag	9	1	3	5	-9	6
18	Willem II	9	0	2	7	-17	2

Overview

Feyenoord, sitting 3rd with 11 points, host PEC Zwolle, 14th with 4 points, on September 13, 2026. Historically, Feyenoord dominate this fixture, winning 9 of the last 10 matches with big margins including 6-1 and 5-0 victories. Zwolle's defensive fragility (2.1 goals conceded last season) contrasts with Feyenoord's potent attack scoring 2.1 per game last season. This sets the stage for a likely Feyenoord win at home.

Form & xG

Zwolle have a poor recent form (DLWLL) and an xG of 1.21 for vs 1.6 against this season, reflecting defensive struggles. Feyenoord show better form (DWDW) with an impressive xG of 2.88 for and 0.93 against, suggesting strong attacking efficiency and defensive solidity. Despite small sample sizes, last season's baseline supports Feyenoord's superiority in both attack and defense.

Team News & Key Players

Zwolle's top scorer this season is Koen Kostons with 3 goals and 2 yellow cards, averaging 2.01 shots and 1.01 on target per 90. Feyenoord's Gjivai Zechiël leads with 3 goals and 1 assist, boasting 2 shots and 1.75 OT per 90, plus a high 3 key passes per 90. Other Feyenoord threats include Anis Hadj Moussa (1G, 1A) with 2.34 shots and 3.9 key passes per 90, highlighting their creative edge.

Stats & Betting Angles

Feyenoord's possession dominance (59.3% vs 38.8%), higher corners (7.5 vs 3.6), and fewer fouls (7.3 vs 11.8) show control and discipline. Both teams have high BTTS rates this season (Feyenoord 75%, Zwolle 60%) and O2.5 percentages (Feyenoord 75%, Zwolle 60%). Past H2H matches mostly ended with multiple goals and both teams scoring is frequent, supporting Over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes bets.

Verdict

Considering Feyenoord's superior form, xG, and historical dominance, they are strong favorites to win. Zwolle's porous defense and low possession percentage suggest they will concede multiple goals. The expected match score is 2-1, aligning with Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score. Betting value lies in backing Feyenoord to win with BTTS and Over 2.5 goals given consistent statistical and historical evidence.

Martin Anderson

Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across European football markets. See the public track record.

Frequently Asked Questions

How has the recent form impacted both teams' prospects for this match?

PEC Zwolle's recent form is poor (DLWLL), scoring 1.2 goals and conceding 2 per game, indicating struggles. Feyenoord's form is better (DWDW), scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.5 per game. This disparity suggests Feyenoord is in a stronger position to control the match and secure a win, supported by their higher xG (2.88 vs 1.21) this season.

What does the xG profile suggest about the attacking and defensive strengths of the teams?

Zwolle's xG this season is 1.21 for and 1.6 against, showing they create limited chances and concede more, reflecting defensive weakness. Feyenoord's xG is 2.88 for and 0.93 against, indicating strong chance creation and solid defense. Last season's baseline confirms Feyenoord's better attack (2.1 goals/game) and defense (1.3 conceded), reinforcing their superiority.

Who are the key attackers to watch and their per-90 statistics?

For PEC Zwolle, Koen Kostons leads with 3 goals, 2.01 shots and 1.01 on target per 90. Feyenoord’s Gjivai Zechiël is prolific with 3 goals, 2 shots and 1.75 on target per 90, plus 3 key passes per 90. Anis Hadj Moussa offers creativity with 1 goal, 1 assist, 2.34 shots and 3.9 key passes per 90, making them the main offensive threats.

How vulnerable is PEC Zwolle defensively based on cards and tackles?

Zwolle concedes 2 goals per game last season and 1.6 xG against this season, showing defensive frailty. They commit 11.8 fouls and 1.75 yellow cards per game, higher than Feyenoord’s 7.3 fouls and 0.67 yellows, indicating possible lapses and risk of set-piece threats. Their top tackler Olivier Aertssen averages 3.6 tackles/90 but still concedes many chances.

Why is BTTS (Both Teams To Score) a likely outcome?

Both teams have high BTTS rates this season: Feyenoord 75%, Zwolle 60%. Historically, their last 10 meetings all saw both teams score except one 0-2 result. Zwolle’s defense concedes over 2 goals per game last season, while Feyenoord’s attack averages 2.1 goals, supporting both teams scoring in this fixture.

What supports the expectation of Over 2.5 goals in this match?

Both teams have O2.5 rates of 60% (Zwolle) and 75% (Feyenoord) this season. Historical H2H results show frequent high-scoring games (6-1, 5-0, 4-0). Feyenoord’s high xG (2.88) and Zwolle’s poor defense make a match with 3 or more goals very plausible.

How do recent head-to-head results inform the likely scoreline?

Last 10 H2H matches show Feyenoord dominance with wins like 6-1, 5-0, 4-0, and recent 0-2 and 2-1 results. Zwolle rarely keeps clean sheets against Feyenoord. This trend suggests a Feyenoord win by 2-1, matching both teams scoring and multiple goals.

Is there betting value in this match and where?

Feyenoord’s strong xG, form, and historical dominance make a win bet solid. The high BTTS and Over 2.5 percentages combined with consistent H2H results provide value in BTTS Yes and Over 2.5 goals markets. Given Zwolle's defensive issues, these bets carry statistical and historical justification.