Olympiakos VS Jagiellonia Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds (Sep 16, 2026)

PAE Olympiakos SFPOlympiakos

2 - 1

HT: 1-1

Jagiellonia BiałystokJagiellonia

UEFA Europa League·Georgios Karaiskakis

Comparison of analyst and AI predictions

Predicto AI

Incorrect

Jagiellonia Białystok Handicap -1.5

View Reasoning

Considering Jagiellonia Białystok's strong form with 14 wins and a solid goal-scoring record of 34 goals, they are likely to dominate the match. Their ability to maintain a clean sheet 40% of the time indicates a robust defense, which could contribute to a victory by a margin. A handicap of -1.5 is reasonable given their superior performance.

Human Analyst

Incorrect

Jagiellonia Białystok to win

@11.40

View Reasoning

Jagiellonia Białystok boasts a stronger overall record with 14 wins compared to Olympiakos's 8, and their goal difference of +17 significantly outweighs Olympiakos's +3. With a clean sheet rate of 40% and a better scoring rate, Jagiellonia is well-positioned to secure a win against a less consistent opponent. Given these factors, a bet on Jagiellonia Białystok to win is a solid choice.

Both back Jagiellonia Białystok—different markets

Key Stats

Olympiakos Piraeusper gameJagiellonia

xG for

xG against

Possession %

Shots

Olympiakos Piraeus — last 5

Jagiellonia — last 5

Team Stats

Olympiakos Piraeusper gameJagiellonia

xG for

xG against

Possession %

Shots

Shots on tgt

Corners

BTTS %

100

Over 2.5 %

100

Clean sheet %

Olympiakos Piraeus — last 5

Jagiellonia — last 5

Last season

Team	W-D-L	GF/g	GA/g	CS
Olympiakos Piraeus	0-0-0	0	0	0
Jagiellonia	0-0-0	0	0	0

Olympiakos performance

Total Matches

Form

8W5D7L

Avg Scored

1.25

per match

Avg Conceded

1.10

per match

Goals Scored25

Goals Conceded22

Clean Sheets6 (30%)

BTTS50%

Over 2.540%

Over 3.525%

Jagiellonia performance

Total Matches

Form

14W3D3L

Avg Scored

1.70

per match

Avg Conceded

0.85

per match

Goals Scored34

Goals Conceded17

Clean Sheets8 (40%)

BTTS50%

Over 2.550%

Over 3.520%

Expected Match Outcome

Olympiakos

1-1

(1.1 - 1.4 xG)

Jagiellonia

Olympiakos

Scores1.25/g

Concedes1.10/g

Jagiellonia

Scores1.70/g

Concedes0.85/g

Market Predictions

BTTS

50%

Over 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 2.5

55%

Head-to-Head & Form

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Bayer Leverkusen	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Beşiktaş	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Bournemouth	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Omonia Nicosia	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Ferencvarosi TC	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Lyon	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Sunderland	2	2	0	0	+2	6
10	Olympiakos Piraeus	2	2	0	0	+2	6
11	Sparta Praha	2	1	1	0	+3	4
12	Union St. Gilloise	2	1	1	0	+3	4
13	Rennes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
14	Dinamo Zagreb	2	1	1	0	+1	4
15	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	+3	3
16	AC Milan	2	1	0	1	+2	3
17	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
18	OFI	2	1	0	1	+1	3
19	Torreense	2	1	0	1	0	3
20	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	0	3
21	Red Bull Salzburg	2	1	0	1	-3	3
22	Real Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-1	1
23	Lillestrom	2	0	1	1	-1	1
24	Levski Sofia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
25	Hapoel Beer Sheva	2	0	1	1	-1	1
26	Sturm Graz	2	0	1	1	-3	1
27	NEC Nijmegen	2	0	1	1	-5	1
28	Celta Vigo	2	0	0	2	-2	0
29	Anderlecht	2	0	0	2	-2	0
30	1899 Hoffenheim	2	0	0	2	-3	0
31	Plzen	2	0	0	2	-4	0
32	Marseille	2	0	0	2	-4	0
33	Celtic	2	0	0	2	-5	0
34	Ararat-Armenia	2	0	0	2	-5	0
35	Celje	2	0	0	2	-5	0
36	Lech Poznan	2	0	0	2	-8	0

Overview

Olympiakos Piraeus hosts Jagiellonia in a cup tie with both sides yet to score points in this competition. Olympiakos shows a slight possession edge at 54% versus Jagiellonia's 36% this season, though sample size is minimal. Both teams have low historical data, with no last-season baseline available, increasing unpredictability. Olympiakos's defensive solidity is hinted by their 100% clean sheet rate in one game, while Jagiellonia's attacking efficiency is proven by scoring twice in their sole match.

Form & xG

Olympiakos's form is drawn (D) with no goals scored or conceded, 12 shots (5 on target), and 5 corners per game. Their xG data is null but possession dominance (54%) suggests control. Jagiellonia's winning form (W) includes 2 goals scored and 1 conceded, with 4 corners and 16 fouls, indicating aggressive play. Both teams’ xG is unavailable this season; hence, last season's baseline is absent, limiting predictive accuracy.

Team News & Key Players

Olympiakos's key contributors include Rodinei (2 shots/90, 1 on target, 6 tackles/90) and Dani García (7.2 rating, 2 fouls committed/90). Ayoub El Kaabi attempts 2 shots/90 with 2 on target but holds a low rating (5.9). Jagiellonia relies on K. Szmyt, who averages 2.13 shots/90 with 0.64 on target, scoring 1 goal and 1 assist in 5 appearances. Defensive midfielder T. Romanczuk’s 4 tackles/90 underline defensive solidity.

Stats & Betting Angles

Olympiakos averages 5 corners per game while Jagiellonia has 4, slightly below the match average of 7. Olympiakos commits 11 fouls per game with 2 yellow cards, whereas Jagiellonia is more aggressive with 16 fouls but no yellows. BTTS is 0% for Olympiakos and 100% for Jagiellonia, and over 2.5 goals have occurred 0% versus 100% respectively. These mixed signals suggest a moderately open game with goal-scoring opportunities for both sides.

Verdict

Despite limited data and no historical head-to-head, the available stats favor a competitive match with goals from both teams. Jagiellonia's recent scoring and Olympiakos's defensive resilience suggest a 2-1 scoreline, aligning with BTTS and over 2.5 goals. The slight possession and shot volume edge for Olympiakos could tip the balance in their favor in this cup fixture.

Martin Anderson

Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across European football markets. See the public track record.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the recent form of both teams affect the match outlook?

Olympiakos enters with a draw (D) in their only match this season, scoring 0 and conceding 0, while Jagiellonia is in winning form (W) with 2 scored and 1 conceded. Olympiakos’s defensive clean sheet contrasts with Jagiellonia’s attacking efficiency, suggesting a match where Jagiellonia looks sharper offensively but Olympiakos defends well.

What does the xG profile indicate about the teams’ attacking potential?

xG data is not available for this season for either team, limiting direct analysis. Olympiakos created 12 shots with 5 on target in their sole game, indicating decent attacking activity. Jagiellonia’s 2 goals in their only match show clinical finishing, but lack of xG metrics means we lean on shot volume and conversion instead.

Which key attackers should influence the match outcome?

For Olympiakos, Rodinei’s 2 shots/90 and high tackle rate (6/90) show both attacking and defensive contribution. Ayoub El Kaabi’s 2 shots/90 with 2 on target but low rating (5.9) suggests potential underperformance. Jagiellonia’s K. Szmyt stands out with 2.13 shots/90, 0.64 on target, 1 goal, and 1 assist in 5 games, marking him as a key offensive threat.

How do defensive frailties or strengths impact potential goals?

Olympiakos kept a clean sheet in their only game, committing 11 fouls and receiving 2 yellow cards, indicating disciplined defense. Jagiellonia conceded once but committed 16 fouls with no yellows, suggesting aggressive but less disciplined defending. This dynamic may allow both teams to score, with Jagiellonia’s defense more vulnerable.

What is the rationale behind the BTTS (Both Teams To Score) prediction?

Olympiakos has 0% BTTS in their single game, while Jagiellonia has 100%. Given Jagiellonia’s recent scoring and Olympiakos’s possession and shot volume, the prediction favors BTTS 'Yes.' The expected 2-1 scoreline aligns with both teams likely finding the net.

Why is the over/under 2.5 goals line set to 'Over'?

Jagiellonia’s sole match featured 3 goals, and Olympiakos’s 12 shots with 5 on target suggest attacking intent. Despite Olympiakos’s clean sheet, the expected score of 2-1 implies at least 3 goals total, justifying an Over 2.5 prediction.

What do head-to-head trends suggest about this fixture?

No recent head-to-head data exists between Olympiakos Piraeus and Jagiellonia, increasing uncertainty. Predictions rely heavily on current season stats and player form, making this a less predictable tie that leans on the slight advantages in possession and attacking metrics.

Is there any betting value in this prediction?

Given the limited sample size and no last-season baseline, the 2-1 Olympiakos win with BTTS and Over 2.5 goals offers moderate confidence (65%). Betting on BTTS 'Yes' and Over 2.5 aligns with Jagiellonia’s 100% BTTS and Over 2.5 stats, providing value in a cup tie where both teams seek to assert dominance.