Liverpool VS Fulham Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds (Sep 12, 2026)

Liverpool FCLiverpool

0 - 0

HT: 0-0

Fulham FCFulham

Premier League·Anfield

Comparison of analyst and AI predictions

Predicto AI

Incorrect

Over 2.5 goals

View Reasoning

Over 2.5 goals is a solid prediction considering Liverpool has seen over 2.5 goals in 60% of their matches, highlighting their tendency for high-scoring games. With Fulham's games also averaging fewer goals (50% O2.5), the combined attacking capabilities with Liverpool's 31 goals scored suggest a likely high-scoring affair. The H2H results, with a total of 49 goals in 15 matches, strongly indicate that this match could follow a similar trend.

Human Analyst

Incorrect

Both Teams to Score

View Reasoning

Both Teams to Score is a strong bet given Liverpool's BTTS rate of 65%, indicating that they frequently allow goals despite their attacking prowess. Fulham, while not as prolific, still has a BTTS rate of 45%, suggesting they can find the net against weaker defenses. Additionally, the H2H history shows that in their last 15 encounters, both teams scored in many matches, further supporting this prediction.

Split call — see both takes above

Key Stats

Liverpoolper gameFulham

2.4

xG for

1.1

1.9

xG against

2.1

61.7

Possession %

60.5

16.7

Shots

12.5

Liverpool — last 5

WDD

Fulham — last 5

Team Stats

Liverpoolper gameFulham

2.4

xG for

1.1

1.9

xG against

2.1

61.7

Possession %

60.5

16.7

Shots

12.5

Shots on tgt

Corners

BTTS %

Over 2.5 %

Clean sheet %

Liverpool — last 5

WDD

Fulham — last 5

Last season

Team	W-D-L	GF/g	GA/g	CS
Liverpool	17-9-12	1.7	1.4	10
Fulham	15-7-16	1.2	1.3	9

Liverpool performance

Total Matches

Form

7W5D8L

Avg Scored

1.55

per match

Avg Conceded

1.55

per match

Goals Scored31

Goals Conceded31

Clean Sheets3 (15%)

BTTS65%

Over 2.560%

Over 3.540%

Fulham performance

Total Matches

Form

6W3D11L

Avg Scored

1.05

per match

Avg Conceded

1.40

per match

Goals Scored21

Goals Conceded28

Clean Sheets4 (20%)

BTTS45%

Over 2.550%

Over 3.525%

Expected Match Outcome

Liverpool

1-1

(1.5 - 1.3 xG)

Fulham

Liverpool

Scores1.55/g

Concedes1.55/g

Fulham

Scores1.05/g

Concedes1.40/g

Market Predictions

BTTS

55%

Over 2.5

55%

Over 3.5

33%

Under 2.5

45%

Predicto Power Ranking

This is a real-time strength score based on form, stats, and momentum — not just opinion.

Head-to-Head & Form

Liverpool wins

Draws

Fulham wins

Recent meetings

11 Apr 2026Liverpool

2–0

Fulham

04 Jan 2026Fulham

2–2

Liverpool

06 Apr 2025Fulham

3–2

Liverpool

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	7	7	0	0	+12	21
2	Arsenal	7	6	0	1	+6	18
3	Brighton	7	5	1	1	+18	16
4	Chelsea	7	4	1	2	+4	13
5	Liverpool	7	3	3	1	+1	12
6	Brentford	7	2	4	1	+5	10
7	Leeds	7	2	4	1	+3	10
8	Everton	7	2	4	1	+1	10
9	Hull City	7	2	3	2	+1	9
10	Ipswich	7	3	0	4	-4	9
11	Newcastle	7	2	2	3	-4	8
12	Aston Villa	7	2	2	3	-4	8
13	Manchester United	7	1	4	2	0	7
14	Crystal Palace	7	2	1	4	-8	7
15	Bournemouth	7	1	3	3	-4	6
16	Tottenham	7	1	3	3	-4	6
17	Coventry	7	2	0	5	-8	6
18	Fulham	7	1	2	4	-3	5
19	Nottingham Forest	7	1	2	4	-4	5
20	Sunderland	7	1	1	5	-8	4

Overview

Liverpool hosts Fulham with Liverpool currently 6th in the standings with 5 points from 3 matches, while Fulham languishes 19th with 0 points from 2 games. Last season, Liverpool scored 1.7 goals per game and conceded 1.4, whereas Fulham scored 1.2 and conceded 1.3 per game. Liverpool's home form and stronger baseline suggest they will aim to capitalize early on their higher league position and better goal production.

Form & xG

Liverpool's current form is WDD with 2.37 xG per game and 1.94 xGA, showing a slight increase in attacking threat but also defensive vulnerability compared to last season's 1.7 scored and 1.4 conceded. Fulham have lost both games with 1.14 xG and 2.13 xGA, indicating defensive frailty. Liverpool's possession at 61.7% and 16.7 shots per game versus Fulham's 60.5% possession and 12.5 shots suggest a tight midfield battle but Liverpool holds the edge in chances created.

Team News & Key Players

Liverpool's key attackers include Alexander Isak, scoring 3 goals in 244 minutes with 2.58 shots and 1.84 on target per 90, and Cody Gakpo with 1 goal and 3 assists, 1.43 shots per 90. Defensively, Van Dijk averages 1.67 tackles per 90. Fulham's Joshua King has 1 goal from 2 games with 2 shots per 90 but limited key passes (0.5). Goalkeeper Bernd Leno’s rating is low (6.1) indicating possible defensive issues. Liverpool's stronger attacking stats and more stable defense favor them.

Stats & Betting Angles

Liverpool averages 4 corners per game with 67% BTTS and O2.5, while Fulham offers 5 corners per match but only 50% BTTS and O2.5. Liverpool kept 10 clean sheets last season versus Fulham’s 9, but Fulham failed to score in 11 matches last year compared to Liverpool’s 4. Head-to-head shows several 2-2 draws and Liverpool wins like 2-0 and 2-1, suggesting a competitive but goal-rich fixture. Liverpool's higher xG and shots suggest Over 2.5 goals and BTTS Yes.

Verdict

Given Liverpool’s stronger attacking output (1.7 gpg last season, 2.37 xG now) and Fulham’s defensive struggles (2.13 xGA this season), Liverpool is favored to win with a scoreline around 2-1. Both teams have decent recent BTTS rates, and the fixture’s history shows multiple goal-scoring encounters. Expect a competitive match with Liverpool edging Fulham at home, with Over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

Martin Anderson

Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across European football markets. See the public track record.

Frequently Asked Questions

How has the recent form of Liverpool and Fulham influenced their prospects for this match?

Liverpool is unbeaten in their last three games (WDD) with 5 points, showing a positive start compared to Fulham's two losses (0 points). Liverpool's xG of 2.37 per game surpasses Fulham's 1.14, indicating better chance creation. Fulham's xGA of 2.13 highlights defensive vulnerability. This form disparity favors Liverpool's likelihood to control the match and score more.

What does the xG profile suggest about the attacking and defensive strengths of both teams?

Liverpool's xG per game is 2.37, significantly higher than Fulham's 1.14, showing Liverpool generates more quality chances. Defensively, Liverpool concedes 1.94 xGA versus Fulham's 2.13, indicating Fulham struggles more at the back. This suggests Liverpool has a stronger attack and a slightly better defense, favoring a higher scoring game with Liverpool dominant.

Which key attackers are expected to influence the match and what are their per-90 stats?

Liverpool’s Alexander Isak is in excellent form with 3 goals in 244 minutes, averaging 2.58 shots and 1.84 on target per 90. Cody Gakpo also impresses with 1 goal, 3 assists, 1.43 shots, and 0.36 OT per 90. Fulham’s Joshua King has 1 goal from 2 games and 2 shots per 90 but fewer key passes (0.5). Liverpool’s attackers have far better shooting and chance creation metrics.

How do defensive frailties impact the expected outcome?

Fulham concedes 2.13 xGA per game this season, higher than Liverpool’s 1.94, highlighting their defensive vulnerability. Fulham’s goalkeeper Bernd Leno holds a low rating (6.1), suggesting possible instability at the back. Liverpool’s defense, led by Van Dijk with 1.67 tackles per 90, is more reliable. These defensive differences support Liverpool scoring multiple goals and Fulham struggling to keep a clean sheet.

What is the rationale behind expecting both teams to score (BTTS)?

Liverpool’s BTTS rate this season is 67%, and Fulham’s is 50%, with historical head-to-head matches often featuring goals on both sides, including 2-2 draws in January and December 2026. Fulham has struggled defensively (2.13 xGA), while Liverpool concedes 1.94 xGA, suggesting both sides can find the net. The combined data supports BTTS Yes.

Why is over 2.5 goals a strong betting angle for this fixture?

Liverpool’s O2.5 rate is 67% this season, Fulham’s 50%, and last season Liverpool averaged 1.7 goals per game while conceding 1.4. Several recent head-to-head matches ended with 3+ goals, including a 4-3 win for Liverpool in December 2023 and multiple 2-2 draws. Liverpool’s high xG (2.37) and shots (16.7) per game suggest attacking dominance, supporting Over 2.5 goals.

How do recent head-to-head results impact the prediction?

Recent encounters show Liverpool winning 2-0 in April 2026 and several 2-2 draws, including January and December 2026, indicating competitive but goal-filled matches. Liverpool also won 2-1 and 4-3 in past seasons. This trend suggests Liverpool's ability to score multiple goals while Fulham also finds the net, reinforcing a 2-1 scoreline with BTTS and Over 2.5.

Is there any betting value based on current stats and form?

Liverpool’s superior xG (2.37 vs 1.14), higher shot volume (16.7 vs 12.5), and better form (WDD vs LL) suggest value in backing Liverpool to win. BTTS and Over 2.5 also align with historical H2H and current season data. Fulham’s defensive issues and zero points indicate risk for underdogs, making Liverpool win with BTTS and Over 2.5 a strong value bet.