Levante VS Mallorca Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds (May 17, 2026)

Levante UDLevante

2 - 0

HT: 1-0

RCD MallorcaMallorca

LaLiga·Estadio Ciudad de Valencia

Comparison of Expert and AI picks

Predicto AI

Correct

Levante UD to win

@2.10

View Reasoning

The prediction for Levante UD to win is supported by their decent home form and the odds provided. They have a win rate of 38% overall, and with their position in the standings, they could capitalize on their home advantage against RCD Mallorca, who has struggled with a lower win rate of 26%. Additionally, historical performance shows Levante winning 3 out of 15 encounters, suggesting a competitive edge.

Expert Pick

Both Teams to Score

@1.70

View Reasoning

Given both teams' recent form and statistical output, a bet on 'Both Teams to Score' is recommended. Levante UD has a BTTS rate of 45%, while RCD Mallorca boasts a higher rate of 70%. Additionally, their recent head-to-head history shows a total of 34 goals in 15 matches, indicating that both teams are capable of finding the back of the net.

Split call — see both takes above

Defensive Vulnerabilities

Levante UD and RCD Mallorca both display defensive frailties this season, with Levante conceding 30 goals and Mallorca 32 across their respective campaigns. Levante’s clean sheet rate stands at 30%, which is significantly higher than Mallorca’s meager 10%, indicating that Mallorca struggles more to keep opponents at bay. This defensive instability suggests that both sides are prone to conceding, setting the stage for an open encounter at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia.

Goal Scoring Trends

When it comes to finding the net, Levante has scored 27 goals with a modest over 2.5 goals occurrence in only 40% of their matches. In contrast, Mallorca has a similar goal tally at 26, but their games hit over 2.5 goals 70% of the time, reflecting a more attack-oriented approach. The BTTS (Both Teams to Score) rate underscores this difference: Mallorca boasts 70%, whereas Levante is at 45%. This statistical gap points towards a likely scenario where both teams will score, with Mallorca’s attacking tendencies often opening up defensive gaps.

Historical Matchups

Looking at their head-to-head record over the last 15 meetings, Mallorca leads with 7 wins compared to Levante’s 3, alongside 5 draws. These 15 matches have yielded 34 goals, averaging around 2.3 goals per game, which aligns with the current scoring trends of both teams. This history suggests that encounters between these sides are often competitive, with a relatively high likelihood of goals from both ends.

Home Advantage Factor

Levante’s home form is a critical factor ahead of this fixture. They have secured 8 wins in 20 matches overall, with a stronger defensive record at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia than away venues. Mallorca, meanwhile, has struggled on the road, reflected in their low clean sheet percentage and defensive fragility. Levante’s familiarity with their home pitch and crowd support could tip the scales in their favor, especially given their better recent results on home turf.

Prediction Summary

Given Levante’s home advantage and a historical edge that includes 3 wins in 15 matches, the AI prediction favoring a Levante win is reasonable. However, both teams’ defensive weaknesses and Mallorca’s high BTTS rate (70%) strongly support the expert’s recommendation of a 'Both Teams to Score' bet. The combination of Levante’s 45% BTTS rate and Mallorca’s attacking tendencies suggests goals at both ends are highly probable, making BTTS a solid betting angle alongside a cautious lean towards a home win.

Martin Anderson

Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across European football markets. See the public track record.

Frequently Asked Questions

What's your prediction for this match?

The prediction for Levante UD vs RCD Mallorca leans towards a Levante UD win, supported by their superior head-to-head record with 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses but a competitive edge at home. Levante's balanced record (W8 D5 L7) and RCD Mallorca's more inconsistent form (W6 D4 L10) suggest a tight match. Given the average goals per game from their history (2.3) and both teams' tendency to concede, a likely scoreline could be 2-1 in favor of Levante UD.

Which team has better recent form?

Levante UD shows a slightly better season form with 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, scoring 27 goals but conceding 30, reflecting a porous defense but decent attack. RCD Mallorca, with 6 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, has scored 26 goals and conceded 32, indicating more defensive vulnerability. Levante's clean sheet rate of 30% surpasses Mallorca's 10%, suggesting stronger defensive resilience. However, Mallorca's higher Over 2.5 goals rate at 70% compared to Levante's 40% shows they are involved in more open, high-scoring games.

What are the best betting opportunities?

The best betting markets for Levante UD vs RCD Mallorca include Both Teams to Score (BTTS), given Mallorca's 70% BTTS rate and Levante's 45%. The Over 2.5 goals market is also promising due to Mallorca's high 70% rate, despite Levante's lower 40%. Clean sheets are less likely, especially for Mallorca with only 10%, so backing BTTS and Over 2.5 goals offers strong value based on their attacking and defensive records.

How do these teams match up historically?

The head-to-head record between Levante UD and RCD Mallorca over 15 matches shows Levante with 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses. These encounters have produced a total of 34 goals, averaging 2.3 goals per game, indicating a moderately high-scoring rivalry. This history suggests competitive matches, with Mallorca having a slight edge but Levante holding home advantage in this fixture.

What are the key tactical matchups?

Tactically, Levante UD relies on a more balanced approach with a slightly better defensive record, reflected in their 30% clean sheet rate. RCD Mallorca, despite having a weaker defense conceding 32 goals and only 10% clean sheets, compensates with a more aggressive attacking style, indicated by their 70% Over 2.5 goals and 70% BTTS rates. This clash sets up a classic contest between Levante's moderate attack and relatively solid defense against Mallorca's high-scoring but vulnerable backline.

Should I bet on the favorite or underdog?

The betting value in Levante UD vs RCD Mallorca likely lies with Levante as slight favorites, considering their better home form and stronger defensive stats. While Mallorca offers appeal for high-scoring bets, Levante's 30% clean sheet rate and balanced record suggest their win is undervalued. Given the expert and AI predictions favoring Levante, backing the home win with Both Teams to Score could maximize value.