Levante VS Athletic Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds (Sep 16, 2026)

Levante UDLevante

19:30

Wed, Sep 16 2026

Athletic ClubAthletic

LaLiga·Ciudad de Valencia

Comparison of analyst and AI predictions

Predicto AI

Both Teams to Score

@1.67

View Reasoning

Both teams have shown a strong propensity to score, with Athletic Club having a 60% rate for Both Teams to Score (BTTS), while Levante UD stands at 45%. The historical matchups also favor this outcome, as they have frequently produced goals from both sides, evidenced by their previous encounters. Given these statistics, the likelihood of both teams finding the net in this match is quite high.

Human Analyst

Over 2.5 goals

@1.87

View Reasoning

Given the attacking statistics, Levante UD has scored 28 goals while conceding 32, indicating a tendency for high-scoring matches. Athletic Club, with 26 goals and 33 against, also showcases a similar pattern, as reflected in their 50% rate for Over 2.5 goals. The H2H history, with 46 total goals in 15 matches, further supports the likelihood of this trend continuing, suggesting that a bet on Over 2.5 goals is reasonable.

Split call — see both takes above

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Key Stats

Levanteper gameAthletic Club

1.4

xG for

1.4

xG against

1.8

46.7

Possession %

44.8

11.3

Shots

12.8

Levante — last 5

WDL

Athletic Club — last 5

WWLL

Team Stats

Levanteper gameAthletic Club

1.4

xG for

1.4

xG against

1.8

46.7

Possession %

44.8

11.3

Shots

12.8

3.7

Shots on tgt

4.8

3.3

Corners

6.3

BTTS %

Over 2.5 %

Clean sheet %

Levante — last 5

WDL

Athletic Club — last 5

WWLL

Last season

Team	W-D-L	GF/g	GA/g	CS
Levante	11-9-18	1.2	1.6	9
Athletic Club	13-6-19	1.1	1.5	6

Levante performance

Total Matches

Form

10W3D7L

Avg Scored

1.45

per match

Avg Conceded

1.40

per match

Goals Scored29

Goals Conceded28

Clean Sheets7 (35%)

BTTS50%

Over 2.555%

Over 3.530%

Athletic performance

Total Matches

Form

8W3D9L

Avg Scored

2.10

per match

Avg Conceded

1.40

per match

Goals Scored42

Goals Conceded28

Clean Sheets7 (35%)

BTTS45%

Over 2.560%

Over 3.540%

Expected Match Outcome

Levante

1-2

(1.4 - 1.8 xG)

Athletic

Levante

Scores1.45/g

Concedes1.40/g

Athletic

Scores2.10/g

Concedes1.40/g

Market Predictions

BTTS

48%

Over 2.5

58%

Over 3.5

35%

Under 2.5

43%

Predicto Power Ranking

This is a real-time strength score based on form, stats, and momentum — not just opinion.

Head-to-Head & Form

Levante wins

Draws

Athletic Club wins

Recent meetings

08 Feb 2026Athletic Club

4–2

Levante

29 Nov 2025Levante

0–2

Athletic Club

07 Mar 2022Athletic Club

3–1

Levante

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	8	8	0	0	+27	24
2	Atletico Madrid	8	6	1	1	+10	19
3	Real Betis	8	6	1	1	+5	19
4	Real Madrid	8	6	0	2	+11	18
5	Sevilla	8	4	2	2	+1	14
6	Real Sociedad	8	4	1	3	-3	13
7	Alaves	8	3	2	3	+4	11
8	Deportivo La Coruna	8	2	4	2	+1	10
9	Celta Vigo	8	1	5	2	+2	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Villarreal	8	2	2	4	0	8
12	Espanyol	8	2	2	4	0	8
13	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	-5	8
14	Getafe	8	2	2	4	-6	8
15	Racing Santander	8	2	2	4	-10	8
16	Osasuna	8	2	2	4	-10	8
17	Levante	7	1	3	3	-4	6
18	Elche	8	1	3	4	-6	6
19	Valencia	8	1	2	5	-9	5
20	Malaga	8	0	4	4	-9	4

Overview

Levante (#10, 5pts) host Athletic Club (#9, 6pts) in a tight mid-table clash. Levante’s last season baseline shows 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded per game, with 9 clean sheets in 38 matches. Athletic Club recorded 1.1 scored and 1.5 conceded per game with 6 clean sheets. Early season form is similar — Levante’s 1.67 goals for and against per game slightly outpaces Athletic’s 1.5 scored and 1.25 conceded, but small sample sizes (3 vs 4 matches) limit conclusions.

Form & xG

Levante’s 3-match form is WDL with xG 1.44 for and 1.39 against, showing an attacking output slightly above their last season baseline (1.2 goals). Athletic Club’s 4-game form is WWLL with xG 1.43 for but a higher xG conceded at 1.8, indicating defensive vulnerability. Levante’s possession is 46.7% (below 50%), Athletic’s 44.8%, both teams favor counter-attacks. Levante’s 67% Over 2.5 matches and Athletic’s 50% suggest moderate scoring potential.

Team news & key players

Levante’s Adrián de la Fuente (7.4 rating) averages 1 shot/90 and 0.33 key passes/90, while Jon Ander Olasagasti (7.17) leads with 1.33 shots and 2.33 key passes per 90. Athletic’s Oihan Sancet (6.93) is prolific with 2.69 shots and 1.34 key passes per 90, and Iñaki Williams (6.76) contributes 2.53 shots and 1.81 key passes per 90, plus 2 assists. Both teams have disciplined defenses with few yellows per game.

Stats & betting angles

Head-to-head favors Athletic Club historically: 4-2 and 2-0 victories recently. Levante’s defensive baseline (1.6 conceded) is slightly worse than Athletic’s (1.5), but Athletic’s 1.8 xG conceded this season flags potential defensive leaks. Both sides have low BTTS rates (Levante 33%, Athletic 25%), but recent H2H matches feature multiple goals. Levante’s corners (3.3) trail Athletic’s 6.3 per game, hinting Athletic’s attacking set-piece threat.

Verdict

Expect a competitive, moderately high-scoring game with Athletic Club’s slightly superior attack and historical dominance balanced by Levante’s better early-season defensive form. The match should produce goals for both sides given offensive per-90 stats and recent H2H scorelines. A 2-1 Athletic win is plausible, aligning with over 2.5 goals and BTTS Yes. Small sample sizes caution heavy betting but trends support an open game.

Martin Anderson

Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across European football markets. See the public track record.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the recent form of Levante and Athletic Club compare?

Levante’s recent form is WDL over 3 games, scoring 1.67 and conceding 1.67 goals per match, slightly above their last season baseline of 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded. Athletic Club has a WWLL record in 4 games, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.25 goals per game, with xG conceded of 1.8 suggesting defensive issues. Small sample sizes caution overinterpretation.

What do the xG statistics reveal about both teams’ attacking and defensive qualities?

Levante’s xG stands at 1.44 for and 1.39 against per game, close to their goals scored/conceded, indicating balance. Athletic has 1.43 xG for but a higher 1.8 xG against, signaling defensive vulnerability despite scoring close to xG. This suggests Athletic may concede more than Levante, despite similar attacking output.

Which key attackers are most likely to influence the match?

For Levante, Jon Ander Olasagasti leads with 1.33 shots and 2.33 key passes per 90 minutes, while Adrián de la Fuente contributes 1 shot and 0.33 key passes per 90. Athletic’s Oihan Sancet is most dangerous with 2.69 shots and 1.34 key passes per 90, and Iñaki Williams supports with 2.53 shots, 1.81 key passes, and 2 assists, making them key offensive threats.

How do the teams’ defensive records and discipline compare?

Levante conceded 1.6 goals per game last season with 9 clean sheets, Athletic conceded 1.5 with 6 clean sheets. This season, Levante concedes 1.67 goals per game, Athletic 1.25. Yellow card rates are low: Levante averages 0.67 yellows per game, Athletic 1.75, indicating Athletic’s defense is more aggressive but potentially riskier.

What is the rationale behind the BTTS and over/under 2.5 goals predictions?

Despite low BTTS rates this season (33% Levante, 25% Athletic), recent head-to-head matches often featured multiple goals (e.g., Athletic 4-2 Levante, Levante 0-2 Athletic). Both teams average around 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded, supporting BTTS Yes. Levante’s 67% and Athletic’s 50% Over 2.5 rates also justify expecting over 2.5 goals.

How does the head-to-head history influence expectations?

Athletic Club has dominated recent meetings with wins such as 4-2 and 2-0 in 2026 and 2025. The last 10 encounters include multiple multi-goal games, with Athletic winning most and Levante failing to score in half. This suggests Athletic’s edge but also a propensity for goals, supporting a close, goal-filled contest.

Is there a betting value angle in this fixture?

Given Athletic’s historical dominance and better key attacking stats but defensive fragility (1.8 xG conceded), the 2-1 Athletic win at 1.95 odds offers value. Over 2.5 goals is supported by both teams’ early-season Over rates (67% Levante, 50% Athletic) and recent H2H. BTTS Yes is also a solid bet given average goals scored and conceded near 1.5 per team.