Hull City VS Everton Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds (Oct 11, 2026)

Hull City AFCHull City

2 - 2

HT: 0-0

Everton FCEverton

Premier League·MKM Stadium

Comparison of analyst and AI predictions

Predicto AI

Incorrect

Everton FC to win

@2.17

View Reasoning

Everton FC has a better overall record with 7 wins compared to Hull City's 7, and they have scored significantly more goals (30 GF for Everton vs. 23 GF for Hull). Additionally, Everton's superior away form and a historical advantage in head-to-head matches, winning 4 out of the last 7 encounters, suggest they are likely to secure a victory. With Hull's inconsistent form, Everton FC appears well-positioned to take all three points.

Human Analyst

Correct

Both Teams to Score

@1.87

View Reasoning

Both teams have shown a tendency to score, with Hull City AFC having a BTTS rate of 50% and Everton FC at 55%. The historical head-to-head matches also support this prediction, as there have been 22 total goals over their last 7 encounters, averaging over 3 goals per match. Given these factors, it seems likely that both teams will find the net in this matchup.

Split call — see both takes above

Key Stats

Hull Cityper gameEverton

0.8

xG for

1.3

1.7

xG against

1.6

32.2

Possession %

43.6

Shots

Hull City — last 5

LDDWW

Everton — last 5

WDDDW

Team Stats

Hull Cityper gameEverton

0.8

xG for

1.3

1.7

xG against

1.6

32.2

Possession %

43.6

Shots

3.8

Shots on tgt

4.6

3.4

Corners

BTTS %

Over 2.5 %

Clean sheet %

Hull City — last 5

LDDWW

Everton — last 5

WDDDW

Last season

Team	W-D-L	GF/g	GA/g	CS
Hull City	0-0-0	0	0	0
Everton	13-10-15	1.2	1.3	11

Hull City performance

Total Matches

Form

7W8D5L

Avg Scored

1.15

per match

Avg Conceded

0.90

per match

Goals Scored23

Goals Conceded18

Clean Sheets8 (40%)

BTTS50%

Over 2.540%

Over 3.510%

Everton performance

Total Matches

Form

7W7D6L

Avg Scored

1.50

per match

Avg Conceded

1.15

per match

Goals Scored30

Goals Conceded23

Clean Sheets7 (35%)

BTTS55%

Over 2.555%

Over 3.540%

Expected Match Outcome

Hull City

1-1

(1.1 - 1.2 xG)

Everton

Hull City

Scores1.15/g

Concedes0.90/g

Everton

Scores1.50/g

Concedes1.15/g

Market Predictions

BTTS

53%

Over 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 2.5

53%

Predicto Power Ranking

This is a real-time strength score based on form, stats, and momentum — not just opinion.

Head-to-Head & Form

Hull City wins

Draws

Everton wins

Recent meetings

08 Jan 2022Hull City

2–3

Everton

18 Mar 2017Everton

4–0

Hull City

30 Dec 2016Hull City

2–2

Everton

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	9	7	0	2	+10	21
2	Arsenal	8	7	0	1	+8	21
3	Brighton	9	6	1	2	+17	19
4	Chelsea	9	5	1	3	+4	16
5	Liverpool	8	4	3	1	+3	15
6	Brentford	9	3	5	1	+7	14
7	Bournemouth	9	3	3	3	+1	12
8	Tottenham	9	3	3	3	0	12
9	Aston Villa	9	3	3	3	-3	12
10	Hull City	9	2	5	2	+1	11
11	Leeds	9	2	5	2	+1	11
12	Newcastle	8	3	2	3	-2	11
13	Ipswich	9	3	2	4	-4	11
14	Everton	8	2	4	2	-1	10
15	Fulham	9	2	3	4	-2	9
16	Coventry	9	3	0	6	-7	9
17	Manchester United	9	1	4	4	-5	7
18	Crystal Palace	9	2	1	6	-12	7
19	Nottingham Forest	9	1	3	5	-6	6
20	Sunderland	9	1	2	6	-10	5

Overview

Hull City (8th, 8pts) host Everton (7th, 9pts) in a tight Championship clash. Both teams have similar points but contrasting styles: Hull with just 32.2% possession and Everton controlling 43.6%. Hull are defensively vulnerable with 1.68 xGA per game vs Everton's 1.6, while Everton show a stronger attack with 1.32 xG compared to Hull's 0.77. Historical H2H shows Everton's edge with 3 wins in last 6 meetings, including a 3-2 win at Hull in 2022.

Form & xG

Hull’s recent form is LDDWW with 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game but an underperforming xG of 0.77 scored and 1.68 conceded, indicating defensive frailty. Everton have WDDDW form, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.6 per game with better xG (1.32 for, 1.6 against), showing a more efficient attack and tighter defense. Both teams have 40% BTTS and Hull’s 60% clean sheet rate contrasts Everton’s 60%, suggesting a balanced defensive outlook.

Team News & Key Players

Hull rely on McBurnie (1.83 shots/90, 0.61 OT/90) and Giles (1.62 KP/90) for creativity. Defensively, Semi Ajayi averages 1.27 tackles/90. Everton’s standout is Dewsbury-Hall with 3.62 shots/90 and 2.21 KP/90, plus Tarkowski’s defensive solidity (2.2 tackles/90). Pickford’s presence in goal gives Everton a clean sheet edge. Both sides have multiple players with yellow cards, hinting at physicality and potential discipline issues.

Stats & Betting Angles

Hull’s low possession (32.2%) and fewer shots (12 total, 3.8 on target) contrast Everton’s 16 shots (4.6 OT) and higher possession (43.6%). Despite Hull’s defensive struggles (1.68 xGA), Everton’s xG conceded (1.6) suggests vulnerabilities. BTTS at 40% for both and O2.5 goals at 40% (Hull) and 20% (Everton) imply a moderately open game. Historical H2H includes high-scoring matches like 3-2 and 4-0, supporting potential for goals.

Verdict

Expect a competitive match with Everton slightly favored due to better xG attack and defensive organization. Hull’s defensive frailty could be exploited by Everton’s attacking threat led by Dewsbury-Hall. However, Hull’s recent wins and home advantage may help them score. Prediction leans to a 2-1 Everton win with BTTS Yes and Over 2.5 goals, reflecting both teams’ scoring ability and defensive gaps.

Martin Anderson

Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across European football markets. See the public track record.

Frequently Asked Questions

How has recent form influenced the expected outcome?

Hull City’s recent form is LDDWW, showing resilience with two wins in last three, scoring 1.2 goals and conceding 0.8 per game. Everton’s WDDDW form is slightly more consistent with 1.2 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per game, indicating a tighter defense. This slight defensive edge for Everton supports their favored status despite Hull’s home advantage.

What do the xG statistics reveal about both teams’ attacking and defensive qualities?

Hull’s xG is low at 0.77 for and high at 1.68 against per game, indicating a defensive weakness and underperforming offense. Everton’s xG for is 1.32 and against 1.6, showing a more balanced and effective attack and a slightly better defense. These stats suggest Everton should control chances but Hull’s defense is vulnerable.

Which key players should influence the match outcome based on their per-90 stats?

Everton’s Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall stands out with 3.62 shots and 2.21 key passes per 90, plus 2.21 tackles, making him a major attacking and defensive contributor. Hull’s McBurnie offers 1.83 shots and 1.22 key passes per 90 but less impact defensively. Everton’s Tarkowski adds defensive strength with 2.2 tackles per 90, giving Everton an edge in both boxes.

How do defensive vulnerabilities affect the likelihood of both teams scoring?

Hull concedes 1.68 xGA per game and Everton 1.6 xGA, indicating defensive weaknesses on both sides. Both teams have a 40% BTTS rate this season, suggesting a reasonable chance both will score. Hull’s clean sheet rate of 60% contrasts with conceding over 1.5 xGA, hinting at inconsistency, while Everton’s 60% clean sheets and defensive stats imply better but not impenetrable defense.

What justifies the prediction of over 2.5 goals in this match?

Historical H2H includes high-scoring games like 3-2 (2022) and 4-0 (2017), supporting goal potential. Both teams average around 1.2 goals scored this season, and combined xG (2.09) suggests at least two goals expected. Despite low possession and defensive frailty, the attacking stats of Dewsbury-Hall (3.62 shots/90) and McBurnie (1.83 shots/90) imply an open game with scoring chances.

How does the head-to-head history influence the match prediction?

Recent H2H shows Everton’s slight edge with 3 wins in last 6, including a 3-2 away win in 2022 and a 4-0 victory in 2017. Hull managed a 2-0 win in 2015 and a 2-2 draw in 2016, indicating occasional resilience. These mixed results with several high-scoring games suggest a competitive match with goals from both sides.

Is there any betting value in the predicted outcome?

Given Everton’s slightly better xG stats (1.32 vs 0.77), superior defensive tackles (Tarkowski 2.2/90), and recent form, their 2-1 win is a reasonable forecast. The 40% BTTS and moderate Over 2.5 probabilities suggest value in BTTS Yes and Over 2.5 markets. Hull’s home form and defensive lapses create opportunities for Everton to score multiple goals, making the prediction both plausible and value-driven.