Hapoel BS VS Dinamo Zagreb Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds (Sep 16, 2026)

Hapoel Be'er Sheva FCHapoel BS

0 - 0

HT: 0-0

GNK Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb

UEFA Europa League·Superbet Arena-Giulești

Comparison of analyst and AI predictions

Predicto AI

Incorrect

Both Teams to Score

@1.62

View Reasoning

Both Teams to Score is a strong bet given GNK Dinamo Zagreb's recent trend of 77% in BTTS, indicating they frequently score in matches despite their defensive vulnerabilities (26 goals conceded). Hapoel Be'er Sheva FC has shown they can score, evidenced by their 4 goals in just 2 matches. Considering their last head-to-head matches also yielded a total of 9 goals, this prediction aligns well with current form.

Human Analyst

Incorrect

Hapoel Be'er Sheva FC to win

@4.25

View Reasoning

Hapoel Be'er Sheva FC has started the season strongly, winning both of their matches without conceding a goal, showcasing a solid defense and effective attack with 4 goals scored. In contrast, GNK Dinamo Zagreb has been inconsistent, with a win rate of only 38% over their last 13 matches and a negative goal difference. Given the current form and their perfect clean sheet record, Hapoel Be'er Sheva FC is well-positioned to secure a victory.

Split call — see both takes above

Key Stats

Hapoel Beer Shevaper gameDinamo Zagreb

xG for

xG against

81.5

Possession %

54.8

Shots

Hapoel Beer Sheva — last 5

Dinamo Zagreb — last 5

LDWD

Team Stats

Hapoel Beer Shevaper gameDinamo Zagreb

xG for

xG against

81.5

Possession %

54.8

Shots

6.5

Shots on tgt

4.8

Corners

BTTS %

100

Over 2.5 %

Clean sheet %

Hapoel Beer Sheva — last 5

Dinamo Zagreb — last 5

LDWD

Last season

Team	W-D-L	GF/g	GA/g	CS
Hapoel Beer Sheva	0-1-1	0.5	1	1
Dinamo Zagreb	3-2-5	1.6	2.2	0

Hapoel BS performance

Total Matches

Form

9W3D8L

Avg Scored

1.70

per match

Avg Conceded

1.95

per match

Goals Scored34

Goals Conceded39

Clean Sheets5 (25%)

BTTS70%

Over 2.570%

Over 3.550%

Dinamo Zagreb performance

Total Matches

Form

13W5D2L

Avg Scored

2.70

per match

Avg Conceded

0.95

per match

Goals Scored54

Goals Conceded19

Clean Sheets10 (50%)

BTTS50%

Over 2.570%

Over 3.560%

Expected Match Outcome

Hapoel BS

1-2

(1.3 - 2.3 xG)

Dinamo Zagreb

Hapoel BS

Scores1.70/g

Concedes1.95/g

Dinamo Zagreb

Scores2.70/g

Concedes0.95/g

Market Predictions

BTTS

60%

Over 2.5

70%

Over 3.5

55%

Under 2.5

30%

Head-to-Head & Form

Hapoel Beer Sheva wins

Draws

Dinamo Zagreb wins

Recent meetings

31 Jul 2018Hapoel Beer Sheva

2–2

Dinamo Zagreb

24 Jul 2018Dinamo Zagreb

5–0

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Bayer Leverkusen	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Beşiktaş	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Bournemouth	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Omonia Nicosia	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Ferencvarosi TC	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Lyon	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Sunderland	2	2	0	0	+2	6
10	Olympiakos Piraeus	2	2	0	0	+2	6
11	Sparta Praha	2	1	1	0	+3	4
12	Union St. Gilloise	2	1	1	0	+3	4
13	Rennes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
14	Dinamo Zagreb	2	1	1	0	+1	4
15	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	+3	3
16	AC Milan	2	1	0	1	+2	3
17	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
18	OFI	2	1	0	1	+1	3
19	Torreense	2	1	0	1	0	3
20	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	0	3
21	Red Bull Salzburg	2	1	0	1	-3	3
22	Real Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-1	1
23	Lillestrom	2	0	1	1	-1	1
24	Levski Sofia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
25	Hapoel Beer Sheva	2	0	1	1	-1	1
26	Sturm Graz	2	0	1	1	-3	1
27	NEC Nijmegen	2	0	1	1	-5	1
28	Celta Vigo	2	0	0	2	-2	0
29	Anderlecht	2	0	0	2	-2	0
30	1899 Hoffenheim	2	0	0	2	-3	0
31	Plzen	2	0	0	2	-4	0
32	Marseille	2	0	0	2	-4	0
33	Celtic	2	0	0	2	-5	0
34	Ararat-Armenia	2	0	0	2	-5	0
35	Celje	2	0	0	2	-5	0
36	Lech Poznan	2	0	0	2	-8	0

Overview

Hapoel Beer Sheva faces Dinamo Zagreb in a cup tie with both teams yet to earn points in this competition's current standings, positioned 13th and 12th respectively. Last season, Dinamo played 10 matches scoring 1.6 goals per game while conceding 2.2, showing defensive frailty. Hapoel had only 2 matches with a lower scoring rate of 0.5 goals per game and conceding 1.0. Despite a small sample this season, Hapoel boasts 2 wins and a 0.5 goals conceded per game, while Dinamo's form includes 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss.

Form & xG

This season's limited data shows Hapoel Beer Sheva with 81.5% possession and 18 shots per game, averaging 6.5 on target, conceding only 0.5 goals per match. Dinamo Zagreb averages 54.8% possession with 21 shots but only 4.8 on target, conceding 1.75 goals per game. Both teams have null xG values this season, so last season's baseline is crucial. Hapoel's defensive solidity contrasts with Dinamo's tendency to concede, indicating potential for goals but also defensive vulnerabilities.

Team News & Key Players

Hapoel's standout player is Eliel Peretz with 5 key passes per 90 and an 8.7 rating, contributing 1 assist in his only appearance. Dinamo relies heavily on Dion Drena Beljo, who has an outstanding 7.85 rating, 8 goals, 4 assists, and 3.8 shots per 90 with 2.1 on target. Defensively, Dinamo's players like Josip Mišić and M. Valinčić show tackling rates around 1.65-1.97 per 90 but have accumulated yellow cards indicating aggressive play.

Stats & Betting Angles

Dinamo Zagreb has BTTS in 100% of their games this season and O2.5 in 75%, while Hapoel has BTTS and O2.5 at 50% each. Last season, Dinamo conceded 2.2 goals per game, supporting over 2.5 goals. Corners favor Dinamo with 5 per game versus Hapoel's 3, indicating attacking pressure. Given Dinamo’s attacking firepower and Hapoel’s defensive resilience, expect goals at both ends, with a likely scoreline reflecting a competitive, high-scoring fixture.

Verdict

Considering Dinamo Zagreb's stronger attack led by Beljo and their defensive vulnerabilities, alongside Hapoel's solid defensive form and key creativity from Peretz, this cup tie is poised for an open game. Historical H2H includes a 5-0 Dinamo win and a 2-2 draw, suggesting potential for goals. The prediction leans towards a 2-1 Dinamo victory, with both teams scoring and the match exceeding 2.5 goals.

Martin Anderson

Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across European football markets. See the public track record.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does recent form influence the expected outcome?

Hapoel Beer Sheva has started the season strongly with 2 wins and only 0.5 goals conceded per game, showing defensive discipline early on. Dinamo Zagreb’s mixed form (1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss) and higher concession rate (1.75 goals) suggest defensive vulnerabilities. Despite Dinamo’s better goal scoring last season (1.6 goals per game vs. Hapoel’s 0.5), Hapoel’s current form and defensive solidity make this a close contest.

What do xG and possession stats reveal about the teams’ playing styles?

Though this season’s xG is null, possession and shot data provide clues. Hapoel dominates possession at 81.5% and averages 18 shots with 6.5 on target, indicating control and efficient attacking. Dinamo holds 54.8% possession but averages more shots (21) with fewer on target (4.8), suggesting more speculative attempts. This implies Hapoel favors patient build-up, while Dinamo relies on more frequent, less accurate shooting.

Which key players might impact the match outcome?

Eliel Peretz (Hapoel) stands out with 5 key passes per 90 and an 8.7 rating, providing creativity and an assist. For Dinamo, Dion Drena Beljo’s 8 goals and 4 assists in 8 matches, combined with 3.8 shots and 2.1 on target per 90, make him the primary offensive threat. Defensive discipline from players like Miguel Vítor (Hapoel) and tackling presence from Josip Mišić (Dinamo) will also influence the game.

How do defensive stats and disciplinary records affect the expected match flow?

Dinamo concedes 1.75 goals per game this season and 2.2 last season, highlighting defensive weakness. Their players have accumulated several yellow cards (e.g., Josip Mišić 1Y, Olof Vinlöf 2Y), indicating aggressive defense that could lead to set-piece opportunities. Hapoel concedes fewer goals (0.5 this season, 1 last season) and commits fewer fouls (8.5 vs. 11.3), suggesting more disciplined defending likely to slow Dinamo’s attack.

Why is BTTS (both teams to score) likely in this match?

Dinamo Zagreb has BTTS in 100% of their games this season, conceding 1.75 goals per game, while Hapoel concedes only 0.5 but has BTTS in 50% of matches. Dinamo’s attack, led by Beljo with 8 goals, faces a Hapoel defense still adapting. Historical matches include a 5-0 win for Dinamo but also a 2-2 draw, supporting the expectation both sides will find the net.

What supports the over 2.5 goals prediction?

Dinamo’s last season average of 2.2 goals conceded per game and 75% O2.5 rate this season indicate open, high-scoring games. Hapoel’s possession dominance and 50% O2.5 rate suggest they create chances. Corners favor Dinamo (5 vs 3 per game), implying attacking pressure. The combination of Dinamo’s defensive weaknesses and attacking potency supports expecting more than 2.5 goals.

How does head-to-head history inform this prediction?

The 2018 head-to-head results show a 5-0 Dinamo victory and a 2-2 draw, illustrating both Dinamo’s attacking dominance and the potential for a balanced, high-scoring game. This suggests Dinamo can score multiple goals but also that Hapoel have the ability to respond, reinforcing the expectation for both teams to score and a competitive scoreline near 2-1.

Is there betting value in this prediction?

Given Dinamo’s 75% over 2.5 goals rate and 100% BTTS, combined with Hapoel’s strong possession and defensive form, backing over 2.5 goals with BTTS Yes offers value. The correct score 2-1 is consistent with recent H2H and season stats. Dinamo’s attacking star Beljo and Hapoel’s creative Peretz add confidence. The predicted outcome balances attacking firepower and defensive vulnerabilities, presenting a calculated risk with solid data support.