Getafe VS Deportivo Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds (Sep 13, 2026)

Getafe CFGetafe

1 - 1

HT: 0-0

RC Deportivo La CoruñaDeportivo

LaLiga·Coliseum Alfonso Perez

Comparison of analyst and AI predictions

Predicto AI

Incorrect

RC Deportivo La Coruña Handicap -1.5

View Reasoning

The recommendation for RC Deportivo La Coruña Handicap -1.5 is substantiated by their strong form, winning 12 matches with a significant goal difference of +13 (33GF/20GA). Their high BTTS percentage of 75% indicates they can score against Getafe CF, who have a low goal-scoring rate. With Getafe CF struggling to keep clean sheets (40%) and Deportivo's attacking prowess, they are likely to win by at least two goals.

Human Analyst

Correct

Under 2.5 goals

View Reasoning

The prediction for Under 2.5 goals is supported by both teams' goal-scoring stats, with Getafe CF scoring only 18 goals in 20 matches and RC Deportivo La Coruña managing 33 goals but with a defense that has conceded only 20. Additionally, Getafe CF has a low Over 2.5% at 20%, indicating a tendency for lower-scoring games. The head-to-head history also suggests a similar trend, with only 42 total goals across 15 matches.

Split call — see both takes above

Key Stats

Getafeper gameDeportivo La Coruna

0.7

xG for

1.6

xG against

1.5

Possession %

41.5

9.8

Shots

8.3

Getafe — last 5

DLWL

Deportivo La Coruna — last 5

WWDD

Team Stats

Getafeper gameDeportivo La Coruna

0.7

xG for

1.6

xG against

1.5

Possession %

41.5

9.8

Shots

8.3

1.5

Shots on tgt

3.5

4.3

Corners

BTTS %

100

Over 2.5 %

Clean sheet %

Getafe — last 5

DLWL

Deportivo La Coruna — last 5

WWDD

Last season

Team	W-D-L	GF/g	GA/g	CS
Getafe	15-6-17	0.8	1	12
Deportivo La Coruna	0-0-0	0	0	0

Getafe performance

Total Matches

Form

7W4D9L

Avg Scored

0.80

per match

Avg Conceded

1.10

per match

Goals Scored16

Goals Conceded22

Clean Sheets6 (30%)

BTTS35%

Over 2.530%

Over 3.515%

Deportivo performance

Total Matches

Form

10W8D2L

Avg Scored

1.55

per match

Avg Conceded

0.85

per match

Goals Scored31

Goals Conceded17

Clean Sheets6 (30%)

BTTS65%

Over 2.540%

Over 3.525%

Expected Match Outcome

Getafe

1-1

(0.8 - 1.3 xG)

Deportivo

Getafe

Scores0.80/g

Concedes1.10/g

Deportivo

Scores1.55/g

Concedes0.85/g

Market Predictions

BTTS

50%

Over 2.5

35%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 2.5

65%

Predicto Power Ranking

This is a real-time strength score based on form, stats, and momentum — not just opinion.

Head-to-Head & Form

Getafe wins

Draws

Deportivo La Coruna wins

Recent meetings

28 Feb 2018Getafe

3–0

Deportivo La Coruna

30 Sept 2017Deportivo La Coruna

2–1

Getafe

01 May 2016Deportivo La Coruna

0–2

Getafe

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	9	9	0	0	+30	27
2	Atletico Madrid	9	7	1	1	+11	22
3	Real Madrid	9	7	0	2	+14	21
4	Real Betis	9	6	1	2	+2	19
5	Real Sociedad	9	5	1	3	0	16
6	Sevilla	9	4	2	3	-2	14
7	Alaves	9	3	2	4	+3	11
8	Celta Vigo	9	2	5	2	+3	11
9	Deportivo La Coruna	9	2	5	2	+1	11
10	Osasuna	9	3	2	4	-8	11
11	Athletic Club	7	2	3	2	+1	9
12	Villarreal	9	2	3	4	0	9
13	Rayo Vallecano	8	2	3	3	-5	9
14	Getafe	9	2	3	4	-6	9
15	Espanyol	9	2	2	5	-1	8
16	Racing Santander	9	2	2	5	-12	8
17	Levante	8	1	4	3	-4	7
18	Elche	9	1	4	4	-6	7
19	Valencia	9	1	3	5	-9	6
20	Malaga	9	0	4	5	-12	4

Overview

Getafe currently sits 15th with 4 points, reflecting a shaky start (DLWL), while Deportivo La Coruna stands 5th with 8 points (WWDD). Last season, Getafe averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, with 12 clean sheets, indicating defensive resilience. Deportivo La Coruna is newly promoted this season, with no previous season baseline, but early form shows 2 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game with 100% BTTS.

Form & xG

Getafe's xG this season is low at 0.72 for and 1.64 against per game, matching their 0.5 goals scored and 1.25 conceded, signaling defensive vulnerability. Deportivo's xG is slightly better at 0.96 for and 1.53 against, aligning with their 2 scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Getafe's possession is 44%, Deportivo's 41.5%, both underperforming in shots (Getafe 9.8, Deportivo 8.3) and corners (4.3 and 3 respectively), suggesting conservative playstyles.

Team News & Key Players

Getafe's Ramón Terrats leads attacking efforts with 3.35 shots/90 and 2.01 key passes/90 but no goals yet. Martín Satriano offers 1.45 shots/90 but no goals. Deportivo relies heavily on Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, who boasts 3 goals in 3 apps, 3.06 shots/90 and 2.38 on-target shots/90, making him a critical threat. Defensive discipline differs, with Getafe committing 12.3 fouls and 2.5 yellows per game, Deportivo 14.3 fouls and 2.5 yellows.

Stats & Betting Angles

Getafe’s 25% BTTS and O2.5 rates contrast with Deportivo’s 100% BTTS and 50% O2.5, suggesting a higher likelihood of goals from Deportivo. Historically, head-to-head matches have seen mixed results but several 2-1 or 3-0 scorelines favor Getafe at home. Getafe’s defensive solidity last season may clash with Deportivo’s attacking edge, especially Aubameyang’s clinical finishing.

Verdict

Expect a competitive match with goals at both ends given Deportivo’s 100% BTTS this season and Getafe’s defensive struggles (1.64 xGA). Aubameyang’s 3 goals and 2.38 on-target shots/90 highlight his key role. Getafe’s inability to score consistently (0.5 goals pg) may limit their output, but home advantage and historical results suggest a narrow win or draw. Over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are likely outcomes.

Martin Anderson

Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across European football markets. See the public track record.

Frequently Asked Questions

How has recent form influenced expectations for this match?

Getafe’s recent form (DLWL) with only 4 points contrasts with Deportivo’s unbeaten WWDD and 8 points, suggesting Deportivo is in better shape. Getafe averages 0.5 goals and concedes 1.25 per game, while Deportivo scores 2 and concedes 1.25. This disparity in form and goals for/against implies Deportivo is more likely to dominate or score more, affecting match expectations.

What does the xG data suggest about the attacking and defensive strengths?

Getafe’s xG of 0.72 for and 1.64 against indicates they struggle offensively and are vulnerable defensively, conceding more chances than they create. Deportivo’s xG of 0.96 for and 1.53 against shows slightly better attacking output but still defensive risk. These figures, aligned with goals per game, suggest a game with goal opportunities at both ends.

Who are the key attackers and their per-90 stats impacting this game?

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is Deportivo’s standout attacker with 3 goals in 3 games, 3.06 shots/90 and 2.38 on-target shots/90, making him a lethal finisher. For Getafe, Ramón Terrats leads with 3.35 shots/90 and 2.01 key passes/90 but no goals yet, indicating creativity but low conversion. Martín Satriano adds 1.45 shots/90, also yet to score.

How vulnerable are each team's defenses based on fouls and cards?

Getafe commits 12.3 fouls and 2.5 yellow cards per game, showing moderate discipline. Deportivo is more aggressive with 14.3 fouls and also 2.5 yellows per game. Getafe’s last season baseline with 12 clean sheets suggests better defensive organization historically, but this season’s 1.64 xGA indicates current struggles.

Why is BTTS expected to be 'Yes' in this fixture?

Deportivo has 100% BTTS this season, scoring 2 goals and conceding 1.25 per game, while Getafe only has 25% BTTS but concedes 1.25 goals per game. The xGA numbers (1.64 for Getafe, 1.53 for Deportivo) and historical head-to-head scorelines with multiple goals (e.g., 3-0, 2-1) support both teams scoring in this match.

What supports the Over 2.5 goals betting angle here?

Deportivo’s 50% O2.5 rate and Getafe’s 25% this season are small samples, so last season’s baseline is vital. Getafe conceded just 1.0 goals per game last season but concedes 1.64 xGA now. Combined with Deportivo’s attacking threat (Aubameyang’s 3 goals in 3 games), the match is likely to have 3 or more goals, reinforced by head-to-heads like 3-0 and 2-1.

How do the head-to-head results impact prediction confidence?

Recent head-to-heads show mixed results: Getafe won 3-0 at home in 2018, but Deportivo won 2-1 away in 2017. Several matches ended 2-1 or 3-0, indicating competitive, goal-rich games. This history supports a close contest with goals, increasing confidence in a narrow win or draw with BTTS and Over 2.5 goals.

Is there any betting value in this match's prediction?

Considering Getafe’s low scoring (0.5 goals pg) but historical defensive solidity (12 clean sheets last season) versus Deportivo’s attacking form (Aubameyang’s 3 goals), betting on BTTS Yes and Over 2.5 goals offers value. The small sample size this season makes last season’s baseline crucial, and the attacking threat of Deportivo suggests potential underestimation by bookmakers.