Bodø/Glimt VS Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds (Oct 14, 2026)

FK Bodø/GlimtBodø/Glimt

1 - 0

HT: 0-0

Borussia DortmundDortmund

UEFA Champions League·Aspmyra Stadion

Comparison of analyst and AI predictions

Predicto AI

Incorrect

Both Teams to Score

@1.36

View Reasoning

Both Teams to Score is a strong bet given FK Bodø/Glimt's impressive 73% BTTS rate and Borussia Dortmund's 50% BTTS rate. With both teams having shown a tendency to concede goals (32GA for FK Bodø/Glimt and 23GA for Borussia Dortmund), it’s reasonable to expect both sides to find the back of the net. The historical context also supports this, as the previous meeting resulted in both teams scoring.

Human Analyst

Incorrect

Over 2.5 goals

@1.40

View Reasoning

Considering FK Bodø/Glimt's impressive record of 93% for Over 2.5 goals in their matches, combined with Borussia Dortmund's average of 2.25 goals per match (45GF/20 matches), it strongly suggests a high-scoring affair. Additionally, the historical H2H match ended with a total of 4 goals, reinforcing the likelihood of another goal-heavy game. Therefore, betting on Over 2.5 goals seems like a sound choice.

Split call — see both takes above

Key Stats

Bodo/Glimtper gameBorussia Dortmund

xG for

1.5

xG against

0.9

49.5

Possession %

49.6

9.5

Shots

15.2

Bodo/Glimt — last 5

LWWD

Borussia Dortmund — last 5

WWWWW

Team Stats

Bodo/Glimtper gameBorussia Dortmund

xG for

1.5

xG against

0.9

49.5

Possession %

49.6

9.5

Shots

15.2

Shots on tgt

5.2

2.3

Corners

4.8

BTTS %

100

Over 2.5 %

Clean sheet %

Bodo/Glimt — last 5

LWWD

Borussia Dortmund — last 5

WWWWW

Last season

Team	W-D-L	GF/g	GA/g	CS
Bodo/Glimt	6-3-5	2	1.7	2
Borussia Dortmund	4-2-4	2.2	2.1	2

Bodø/Glimt performance

Total Matches

Form

17W1D2L

Avg Scored

2.95

per match

Avg Conceded

1.15

per match

Goals Scored59

Goals Conceded23

Clean Sheets8 (40%)

BTTS55%

Over 2.590%

Over 3.560%

Dortmund performance

Total Matches

Form

12W2D6L

Avg Scored

2.00

per match

Avg Conceded

1.10

per match

Goals Scored40

Goals Conceded22

Clean Sheets7 (35%)

BTTS50%

Over 2.565%

Over 3.545%

Expected Match Outcome

Bodø/Glimt

2-2

(2.0 - 1.6 xG)

Dortmund

Bodø/Glimt

Scores2.95/g

Concedes1.15/g

Dortmund

Scores2.00/g

Concedes1.10/g

Market Predictions

BTTS

53%

Over 2.5

78%

Over 3.5

53%

Under 2.5

23%

Head-to-Head & Form

Bodo/Glimt wins

Draws

Borussia Dortmund wins

Recent meetings

10 Dec 2025Borussia Dortmund

2–2

Bodo/Glimt

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Liverpool	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	VfB Stuttgart	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Aston Villa	2	2	0	0	+7	6
5	Barcelona	3	2	0	1	+5	6
6	Manchester City	3	2	0	1	+4	6
7	Sporting CP	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+2	6
10	Real Betis	2	2	0	0	+2	6
11	Borussia Dortmund	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	Bayern München	2	1	1	0	+5	4
13	AS Roma	3	1	1	1	+3	4
14	Shakhtar Donetsk	2	1	1	0	+2	4
15	Atletico Madrid	3	1	1	1	+1	4
16	PSV Eindhoven	3	1	1	1	0	4
17	Como	2	1	0	1	+2	3
18	Manchester United	2	1	0	1	+2	3
19	Villarreal	3	1	0	2	0	3
20	Club Brugge KV	2	1	0	1	0	3
21	Lens	2	1	0	1	-1	3
22	Napoli	3	1	0	2	-2	3
23	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	-2	3
24	Feyenoord	2	1	0	1	-3	3
25	Sabah FA	3	1	0	2	-3	3
26	Bodo/Glimt	3	1	0	2	-5	3
27	AEK Athens FC	3	1	0	2	-5	3
28	Fenerbahçe	3	0	2	1	-6	2
29	Viking	2	0	1	1	-2	1
30	Slavia Praha	3	0	1	2	-3	1
31	Inter	2	0	0	2	-2	0
32	Lask Linz	2	0	0	2	-4	0
33	FC Porto	3	0	0	3	-4	0
34	Lille	2	0	0	2	-4	0
35	Galatasaray	2	0	0	2	-5	0
36	Slovan Bratislava	3	0	0	3	-12	0

Overview

Bodo/Glimt host Borussia Dortmund in a cup tie where Dortmund currently lead the competition standings (#12 with 3 points) while Bodo/Glimt sit at #36 with no points. Last season, Dortmund showed a solid scoring baseline with 2.2 goals per game but conceded 2.1. Bodo/Glimt scored 2.0 and conceded 1.7 last season in 14 matches. The head-to-head last December ended 2-2, indicating a competitive fixture.

Form & xG

This season's small sample shows Dortmund in winning form (5W) averaging 2.4 goals and conceding 0.8 per game with an xG of 1.53 for and 0.91 against. Bodo/Glimt have a more mixed recent form (LWWD) scoring and conceding 2.25 each per game, with no available xG data this season. Dortmund's possession and shots per game (49.6%, 15.2 shots) surpass Bodo/Glimt's 49.5% and 9.5 shots, indicating Dortmund's attacking edge.

Team News & Key Players

Bodo/Glimt's top contributors include Sondre Fet with 2 goals and 1.39 shots/90, and Sondre Auklend providing 1 goal, 2 assists, and 1.25 shots/90. Dortmund rely heavily on S. Guirassy, who boasts 4 goals, 2 assists, and an outstanding 3.97 shots/90 with 2.09 on target. Dortmund's defense, led by GK Gregor Kobel (rating 7.1), has conceded less this season (0.8 per game) compared to Bodo/Glimt's 2.25.

Stats & Betting Angles

Bodo/Glimt's matches have seen 100% over 2.5 goals this season, with 50% BTTS, while Dortmund have 60% over 2.5 and 40% BTTS. Dortmund's clean sheet rate is 60% compared to Bodo/Glimt's 25%. Dortmund's higher shots on target (5.2 vs 4) and corners (4.8 vs 2.3) suggest more attacking pressure. The last H2H ended 2-2, supporting a high-scoring game with goals from both sides.

Verdict

Given Dortmund's superior defensive record and attacking potency, combined with Bodo/Glimt's vulnerability at the back and strong home scoring, a competitive, high-scoring game is expected. The last meeting's 2-2 draw and current form favor a close match with goals on both ends. Expect Dortmund to edge the match while both teams find the net, likely producing over 2.5 goals.

Martin Anderson

Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across European football markets. See the public track record.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does recent form influence the expected outcome?

Borussia Dortmund is in perfect form with 5 wins in 5 games, scoring 2.4 goals and conceding 0.8 per game, while Bodo/Glimt have a mixed form (LWWD) scoring and conceding 2.25 goals per game. Dortmund's superior defensive solidity and consistent scoring suggest they are favorites, but Bodo/Glimt's home form and ability to score keep the match competitive.

What does the xG data tell us about the attacking strengths?

Dortmund's xG this season is 1.53 per game, indicating strong chance creation, while conceding 0.91 xG per game shows defensive efficiency. Bodo/Glimt have no xG data this season but last season scored 2.0 and conceded 1.7 per game, suggesting they create chances but are more vulnerable defensively. Dortmund's higher shots (15.2) and shots on target (5.2) further underline their attacking edge.

Which key players could influence the match outcome?

For Bodo/Glimt, Sondre Fet with 2 goals and 1.39 shots/90 and Sondre Auklend with 1 goal, 2 assists, and 1.25 shots/90 are crucial. Dortmund’s S. Guirassy stands out with 4 goals, 2 assists, and 3.97 shots/90, including 2.09 on target, making him the primary attacking threat. Goalkeeper Gregor Kobel (rating 7.1) anchors Dortmund's solid defense.

How vulnerable are the defenses based on per-90 conceded stats?

Bodo/Glimt concede 2.25 goals per game this season, higher than their 1.7 last season, indicating defensive frailty. Dortmund concedes only 0.8 goals per game this season, an improvement over last season’s 2.1. This contrast suggests Dortmund's defense is more robust, which could limit Bodo/Glimt's scoring despite their attacking potential.

Why is BTTS a likely outcome in this match?

Bodo/Glimt have a 50% BTTS rate this season with 2.25 goals conceded per game, while Dortmund have 40% BTTS but concede only 0.8 goals. Given Bodo/Glimt's attacking output (2.25 goals scored) and Dortmund's occasional conceding, plus the last H2H 2-2 draw, both teams are likely to score.

What supports the over 2.5 goals prediction?

Bodo/Glimt's matches have gone over 2.5 goals 100% this season, Dortmund 60%. Their combined average goals per game this season (2.4 + 2.25 = 4.65) and last season baselines (2.2 + 2.0 = 4.2) are well above 2.5. The high shots on target and recent H2H 2-2 scoreline further support a high-scoring game.

How does the head-to-head history inform this prediction?

The last head-to-head in December 2025 ended in a 2-2 draw, showing both teams can score freely against each other. This supports the BTTS and over 2.5 goals predictions. The competitive nature of that match and the attacking profiles of key players suggest a similar high-scoring encounter.

Is there betting value in this prediction?

Given Dortmund's strong defensive form (60% clean sheets) and Bodo/Glimt's high-scoring but defensively vulnerable profile, combined with the last H2H and season averages, backing over 2.5 goals with BTTS offers value. Dortmund's 5 consecutive wins increase confidence, while Bodo/Glimt's home scoring ensures goals, making the 2-1 scoreline a plausible, value-backed prediction.