Everton VS Ipswich Town Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds (Sep 19, 2026)

Everton FCEverton

1 - 0

HT: 1-0

Ipswich Town FCIpswich Town

Premier League·Hill Dickinson Stadium

Comparison of analyst and AI predictions

Predicto AI

Incorrect

Both Teams to Score

@1.68

View Reasoning

Both teams have a 60% chance of scoring based on their recent performance, indicating a strong likelihood that they will find the back of the net in this match. Additionally, their attacking records (33GF for Everton and 35GF for Ipswich) suggest that both sides are capable of contributing to the scoreline. This makes the 'Both Teams to Score' bet a promising option.

Human Analyst

Incorrect

Over 2.5 goals

@1.83

View Reasoning

With both teams showcasing a high tendency for over 2.5 goals, as evidenced by their stats (Everton FC 65%, Ipswich Town FC 65%), this match is likely to see plenty of action. The H2H record supports this with an average of 3 goals per match over the last two encounters, suggesting that both teams can find the net. Therefore, betting on over 2.5 goals seems a strong choice.

Split call — see both takes above

Key Stats

Evertonper gameIpswich

1.3

xG for

1.5

1.6

xG against

42.7

Possession %

15.7

Shots

Everton — last 5

DDW

Ipswich — last 5

LLW

Team Stats

Evertonper gameIpswich

1.3

xG for

1.5

1.6

xG against

42.7

Possession %

15.7

Shots

Shots on tgt

4.3

Corners

3.7

BTTS %

Over 2.5 %

Clean sheet %

Everton — last 5

DDW

Ipswich — last 5

LLW

Last season

Team	W-D-L	GF/g	GA/g	CS
Everton	13-10-15	1.2	1.3	11
Ipswich	0-0-0	0	0	0

Everton performance

Total Matches

Form

6W8D6L

Avg Scored

1.55

per match

Avg Conceded

1.25

per match

Goals Scored31

Goals Conceded25

Clean Sheets6 (30%)

BTTS60%

Over 2.560%

Over 3.545%

Ipswich Town performance

Total Matches

Form

11W3D6L

Avg Scored

1.80

per match

Avg Conceded

1.50

per match

Goals Scored36

Goals Conceded30

Clean Sheets5 (25%)

BTTS60%

Over 2.570%

Over 3.535%

Expected Match Outcome

Everton

2-2

(1.5 - 1.5 xG)

Ipswich Town

Everton

Scores1.55/g

Concedes1.25/g

Ipswich Town

Scores1.80/g

Concedes1.50/g

Market Predictions

BTTS

60%

Over 2.5

65%

Over 3.5

40%

Under 2.5

35%

Predicto Power Ranking

This is a real-time strength score based on form, stats, and momentum — not just opinion.

Head-to-Head & Form

Everton wins

Draws

Ipswich wins

Recent meetings

03 May 2025Everton

2–2

Ipswich

19 Oct 2024Ipswich

0–2

Everton

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	7	7	0	0	+12	21
2	Arsenal	7	6	0	1	+6	18
3	Brighton	7	5	1	1	+18	16
4	Chelsea	7	4	1	2	+4	13
5	Liverpool	7	3	3	1	+1	12
6	Brentford	7	2	4	1	+5	10
7	Leeds	7	2	4	1	+3	10
8	Everton	7	2	4	1	+1	10
9	Hull City	7	2	3	2	+1	9
10	Ipswich	7	3	0	4	-4	9
11	Newcastle	7	2	2	3	-4	8
12	Aston Villa	7	2	2	3	-4	8
13	Manchester United	7	1	4	2	0	7
14	Crystal Palace	7	2	1	4	-8	7
15	Bournemouth	7	1	3	3	-4	6
16	Tottenham	7	1	3	3	-4	6
17	Coventry	7	2	0	5	-8	6
18	Fulham	7	1	2	4	-3	5
19	Nottingham Forest	7	1	2	4	-4	5
20	Sunderland	7	1	1	5	-8	4

Overview

Everton, currently 8th with 5 points, face Ipswich, 14th with 3 points, in this early-season clash. Everton's baseline last season showed 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game over 38 matches, while Ipswich have no last-season data in this competition, making this a fresh challenge. Everton's home advantage and historical edge (2-0 win and a 2-2 draw last season) add weight to their chances.

Form & xG

Everton’s recent form is moderate with DDW and 1.67 goals scored per game, but their xG of 1.32 for and 1.6 against suggests defensive vulnerabilities. Ipswich’s form is weaker (LLW) with 1.33 goals scored and 2.67 conceded per game, supported by an xG of 1.52 for and 1.97 against. Both teams have a BTTS rate of 67%, but Everton’s O2.5 rate is lower at 33% compared to Ipswich’s 67%, indicating Ipswich’s matches tend to be higher scoring.

Team news & key players

Everton’s key contributor Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall averages 3.01 shots and 2.68 key passes per 90 with 1 goal so far. Tarkowski adds defensive stability with 1.67 tackles per 90 and a goal. Ipswich’s Leif Davis has 1 goal and 0.67 OT per 90, while S. Lukić provides creativity with 1.07 key passes per 90 and 1 assist. Ipswich’s defensive frailty is highlighted by conceding 2.67 goals per game and 1.97 xG against.

Stats & betting angles

Everton’s possession is 42.7%, slightly edging Ipswich’s 41%. Everton averages 5 corners per game, Ipswich 3.7, aligning with match averages of 9 to 9.3. Everton concedes fewer goals per game (1.0 vs 2.67) but Ipswich’s higher foul rate (10 fouls per game) and cards (1.33 yellows) suggest potential set-piece opportunities. The head-to-head results (2-0 and 2-2) favor Everton but both matches had multiple goals and BTTS.

Verdict

Given Everton’s stronger baseline defensive record and home advantage, they are favored to edge Ipswich. The match should feature goals from both sides, aligning with their 67% BTTS this season and last season’s 2-2 draw. Over 2.5 goals is plausible considering Ipswich’s defensive struggles (2.67 goals conceded per game) and Everton’s 1.67 goals per game scoring rate. A 2-1 Everton win fits the data well.

Martin Anderson

Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across European football markets. See the public track record.

Frequently Asked Questions

How has recent form influenced the expected outcome?

Everton's recent form (DDW) shows a steady attack with 1.67 goals per game, while Ipswich's poor form (LLW) includes conceding 2.67 goals per game. This disparity favors Everton, who also have more points (5 vs 3). However, Ipswich's 67% BTTS suggests they remain a threat offensively despite defensive issues.

What do xG numbers reveal about each team's attacking and defensive quality?

Everton's xG this season is 1.32 for and 1.6 against per game, suggesting slight underperformance in attack and some defensive frailty. Ipswich's xG is 1.52 for and 1.97 against, indicating a more potent attack but weaker defense. Ipswich concedes nearly 2 xG per game, supporting their 2.67 goals conceded.

Which key players are most likely to influence the game?

Everton's Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall stands out with 3.01 shots and 2.68 key passes per 90 minutes and 1 goal, making him the main attacking threat. Ipswich’s Leif Davis, with 1 goal and 0.67 shots on target per 90, and S. Lukić providing 1.07 key passes and 1 assist, are critical creative outlets. Defensive contributions from Tarkowski (1.67 tackles/90) will be vital for Everton.

How vulnerable is each team defensively?

Everton concedes 1 goal per game last season with 11 clean sheets in 38 matches, showing relative solidity. Ipswich’s defense is more porous, conceding 2.67 goals per game this season with 1.97 xG against, and zero clean sheets so far. This defensive weakness puts Ipswich at risk against Everton’s attacking attempts.

Why is BTTS a strong possibility in this match?

Both teams have a 67% BTTS rate this season, with Everton scoring 1.67 and conceding 1.0 goals per game last season, while Ipswich concedes 2.67 goals per game. The recent H2H includes a 2-2 draw and a 2-0 win for Everton, both featuring goals from both sides. Ipswich’s defensive struggles and Everton’s attacking potential support BTTS Yes.

What supports the expectation for over 2.5 goals?

Ipswich’s matches have a 67% rate of over 2.5 goals this season, combined with conceding 2.67 goals per game and an xG against of 1.97. Everton’s 1.67 goals per game and historical H2H scores (2-2 and 2-0) suggest an open game. Everton’s lower O2.5 (33%) is offset by Ipswich’s higher rate, making over 2.5 goals a reasonable expectation.

What does the head-to-head record indicate about this matchup?

The recent head-to-head includes a 2-0 Everton win and a 2-2 draw last season, showing Everton’s slight edge but also Ipswich’s ability to score. Both matches featured multiple goals and BTTS. This history supports a competitive, open game with goals from both sides and a narrow Everton victory.

Is there a betting value angle in this match prediction?

The combination of Everton’s solid defensive baseline (11 clean sheets last season) and Ipswich’s defensive struggles (2.67 goals conceded per game) suggests value in backing Everton to win 2-1. The BTTS and over 2.5 goals align with recent form and H2H stats, offering a balanced risk with a plausible scoreline and goal expectation for bettors.