Colorado VS Montr Impact Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds (Sep 13, 2026)

Colorado Rapids SCColorado

1 - 0

HT: 1-0

Montreal Impact FCMontr Impact

MLS·Dick's Sporting Goods Park

Comparison of analyst and AI predictions

Predicto AI

Incorrect

Both Teams to Score

View Reasoning

Both teams have shown a tendency to score, with Montana Impact FC having a 60% BTTS rate and Colorado Rapids SC at 40%. In their previous meetings, both teams managed to find the net, further suggesting that this trend is likely to continue. Given the attacking capabilities of both sides, this makes a compelling case for the bet.

Human Analyst

Incorrect

Over 2.5 goals

View Reasoning

Given that Colorado Rapids SC has a 45% rate for over 2.5 goals and Montreal Impact FC has a significantly higher 60% rate, the likelihood of a high-scoring match is promising. Additionally, their past head-to-head encounters have produced a total of 17 goals in 3 matches, averaging over 5 goals per game. With both teams showing some defensive vulnerabilities, this bet is a strong consideration.

Split call — see both takes above

Key Stats

Colorado Rapidsper gameCF Montreal

1.3

xG for

1.4

1.3

xG against

1.6

54.2

Possession %

48.3

11.1

Shots

Colorado Rapids — last 5

DLWLW

CF Montreal — last 5

LLDWD

Team Stats

Colorado Rapidsper gameCF Montreal

1.3

xG for

1.4

1.3

xG against

1.6

54.2

Possession %

48.3

11.1

Shots

Shots on tgt

4.8

Corners

BTTS %

Over 2.5 %

Clean sheet %

Colorado Rapids — last 5

DLWLW

CF Montreal — last 5

LLDWD

Last season

Team	W-D-L	GF/g	GA/g	CS
Colorado Rapids	11-8-15	1.3	1.6	7
CF Montreal	6-10-18	1	1.8	4

Colorado performance

Total Matches

Form

8W2D10L

Avg Scored

1.25

per match

Avg Conceded

1.30

per match

Goals Scored25

Goals Conceded26

Clean Sheets7 (35%)

BTTS40%

Over 2.545%

Over 3.525%

Montr Impact performance

Total Matches

Form

4W6D10L

Avg Scored

1.35

per match

Avg Conceded

2.00

per match

Goals Scored27

Goals Conceded40

Clean Sheets3 (15%)

BTTS60%

Over 2.560%

Over 3.540%

Expected Match Outcome

Colorado

2-1

(1.6 - 1.3 xG)

Montr Impact

Colorado

Scores1.25/g

Concedes1.30/g

Montr Impact

Scores1.35/g

Concedes2.00/g

Market Predictions

BTTS

50%

Over 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

33%

Under 2.5

48%

Head-to-Head & Form

Colorado Rapids wins

Draws

CF Montreal wins

Recent meetings

23 Jun 2024Colorado Rapids

4–1

CF Montreal

10 Feb 2024CF Montreal

–

Colorado Rapids

04 Aug 2019Colorado Rapids

6–3

CF Montreal

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	30	20	7	3	+41	67
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	30	16	7	7	+32	55
2	Inter Miami	30	15	10	5	+22	55
2	St. Louis City	30	14	9	7	+15	51
3	FC Dallas	30	14	9	7	+8	51
3	New England Revolution	30	16	4	10	+8	52
4	San Jose Earthquakes	30	13	9	8	+10	48
4	Chicago Fire	30	14	6	10	+8	48
5	Charlotte	30	13	8	9	+8	47
5	Houston Dynamo	30	13	8	9	+2	47
6	Los Angeles FC	31	12	10	9	+15	46
6	Philadelphia Union	30	13	7	10	+13	46
7	Orlando City SC	30	12	5	13	-12	41
7	Seattle Sounders	30	11	9	10	+2	42
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	31	10	10	11	-9	40
8	New York Red Bulls	30	10	6	14	-17	36
9	Colorado Rapids	30	11	6	13	0	39
9	FC Cincinnati	29	9	9	11	-10	36
10	Real Salt Lake	30	10	6	14	-3	36
10	Toronto FC	30	8	12	10	-9	36
11	Columbus Crew	30	10	5	15	-1	35
11	Portland Timbers	30	9	7	14	-5	34
12	New York City FC	30	8	10	12	+2	34
12	San Diego	30	8	10	12	-3	34
13	Minnesota United FC	30	8	10	12	-8	34
13	DC United	29	7	12	10	-14	33
14	Austin	30	7	10	13	-18	31
14	Atlanta United FC	30	8	6	16	-14	30
15	Sporting Kansas City	30	6	4	20	-39	22
15	CF Montreal	30	6	7	17	-24	25

Overview

Colorado Rapids currently sit 7th with 31 points, showing a mid-table solidity, while CF Montreal languish 15th with 21 points. Last season, Colorado averaged 1.3 goals and conceded 1.6 per game, compared to Montreal's 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded. Their recent head-to-heads have favored Colorado, notably a 4-1 win in June 2024 and a 6-3 victory in 2019. This sets the stage for a potentially high-scoring encounter given Montreal's defensive vulnerabilities.

Form & xG

Colorado's recent form is mixed with DLWLW, scoring 1.3 goals per game and conceding 1.39, closely matching their xG of 1.33 for and 1.25 against, indicating efficiency near expected. Montreal's form is weaker (LLDWD), scoring 1.3 but conceding 2.09 per game with xG of 1.44 for and 1.57 against, highlighting defensive frailty. Colorado's 54.2% possession suggests control, while Montreal's 48.3% indicates a reactive approach.

Team News & Key Players

Colorado's Rafael Navarro (7G, 3A, 2.14 shots/90) and Paxten Aaronson (5G, 3A, 1.72 shots/90) lead attacking metrics. Defensively, Rob Holding provides stability with 1.57 tackles/90. Montreal rely heavily on Prince Owusu (13G, 6A, 2.42 shots/90), their main scoring threat. Midfielders like Luca Petrasso (1.55 key passes/90) and M. Longstaff (1.16 key passes/90) create chances but defensive lapses remain an issue.

Stats & Betting Angles

BTTS occurs in 43% of Colorado's games and 52% for Montreal, with Over 2.5 goals at 48% and 65% respectively, suggesting a tendency for open games. Colorado's corners average 4.8 per game, while Montreal slightly higher at 5.0. Disciplinary stats show Colorado with 2.65 yellow cards per game versus Montreal's 2.22, implying a physical contest. Given the small sample this season, last season's baseline of goals conceded supports the likelihood of goals.

Verdict

Considering Colorado's stronger defensive baseline and Montreal's leaky defense, combined with attacking firepower from both sides (Navarro and Owusu), a 2-1 Colorado win with both teams scoring is probable. The match aligns with Over 2.5 goals and BTTS Yes, reflecting historical high-scoring encounters and current form data. Expect a competitive game with chances for both teams but a slight edge to Rapids at home.

Martin Anderson

Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across European football markets. See the public track record.

Frequently Asked Questions

How has the recent form of both teams influenced this match prediction?

Colorado's recent form of DLWLW reflects inconsistency but an ability to score 1.3 goals per game, matching their xG of 1.33, indicating efficient finishing. Montreal's weaker form (LLDWD) shows defensive problems, conceding 2.09 goals per game against an xG conceded of 1.57, suggesting they are allowing more chances than expected. This discrepancy favors a Colorado win with goals from both sides.

What does the xG profile tell us about the attacking and defensive strengths of each team?

Colorado's xG of 1.33 for and 1.25 against suggests balanced attacking and defensive output, aligning with their actual goals (1.3 scored, 1.39 conceded). Montreal's xG of 1.44 for and 1.57 against indicates they create chances but concede more than they should, reflected in a higher goals conceded rate (2.09). This points to Montreal's defensive weaknesses and Colorado's efficiency.

Who are the key attackers for both teams and their per-90 metrics?

Colorado's Rafael Navarro leads with 7 goals, 3 assists, 2.14 shots and 1.31 on target per 90 minutes, supported by Paxten Aaronson with 5 goals, 3 assists, 1.72 shots and 0.95 on target per 90. Montreal's main attacker is Prince Owusu with 13 goals, 6 assists, 2.42 shots and 1.33 on target per 90. These players drive the scoring potential for their teams.

How do the defensive stats and frailties of each team compare?

Colorado concedes 1.39 goals per game with 1.25 xG against, close to their last season's 1.6 goals conceded, showing relative defensive stability with 7 clean sheets last season. Montreal concedes 2.09 goals per game, higher than their xG against of 1.57 and last season's 1.8, indicating defensive vulnerability. This disparity favors Colorado's defensive edge.

Why is BTTS a likely outcome in this fixture?

BTTS occurs in 43% of Colorado's matches and 52% for Montreal this season, with Montreal conceding over 2 goals per game and Colorado conceding 1.39. Both teams have attacking players with strong per-90 shooting stats (Navarro 2.14, Owusu 2.42). Historical encounters like 4-1 and 6-3 further support both teams scoring.

What is the rationale behind the over/under 2.5 goals prediction?

Montreal's Over 2.5 rate is 65%, Colorado's 48%, and combined with their goals per game (1.3 each) and defensive records, matches with 3+ goals are frequent. Past high-scoring H2H (6-3, 4-1) plus current xG metrics support an Over 2.5 outcome. Both teams show attacking intent but defensive gaps increase chances for multiple goals.

How do head-to-head trends inform the expected outcome?

Recent H2H show Colorado dominant: 4-1 (2024), 6-3 (2019), and 4-1 (2014), indicating they can exploit Montreal's defense. Montreal's only recent win was 2-1 in 2018. The high-scoring nature of these matches suggests a 2-1 Colorado win with BTTS and Over 2.5 goals is consistent with historical patterns.

Is there any betting value in this match prediction?

Given Colorado's home advantage, better defensive metrics, and Montreal's high goals conceded, backing a 2-1 Colorado win with BTTS and Over 2.5 goals offers value. The small this-season sample advises caution, but last season's baseline and recent H2H support this bet. The combination of key attacking players and defensive lapses increases the likelihood of multiple goals.