Chicago Fire VS New England Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds (Sep 13, 2026)

Chicago Fire FCChicago Fire

1 - 2

HT: 0-1

New England RevolutionNew England

MLS·Soldier Field

Comparison of analyst and AI predictions

Predicto AI

Correct

Both Teams to Score

View Reasoning

Both teams have demonstrated strong scoring ability, with Chicago Fire FC featuring an 80% BTTS rate and New England Revolution at 60%. Historically, their head-to-head encounters have also resulted in a total of 50 goals in 15 matches, further supporting the likelihood of both teams finding the net. Therefore, betting on Both Teams to Score is a solid prediction.

Human Analyst

Correct

Over 2.5 goals

View Reasoning

With Chicago Fire FC averaging 2.67 goals per match over their last 20 games and a 75% rate for Over 2.5 goals, this match is likely to see multiple goals. Additionally, both teams have shown a propensity for scoring, as evidenced by Chicago's 80% BTTS rate and New England's 60%. Given these statistics, betting on Over 2.5 goals is a strong choice.

Split call — see both takes above

Key Stats

Chicago Fireper gameNew England Revolution

1.8

xG for

1.5

1.3

xG against

1.3

51.3

Possession %

50.5

13.7

Shots

Chicago Fire — last 5

DDDDW

New England Revolution — last 5

WWDWL

Team Stats

Chicago Fireper gameNew England Revolution

1.8

xG for

1.5

1.3

xG against

1.3

51.3

Possession %

50.5

13.7

Shots

5.2

Shots on tgt

4.7

4.1

Corners

4.5

BTTS %

Over 2.5 %

Clean sheet %

Chicago Fire — last 5

DDDDW

New England Revolution — last 5

WWDWL

Last season

Team	W-D-L	GF/g	GA/g	CS
Chicago Fire	16-8-13	2	1.8	6
New England Revolution	9-9-16	1.3	1.5	10

Chicago Fire performance

Total Matches

Form

10W4D6L

Avg Scored

2.05

per match

Avg Conceded

1.55

per match

Goals Scored41

Goals Conceded31

Clean Sheets3 (15%)

BTTS85%

Over 2.580%

Over 3.545%

New England performance

Total Matches

Form

9W5D6L

Avg Scored

1.55

per match

Avg Conceded

1.30

per match

Goals Scored31

Goals Conceded26

Clean Sheets3 (15%)

BTTS70%

Over 2.565%

Over 3.520%

Expected Match Outcome

Chicago Fire

2-2

(1.7 - 1.6 xG)

New England

Chicago Fire

Scores2.05/g

Concedes1.55/g

New England

Scores1.55/g

Concedes1.30/g

Market Predictions

BTTS

78%

Over 2.5

73%

Over 3.5

33%

Under 2.5

28%

Head-to-Head & Form

Chicago Fire wins

Draws

New England Revolution wins

Recent meetings

18 Oct 2025New England Revolution

2–2

Chicago Fire

07 Sept 2025Chicago Fire

3–2

New England Revolution

20 May 2025New England Revolution

1–3

Chicago Fire

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	30	20	7	3	+41	67
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	30	16	7	7	+32	55
2	Inter Miami	30	15	10	5	+22	55
2	St. Louis City	30	14	9	7	+15	51
3	FC Dallas	30	14	9	7	+8	51
3	New England Revolution	30	16	4	10	+8	52
4	San Jose Earthquakes	30	13	9	8	+10	48
4	Chicago Fire	30	14	6	10	+8	48
5	Charlotte	30	13	8	9	+8	47
5	Houston Dynamo	30	13	8	9	+2	47
6	Los Angeles FC	31	12	10	9	+15	46
6	Philadelphia Union	30	13	7	10	+13	46
7	Orlando City SC	30	12	5	13	-12	41
7	Seattle Sounders	30	11	9	10	+2	42
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	31	10	10	11	-9	40
8	New York Red Bulls	30	10	6	14	-17	36
9	Colorado Rapids	30	11	6	13	0	39
9	FC Cincinnati	29	9	9	11	-10	36
10	Real Salt Lake	30	10	6	14	-3	36
10	Toronto FC	30	8	12	10	-9	36
11	Columbus Crew	30	10	5	15	-1	35
11	Portland Timbers	30	9	7	14	-5	34
12	New York City FC	30	8	10	12	+2	34
12	San Diego	30	8	10	12	-3	34
13	Minnesota United FC	30	8	10	12	-8	34
13	DC United	29	7	12	10	-14	33
14	Austin	30	7	10	13	-18	31
14	Atlanta United FC	30	8	6	16	-14	30
15	Sporting Kansas City	30	6	4	20	-39	22
15	CF Montreal	30	6	7	17	-24	25

Overview

Chicago Fire and New England Revolution meet with close standings: 4th (38 pts) vs 5th (37 pts). Chicago last season scored 2.0 pg, conceded 1.8; New England 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded. This season, Chicago averages 1.91 goals and concedes 1.43, New England 1.65 scored and 1.22 conceded. Both teams show attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities, setting the stage for a competitive match.

Form & xG

Chicago’s recent form is DDDDW with a 1.8 xG for and 1.27 against this season, slightly above New England’s 1.5 xG for and 1.32 against. Chicago’s possession edges at 51.3% versus New England’s 50.5%. Both have BTTS rates above 60% this season (74% Chicago, 61% New England) and over 2.5 goals in 74% and 65% of matches respectively, suggesting an open game.

Team News & Key Players

Chicago’s top contributor is M. Haile-Selassie with 7 goals and 4 assists, 1.81 shots and 0.93 on target per 90. Zinckernagel adds 5 goals, 8 assists. New England relies on Carles Gil (8G, 4A, 3.01 key passes/90) and Dor Turgeman (6G, 4A, 1.99 shots/90). Goalkeepers Brady (6.93 rating) and Turner (7.54) add solidity but both defenses have conceded at least 1.2 goals per game.

Stats & Betting Angles

Chicago averages 4.1 corners per game, New England 4.5, both above fouls (Chicago 12.5, New England 9.9) and cards (2.26 yellow Chicago, 1.73 New England) per match. Last five head-to-heads show frequent high-scoring draws and wins, including 3-2 and 2-2 results. Over 2.5 goals and BTTS are strong betting angles given 74% and 61% season BTTS rates and recent H2H scores.

Verdict

Expect a competitive, open game with goals from both sides. Chicago’s marginally better scoring and home advantage, combined with New England’s resilience and key creators Gil and Turgeman, suggest a 2-1 win for Chicago. BTTS and Over 2.5 goals are likely, supported by last season’s baseline and current season form despite small sample size.

Martin Anderson

Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across European football markets. See the public track record.

Frequently Asked Questions

How has recent form influenced the expected outcome between Chicago Fire and New England Revolution?

Chicago's recent form shows four draws and one win (DDDDW) with a strong home presence, while New England has two wins, two draws, and one loss (WWDWL). Chicago’s consistent draws reflect a solid defense but limited finishing, whereas New England's mixed results indicate some inconsistency. Chicago’s 1.91 goals per game this season slightly outpace New England’s 1.65, suggesting a narrow advantage for Chicago.

What does the xG profile suggest about the attacking and defensive strengths of both teams?

Chicago’s xG is 1.8 for and 1.27 against, showing a slightly stronger attack and better defensive record than New England’s 1.5 for and 1.32 conceded. This aligns with Chicago’s higher goals per game (1.91 vs 1.65). The relatively close xG conceded suggests both defenses are vulnerable, but Chicago’s marginally better numbers hint at a slight edge in creating and preventing chances.

Which key players are likely to influence the match and what are their per-90 stats?

Chicago’s M. Haile-Selassie leads with 7 goals, 4 assists, 1.81 shots and 0.93 on target per 90. Zinckernagel adds 5 goals, 8 assists, 1.92 shots and 0.96 OT/90. New England’s Carles Gil is crucial with 8 goals, 4 assists, 3.01 key passes per 90 and 1.5 shots. Dor Turgeman contributes 6 goals, 4 assists, 1.99 shots and 0.99 OT/90. These attacking stats suggest these players will be central.

How do defensive frailties impact the likelihood of goals in this match?

Both teams concede over 1.2 goals per game this season: Chicago 1.43, New England 1.22, with last season Chicago conceding 1.8 and New England 1.5. Clean sheet rates are low (Chicago 26%, New England 22% this season). This defensive vulnerability supports BTTS and over 2.5 goals, as both sides have shown susceptibility to conceding.

Why is BTTS a strong betting option for this fixture?

BTTS occurs in 74% of Chicago’s and 61% of New England’s matches this season, supported by last season’s patterns. Recent head-to-heads have multiple high-scoring draws (e.g., 2-2 twice, 3-3) and close wins with both teams scoring. Given defensive records and attacking per-90 stats of key players, BTTS is a logical and historically consistent bet.

What supports the Over 2.5 goals prediction in this match?

Over 2.5 goals has occurred in 74% of Chicago’s and 65% of New England’s matches this season. Last season Chicago averaged 2.0 goals per game with 1.8 conceded, suggesting open games. Recent head-to-heads feature 3-2, 2-2, and 3-3 scorelines. Both teams’ attacking stats (shots per game around 13.7 and 12) and defensive frailty favor over 2.5 goals.

How do recent head-to-head results inform the expected match dynamics?

Recent H2H matches include 2-2 draws twice (2025-10-18, 2023-09-24), a 3-2 Chicago win (2025-09-07), and a 3-3 draw (2023-05-27). These high-scoring, close results highlight attacking strength and defensive gaps. The balance of wins and draws with goals on both sides suggests a competitive, open game with multiple goals.

Is there any betting value in this match based on stats and form?

Given Chicago’s slightly better scoring (1.91 vs 1.65 goals pg) and home advantage, combined with New England’s attacking threats, betting on Chicago to win 2-1 with BTTS and Over 2.5 goals offers value. The high BTTS and Over 2.5 percentages (74%, 65%) and recent H2H trends support these markets. Defensive frailty increases goal likelihood, making these bets statistically sound.