Celtic VS Ferencváros Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds (Sep 17, 2026)

Celtic FCCeltic

1 - 3

HT: 1-2

Ferencvárosi TCFerencváros

UEFA Europa League·Celtic Park

Comparison of analyst and AI predictions

Predicto AI

Incorrect

Celtic FC to win

@1.78

View Reasoning

Celtic FC's dominance in their recent matches, evidenced by a record of 17 wins, 1 draw, and only 2 losses, suggests a strong likelihood of victory against Ferencvárosi TC. Furthermore, their head-to-head record of 2 wins against Ferencvárosi TC in the last 3 encounters indicates they have the upper hand. Given these factors, betting on Celtic FC to win is a prudent choice.

Human Analyst

Correct

Over 2.5 goals

@1.57

View Reasoning

Celtic FC's impressive record of 43 goals scored over 20 matches, coupled with a 75% rate for Over 2.5 goals, strongly supports the prediction that this match will see more than 2.5 goals. Additionally, their 65% BTTS (Both Teams to Score) rate indicates that Ferencvárosi TC could also contribute to the scoreline. Given these statistics, an Over 2.5 goals bet appears to be a solid choice.

Split call — see both takes above

Head-to-Head & Form

Celtic wins

Draws

Ferencvarosi TC wins

Recent meetings

04 Nov 2021Ferencvarosi TC

2–3

Celtic

19 Oct 2021Celtic

2–0

Ferencvarosi TC

26 Aug 2020Celtic

1–2

Ferencvarosi TC

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Bayer Leverkusen	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Beşiktaş	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Bournemouth	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Omonia Nicosia	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Ferencvarosi TC	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Lyon	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Sunderland	2	2	0	0	+2	6
10	Olympiakos Piraeus	2	2	0	0	+2	6
11	Sparta Praha	2	1	1	0	+3	4
12	Union St. Gilloise	2	1	1	0	+3	4
13	Rennes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
14	Dinamo Zagreb	2	1	1	0	+1	4
15	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	+3	3
16	AC Milan	2	1	0	1	+2	3
17	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
18	OFI	2	1	0	1	+1	3
19	Torreense	2	1	0	1	0	3
20	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	0	3
21	Red Bull Salzburg	2	1	0	1	-3	3
22	Real Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-1	1
23	Lillestrom	2	0	1	1	-1	1
24	Levski Sofia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
25	Hapoel Beer Sheva	2	0	1	1	-1	1
26	Sturm Graz	2	0	1	1	-3	1
27	NEC Nijmegen	2	0	1	1	-5	1
28	Celta Vigo	2	0	0	2	-2	0
29	Anderlecht	2	0	0	2	-2	0
30	1899 Hoffenheim	2	0	0	2	-3	0
31	Plzen	2	0	0	2	-4	0
32	Marseille	2	0	0	2	-4	0
33	Celtic	2	0	0	2	-5	0
34	Ararat-Armenia	2	0	0	2	-5	0
35	Celje	2	0	0	2	-5	0
36	Lech Poznan	2	0	0	2	-8	0

Overview

Celtic face Ferencvarosi TC in a crucial cup tie, both teams yet to open their account in the competition standings (Celtic #9, Ferencvarosi #11). Last season baseline indicates Celtic struggled defensively (1.9 goals conceded per game) but scored 1.5 per game over 10 matches. Ferencvarosi showed more balance, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.4 over 12 games. The historical head-to-head is tight, with Celtic edging 3-2 and 2-0 wins in 2021 but losing 1-2 at home in 2020.

Form & xG

Season data is scarce, so we lean heavily on last season's baseline. Celtic’s defensive frailty last season (1.9 conceded per game) contrasts with Ferencvarosi’s more balanced 1.4 goals conceded. Offensively, Celtic managed slightly better with 1.5 goals per game, supported by key creators like Nygren (2.39 shots/90, 1.29 on target). Ferencvarosi’s Gómez has an efficient per-90 rate (1 shot, 1 OT). Both teams have failed to keep many clean sheets (Celtic 1, Ferencvarosi 3), suggesting potential for goals on both sides.

Team News & Key Players

Celtic’s standout last season was B. Nygren with 4 goals and 4 assists in 490 minutes, averaging 2.39 shots and 3.67 key passes per 90. Arne Engels also contributed 2 assists with 3.47 key passes per 90. Defensively, Carter-Vickers (rating 7.3) and Trusty provide tackles around 1.1 per 90. Ferencvarosi’s M. Gómez, despite limited minutes, scored 1 goal with 1 shot on target per 90, while Cadu offers creativity with 2 key passes and 1 assist per appearance.

Stats & Betting Angles

The last three H2H fixtures averaged 3.3 goals per game with BTTS in two matches (2-3, 1-2). Celtic’s 1.9 average goals conceded last season and Ferencvarosi’s 1.4 scored per game suggest a high likelihood of BTTS. The attacking output of Nygren and Gómez supports over 2.5 goals. Both teams have low clean sheet rates (Celtic 10%, Ferencvarosi 25%), increasing chances of goals. Cards and corners data are limited, but the tactical styles suggest an open, attacking game.

Verdict

Expect a competitive, goal-filled encounter with both sides scoring. Celtic’s attacking edge (Nygren’s 2.39 shots/90) and Ferencvarosi’s balanced threat (Gómez’s goal efficiency) align with the recent H2H trend of 2+ goals per side. Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides increase the chances for BTTS and over 2.5 goals. A 2-1 win for Celtic fits the profile, respecting their slightly superior attacking baseline and home advantage.

Martin Anderson

Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across European football markets. See the public track record.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does recent form influence the expected outcome given the lack of data this season?

With no current season data, we rely on last season's baseline: Celtic had 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses in 10 games, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.9 per game. Ferencvarosi was better balanced with 6 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses in 12 games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.4. This suggests Celtic's defense remains a concern while Ferencvarosi is more stable, influencing a closely contested match.

What does the xG and shooting data suggest about the attacking strengths of both teams?

Nygren leads Celtic offensively with 2.39 shots and 1.29 on target per 90, supported by Engels’ 0.66 shots and 3.47 key passes per 90. Ferencvarosi’s Gómez shows efficiency with 1 shot and 1 on target per 90. Celtic’s 1.5 goals per game versus Ferencvarosi’s 1.4 indicate both can create chances, with Celtic slightly more prolific, suggesting a match with goal opportunities for both.

Which key players are likely to impact the match and how do their per-90 stats support this?

For Celtic, Nygren’s 4 goals and 4 assists in 490 minutes with 2.39 shots and 3.67 key passes per 90 underline his attacking importance. Engels adds creativity with 2 assists and 3.47 key passes. For Ferencvarosi, Gómez’s 1 goal in limited minutes and 1 shot on target per 90 signals a goal threat. Cadu’s 2 key passes and 1 assist per appearance provide additional creative options.

How do defensive records influence the likelihood of both teams scoring?

Celtic conceded 1.9 goals per game last season with only 1 clean sheet in 10 matches, indicating defensive vulnerability. Ferencvarosi conceded 1.4 per game with 3 clean sheets in 12 matches, showing more defensive stability but still prone to goals. Combined with attacking stats, this increases the probability of both teams scoring (BTTS), supported by two of the last three H2H matches featuring goals from both sides.

Why is over 2.5 goals a sensible prediction for this match?

The last three head-to-heads averaged 3.3 goals per game, with scores like 3-2 and 2-1. Celtic’s 1.9 goals conceded and Ferencvarosi’s 1.4 scored per game last season, combined with key attackers Nygren (2.39 shots/90) and Gómez (1 shot/90), indicate an open game. Both teams’ low clean sheet percentages (Celtic 10%, Ferencvarosi 25%) further support the likelihood of over 2.5 goals.

What does the head-to-head history reveal about the competitive balance between these teams?

Recent H2H matches show a competitive balance: Celtic won 3-2 and 2-0 in 2021, but Ferencvarosi won 2-1 at Celtic’s home in 2020. These results suggest neither side dominates consistently, with matches averaging 3.3 goals and frequent BTTS. This parity supports a close match with multiple goals expected from both teams.

Is there betting value in backing Celtic to win 2-1, considering the stats?

Backing a 2-1 Celtic win aligns with their slight attacking edge (1.5 goals per game vs Ferencvarosi's 1.4) and home advantage. The match’s average 3.3 goals and prior results (3-2, 2-0) support this scoreline. Defensive frailties on both sides increase goal chances, making 2-1 a realistic, value-driven prediction combining BTTS and Over 2.5 goals.