Bologna VS Torino Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds (Sep 19, 2026)

Bologna FC 1909Bologna

1 - 1

HT: 1-0

Torino FCTorino

Serie A

Comparison of analyst and AI predictions

Predicto AI

Incorrect

Torino FC to win

@4.48

View Reasoning

Torino FC to win is a justified prediction based on their current form and superior stats compared to Bologna FC 1909. Torino has a better win rate at 40% compared to Bologna's 30%, and they have a balanced goal tally of 24GF/24GA, indicating solid overall performance. Additionally, Torino's recent head-to-head results, with 2 wins against Bologna's 5, suggest they can compete effectively against them.

Human Analyst

Correct

Both Teams to Score

@1.92

View Reasoning

Both Teams to Score is a strong prediction given the statistics of Bologna FC 1909 and Torino FC. Bologna has a 40% BTTS rate while Torino shows a higher 55% rate, indicating a likelihood of both sides finding the back of the net. Additionally, their head-to-head record suggests a competitive nature with 19 goals scored in their last 10 encounters, reinforcing the expectation for goals from both teams.

Split call — see both takes above

Key Stats

Bolognaper gameTorino

1.6

xG for

0.8

xG against

1.9

59.7

Possession %

Shots

8.3

Bologna — last 5

DLL

Torino — last 5

WLL

Team Stats

Bolognaper gameTorino

1.6

xG for

0.8

xG against

1.9

59.7

Possession %

Shots

8.3

4.3

Shots on tgt

6.7

Corners

3.3

BTTS %

100

Over 2.5 %

100

Clean sheet %

Bologna — last 5

DLL

Torino — last 5

WLL

Last season

Team	W-D-L	GF/g	GA/g	CS
Bologna	16-8-14	1.3	1.2	12
Torino	12-9-17	1.2	1.7	12

Bologna performance

Total Matches

Form

6W4D10L

Avg Scored

1.05

per match

Avg Conceded

1.65

per match

Goals Scored21

Goals Conceded33

Clean Sheets4 (20%)

BTTS40%

Over 2.545%

Over 3.540%

Torino performance

Total Matches

Form

8W4D8L

Avg Scored

1.20

per match

Avg Conceded

1.20

per match

Goals Scored24

Goals Conceded24

Clean Sheets5 (25%)

BTTS55%

Over 2.550%

Over 3.520%

Expected Match Outcome

Bologna

1-1

(1.1 - 1.4 xG)

Torino

Bologna

Scores1.05/g

Concedes1.65/g

Torino

Scores1.20/g

Concedes1.20/g

Market Predictions

BTTS

48%

Over 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 2.5

53%

Predicto Power Ranking

This is a real-time strength score based on form, stats, and momentum — not just opinion.

Head-to-Head & Form

Bologna wins

Draws

Torino wins

Recent meetings

15 Feb 2026Torino

1–2

Bologna

29 Oct 2025Bologna

0–0

Torino

14 Feb 2025Bologna

3–2

Torino

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Inter	7	6	1	0	+12	19
2	Lazio	7	6	1	0	+10	19
3	AS Roma	7	5	2	0	+13	17
4	AC Milan	7	4	3	0	+7	15
5	Como	7	4	2	1	+5	14
6	Frosinone	7	4	1	2	+4	13
7	Cagliari	7	4	1	2	-1	13
8	Juventus	7	3	2	2	+1	11
9	Napoli	7	3	1	3	+3	10
10	Torino	7	3	1	3	+1	10
11	Atalanta	7	3	0	4	-1	9
12	Lecce	7	3	0	4	-3	9
13	Sassuolo	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	Monza	7	2	1	4	-2	7
15	Bologna	7	1	2	4	-4	5
16	Udinese	7	1	1	5	-7	4
17	Genoa	7	1	1	5	-8	4
18	Fiorentina	7	1	1	5	-9	4
19	Parma	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Venezia	7	1	0	6	-10	3

Overview

Bologna and Torino meet in a Serie A clash with Bologna sitting 16th with 1 point and Torino 13th with 3 points early in the season. Last season, Bologna finished 16th with 16W-8D-14L, scoring 1.3 goals and conceding 1.2 per game, while Torino ended 13th with 12W-9D-17L, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.7. Historically, Bologna have had the upper hand in this fixture with 4 wins in the last 7 meetings, including a recent 2-1 away win. Early season standings and historical context suggest a competitive but close match.

Form & xG

This season's small sample shows Bologna with a 0.67 goals per game scored and 1.33 conceded, supported by an xG of 1.57 for and 0.8 against, indicating underperformance defensively. Possession is strong at 59.7% with 6.7 corners per game. Torino has scored 1.33 goals and conceded 1.67 per game, with an xG of 1.04 for and 1.89 against, showing defensive weakness. Torino’s BTTS rate is 100% this season, while Bologna’s is 33%, but last season both sides failed to score only 11 times each, suggesting goals from both sides are likely.

Team news & key players

Bologna key players include Jens Odgaard with 3 shots per 90 minutes and 1.2 key passes, and Lewis Ferguson with 2 key passes and 1 shot per 90. Defensively, Eivind Helland averages 3.5 tackles per 90. Torino’s attacking threat is led by Alieu Njie, averaging 3.6 shots and key passes per 90, and Gvidas Gineitis with an assist in his only appearance. Torino appears more reliant on Njie’s output, while Bologna shows more distributed attacking contributions.

Stats & betting angles

Bologna’s higher possession (59.7%) and corners (6.7 vs Torino’s 3.3) suggest control of play, but Torino’s sharper shooting per 90 (8.3 shots with 3 on target) and 100% BTTS rate indicates a likelihood of goals at both ends. Last season’s 12 clean sheets each contrast with early-season defensive lapses. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 100% of Torino’s matches this season, but only 33% for Bologna, suggesting a moderately high-scoring match with both teams scoring.

Verdict

Considering the last season baseline, current form, and key player stats, a narrow Bologna win is expected, with goals from both sides. Bologna’s possession and chance creation advantage contrasts with Torino’s attacking threat and defensive vulnerabilities. The match is likely to see over 2.5 goals with BTTS, and a 2-1 final scoreline fits the profile well, reflecting the recent 2-1 win in February and the goalscoring patterns seen this season and historically.

Martin Anderson

Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across European football markets. See the public track record.

Frequently Asked Questions

How has the recent form of Bologna and Torino influenced expectations for this match?

Bologna's recent form is DLL with 0.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game, underperforming their xG of 1.57 and conceding fewer than expected (0.8 xGA). Torino's form is WLL with 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded, worse than their xG of 1.04 and xGA of 1.89. Bologna's possession advantage (59.7%) and higher corners (6.7) contrast with Torino’s 52% possession and 3.3 corners, indicating Bologna might control play despite defensive lapses.

What do the xG statistics suggest about the attacking and defensive capabilities of both teams?

Bologna’s xG of 1.57 is higher than their actual 0.67 goals scored, implying underperformance in attack, while their xGA of 0.8 versus 1.33 conceded suggests defensive lapses. Torino’s xG of 1.04 compared to 1.33 goals scored shows slight overperformance, but an xGA of 1.89 versus 1.67 conceded indicates some defensive improvement. These stats suggest Bologna creates better chances but concedes more than expected, while Torino struggles defensively but can capitalize on fewer chances.

Who are the key attacking players and what are their per-90 contributions?

Bologna’s Jens Odgaard averages 3 shots and 1.2 key passes per 90 minutes, making him their primary offensive threat, supported by Lewis Ferguson’s 1 shot and 2 key passes per 90. Torino relies heavily on Alieu Njie, who delivers 3.6 shots and 3.6 key passes per 90, showing high involvement. Gvidas Gineitis contributed 1 assist in 90 minutes, indicating creative potential. These stats highlight Njie and Odgaard as pivotal attackers.

What defensive weaknesses could influence the likelihood of BTTS in this game?

Both teams conceded more goals than their xGA this season so far: Bologna conceded 1.33 vs 0.8 xGA, Torino 1.67 vs 1.89 xGA but with a high xGA indicating defensive vulnerability. Torino's 100% BTTS rate this season and Bologna’s 33%, with both sides recording 12 clean sheets last season, suggest defenses are currently leaky. This supports a high probability of both teams scoring.

Why does the over/under 2.5 goals market lean towards over in this fixture?

Torino’s matches this season have seen 100% over 2.5 goals, while Bologna’s only 33%, but considering Bologna’s xG of 1.57 and Torino’s 1.04, combined with defensive frailties (Bologna conceding 1.33 goals, Torino 1.67), the match is poised for multiple goals. Historical matches like the 2-1 and 3-2 scorelines support a trend of at least three goals, favoring the over 2.5 market.

What does the head-to-head history suggest about likely outcomes and scorelines?

In the last 7 meetings, Bologna won 4 times including recent 2-1 (Feb 2026) and 3-2 (Feb 2025) victories, with two 0-0 draws and a 1-0 Torino win. The prevalence of close, goal-scoring games (2-1, 3-2) and some goalless draws suggests a competitive fixture with a slight edge to Bologna, favoring a narrow win and BTTS.

Is there a betting value angle in backing Bologna to win 2-1 with BTTS and over 2.5 goals?

Given Bologna’s higher xG (1.57) and possession dominance (59.7%), combined with Torino’s defensive frailties and 100% BTTS and over 2.5 this season, a 2-1 scoreline offers value reflecting recent close, high-scoring H2H results. The low clean sheet rates (0% both this season) and historical data support goals at both ends, making the 2-1 correct score, BTTS yes, and over 2.5 a well-founded bet.