Bologna VS Inter Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds (Oct 17, 2026)

Bologna FC 1909Bologna

1 - 3

HT: 1-1

FC Internazionale MilanoInter

Serie A

Comparison of analyst and AI predictions

Predicto AI

Correct

Both Teams to Score

@1.67

View Reasoning

Both Teams to Score is a strong bet given that FC Internazionale Milano has a 65% BTTS rate and Bologna has a 40% rate, indicating both teams are capable of finding the back of the net. The recent head-to-head record, where both teams scored in 6 out of the last 10 encounters, supports this prediction. With Bologna's defensive struggles and Inter's attacking prowess, both teams scoring seems likely.

Human Analyst

Correct

Over 2.5 goals

@1.68

View Reasoning

Bologna FC 1909 has shown a tendency to concede goals, with a goals against record of 33, contributing to their 40% Over 2.5 goals rate. FC Internazionale Milano, with 44 goals scored and a 60% rate for Over 2.5 goals, suggests a strong attacking presence that can exploit Bologna's defensive weaknesses. Given the recent head-to-head matches with an average of 3.3 goals per game, betting on Over 2.5 goals seems promising.

Split call — see both takes above

Key Stats

Bolognaper gameInter

1.1

xG for

2.8

xG against

1.4

52.2

Possession %

13.4

Shots

23.2

Bologna — last 5

DLDLL

Inter — last 5

DWLWW

Team Stats

Bolognaper gameInter

1.1

xG for

2.8

xG against

1.4

52.2

Possession %

13.4

Shots

23.2

3.2

Shots on tgt

7.4

4.2

Corners

6.2

BTTS %

Over 2.5 %

Clean sheet %

Bologna — last 5

DLDLL

Inter — last 5

DWLWW

Last season

Team	W-D-L	GF/g	GA/g	CS
Bologna	16-8-14	1.3	1.2	12
Inter	27-6-5	2.3	0.9	18

Bologna performance

Total Matches

Form

6W5D9L

Avg Scored

1.05

per match

Avg Conceded

1.55

per match

Goals Scored21

Goals Conceded31

Clean Sheets4 (20%)

BTTS40%

Over 2.540%

Over 3.535%

Inter performance

Total Matches

Form

12W6D2L

Avg Scored

2.20

per match

Avg Conceded

1.20

per match

Goals Scored44

Goals Conceded24

Clean Sheets7 (35%)

BTTS65%

Over 2.560%

Over 3.535%

Expected Match Outcome

Bologna

1-2

(1.1 - 1.9 xG)

Inter

Bologna

Scores1.05/g

Concedes1.55/g

Inter

Scores2.20/g

Concedes1.20/g

Market Predictions

BTTS

53%

Over 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

35%

Under 2.5

50%

Predicto Power Ranking

This is a real-time strength score based on form, stats, and momentum — not just opinion.

Head-to-Head & Form

Bologna wins

Draws

Inter wins

Recent meetings

23 May 2026Bologna

3–3

Inter

04 Jan 2026Inter

3–1

Bologna

19 Dec 2025Bologna

1–1

Inter

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lazio	10	9	1	0	+16	28
2	Inter	10	8	1	1	+13	25
3	AS Roma	10	7	3	0	+18	24
4	Como	10	7	2	1	+10	23
5	AC Milan	10	6	3	1	+9	21
6	Frosinone	10	6	2	2	+10	20
7	Juventus	10	5	2	3	+3	17
8	Napoli	10	4	2	4	+4	14
9	Bologna	10	4	2	4	+1	14
10	Torino	10	4	1	5	-2	13
11	Genoa	10	4	1	5	-4	13
12	Cagliari	10	4	1	5	-6	13
13	Atalanta	10	3	2	5	-4	11
14	Lecce	10	3	0	7	-10	9
15	Parma	10	2	2	6	-7	8
16	Fiorentina	10	2	2	6	-8	8
17	Sassuolo	10	2	2	6	-10	8
18	Monza	10	2	1	7	-7	7
19	Udinese	10	1	2	7	-12	5
20	Venezia	10	1	0	9	-14	3

Overview

Bologna, currently 18th with just 2 points, face a tough test against second-placed Inter who have 13 points after 5 matches. Last season, Bologna scored 1.3 and conceded 1.2 per game, while Inter were much stronger with 2.3 goals scored and just 0.9 conceded per game. The historical H2H reveals high-scoring encounters, including a 3-3 draw in May 2026 and multiple matches featuring 3+ goals.

Form & xG

Bologna's current form is poor (DLDLL) with a low 1.11 xG for and 1.02 against, scoring 0.6 goals but conceding 1.2 per game. Inter show strong form (DWLWW) with 2.81 xG for and 1.35 against, scoring 3 goals per game. Inter’s possession dominance (63% vs Bologna’s 52.2%) and higher shots (23.2 vs 13.4) underline their attacking superiority this season and historically.

Team news & key players

Bologna rely on Federico Bernardeschi (2.27 shots/90, 1 goal, 7.3 rating) and Lewis Ferguson (2.21 tackles/90). Inter’s key threats include Nicolò Barella (1.49 shots/90, 3.22 key passes/90), Piotr Zieliński (1.27 shots/90), and Alessandro Bastoni (2.3 tackles/90). Inter’s defense is more solid with 18 clean sheets last season versus Bologna’s 12, though Inter have conceded 1.6 goals per game this season.

Stats & betting angles

Inter’s BTTS rate is 80% this season versus Bologna’s 40%. Over 2.5 goals hit 80% of Inter matches but only 20% for Bologna. Historically, their encounters often see BTTS and over 2.5 goals (e.g., 3-3, 3-1, 2-2). Inter’s superior xG (2.81 vs 1.11) and shots on target (7.4 vs 3.2) suggest value in backing Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes.

Verdict

Considering Bologna’s struggles and Inter’s attacking firepower, expect Inter to dominate but concede at least once, continuing their BTTS trend. A 2-1 scoreline fits the xG and shot profiles, with Inter scoring twice and Bologna managing one goal. Over 2.5 goals and BTTS Yes are strong bets based on last season’s baseline and early season form despite small sample sizes.

Martin Anderson

Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across European football markets. See the public track record.

Frequently Asked Questions

How has recent form influenced the expected outcome?

Bologna's poor recent form (DLDLL) with just 2 points contrasts sharply with Inter's strong run (DWLWW) and 13 points. Inter's 3 goals per game this season versus Bologna's 0.6 shows a clear attacking edge, supported by last season's baseline of Inter scoring 2.3 goals per match and Bologna 1.3. This form gap heavily favors Inter.

What does the xG profile suggest about the match?

Inter's xG of 2.81 per game versus Bologna's 1.11 indicates Inter create significantly better chances. Bologna's conceded xG of 1.02 is close to Inter's conceded 1.35, suggesting Bologna's defense is slightly better but their attack is weaker. This favors an Inter win with multiple goals scored.

Which key attacker is most likely to influence the match?

Nicolò Barella leads Inter with 1.49 shots/90 and 3.22 key passes/90, contributing 1 goal and 1 assist in 4 apps. Federico Bernardeschi is Bologna’s main threat with 2.27 shots/90 and 1 goal in 4 apps. Barella’s creative influence and shooting frequency suggest he will be pivotal in breaking down Bologna’s defense.

How vulnerable is each defense based on stats?

Bologna concedes 1.2 goals per game this season with an xG against of 1.02, while Inter concedes 1.6 goals with 1.35 xG against. Last season, Bologna kept 12 clean sheets, Inter 18. Bologna’s defense is more porous this season, but Inter’s higher conceded goals suggest both defenses are susceptible, supporting a BTTS occurrence.

Why is BTTS a strong possibility in this match?

Inter’s BTTS rate is 80%, Bologna’s only 40%, but historical matches between them show frequent BTTS (e.g., 3-3, 3-1, 2-2). Both teams have conceded over 1 goal per game this season. Inter’s attacking firepower combined with Bologna’s defensive struggles and scoring ability makes both teams finding the net very likely.

What supports the expectation of over 2.5 goals?

Inter averages 3 goals per game with 2.81 xG, hitting over 2.5 goals in 80% of matches this season. Bologna averages 0.6 goals but conceded 1.2, with low over 2.5 (20%). However, recent H2H encounters often exceed 2.5 goals (3-3, 3-1). Inter’s high shots on target (7.4) versus Bologna’s 3.2 also support an over 2.5 outcome.

How do head-to-head trends inform the prediction?

Recent H2H matches have been high-scoring and competitive: 3-3 (May 2026), 3-1 (Jan 2026), 2-2 (Jan 2025), indicating both teams can score and concede. The 6-1 Inter win in 2022 is an outlier but overall results suggest a tight but open match likely with multiple goals and BTTS.

Is there betting value in the suggested predictions?

With Inter’s high xG (2.81) and BTTS rate (80%), plus Bologna’s recent struggles and BTTS at 40%, the Over 2.5 & BTTS Yes combo aligns with historical trends and current stats. The 2-1 correct score offers a realistic margin and goal total. Given small season samples, relying on last season’s baseline increases confidence in these bets.