Roma VS Inter Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds (Sep 19, 2026)

AS RomaRoma

2 - 2

HT: 2-0

FC Internazionale MilanoInter

Serie A·Stadio Olimpico

Comparison of analyst and AI predictions

Predicto AI

Correct

Both Teams to Score

@1.53

View Reasoning

Both teams are likely to score in this matchup, given that AS Roma has a BTTS rate of 50% and FC Internazionale Milano boasts a strong 70%. The recent H2H history shows a tendency for goals, with Inter winning 8 out of the last 10 encounters, suggesting they can breach Roma's defense. Taking these factors into account, the estim.

Human Analyst

Correct

Over 2.5 goals

@1.67

View Reasoning

The match between AS Roma and FC Internazionale Milano is expected to see over 2.5 goals, as both teams exhibit strong attacking form, with AS Roma scoring 46 goals and Inter scoring 49 this season. With both teams having an over 2.5 goals rate of 65%, and considering their H2H history which has produced 28 goals over the last 10 encounters, this bet appears favorable. Given these stats, the estimated odds for over 2.5 goals are.

Split call — see both takes above

Key Stats

AS Romaper gameInter

3.1

xG for

2.9

0.6

xG against

1.4

Possession %

23.7

Shots

24.3

AS Roma — last 5

DWWW

Inter — last 5

LWWW

Team Stats

AS Romaper gameInter

3.1

xG for

2.9

0.6

xG against

1.4

Possession %

23.7

Shots

24.3

8.7

Shots on tgt

6.7

5.7

Corners

6.3

BTTS %

100

Over 2.5 %

Clean sheet %

AS Roma — last 5

DWWW

Inter — last 5

LWWW

Last season

Team	W-D-L	GF/g	GA/g	CS
AS Roma	23-4-11	1.6	0.8	18
Inter	27-6-5	2.3	0.9	18

Roma performance

Total Matches

Form

12W4D4L

Avg Scored

2.30

per match

Avg Conceded

1.35

per match

Goals Scored46

Goals Conceded27

Clean Sheets9 (45%)

BTTS50%

Over 2.565%

Over 3.550%

Inter performance

Total Matches

Form

14W5D1L

Avg Scored

2.45

per match

Avg Conceded

1.25

per match

Goals Scored49

Goals Conceded25

Clean Sheets6 (30%)

BTTS70%

Over 2.565%

Over 3.540%

Expected Match Outcome

Roma

2-2

(1.8 - 1.9 xG)

Inter

Roma

Scores2.30/g

Concedes1.35/g

Inter

Scores2.45/g

Concedes1.25/g

Market Predictions

BTTS

60%

Over 2.5

65%

Over 3.5

45%

Under 2.5

35%

Predicto Power Ranking

This is a real-time strength score based on form, stats, and momentum — not just opinion.

Head-to-Head & Form

AS Roma wins

Draws

Inter wins

Recent meetings

05 Apr 2026Inter

5–2

AS Roma

18 Oct 2025AS Roma

0–1

Inter

27 Apr 2025Inter

0–1

AS Roma

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Inter	7	6	1	0	+12	19
2	Lazio	7	6	1	0	+10	19
3	AS Roma	7	5	2	0	+13	17
4	AC Milan	7	4	3	0	+7	15
5	Como	7	4	2	1	+5	14
6	Frosinone	7	4	1	2	+4	13
7	Cagliari	7	4	1	2	-1	13
8	Juventus	7	3	2	2	+1	11
9	Napoli	7	3	1	3	+3	10
10	Torino	7	3	1	3	+1	10
11	Atalanta	7	3	0	4	-1	9
12	Lecce	7	3	0	4	-3	9
13	Sassuolo	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	Monza	7	2	1	4	-2	7
15	Bologna	7	1	2	4	-4	5
16	Udinese	7	1	1	5	-7	4
17	Genoa	7	1	1	5	-8	4
18	Fiorentina	7	1	1	5	-9	4
19	Parma	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Venezia	7	1	0	6	-10	3

Overview

AS Roma and Inter Milan face off with both teams level on 9 points, occupying first and second in the standings respectively. Roma leads with a solid defensive record conceding only 0.33 goals per game this season, while Inter has a slightly higher conceding rate at 1 goal per game. Historically, Inter dominated recent head-to-heads, winning 7 of the last 10 matches, including a 5-2 victory earlier this year, suggesting a competitive but edge-favoring Inter.

Form & xG

Roma's recent form is strong (DWWW) with a high xG of 3.13 per game, reflecting their 3.33 goals scored per match, while conceding only 0.6 xG. Inter’s form is LWWW with a slightly lower xG of 2.86 and conceding 1.38 xG per game. Roma's possession is 64% versus Inter’s 66%, indicating both teams control the ball well, but Roma shows better defensive solidity based on xG conceded.

Team News & Key Players

Roma's Paulo Dybala stands out with 3 assists and 3.31 shots per 90 minutes, a key creative force (3.87 key passes per 90). Inter’s Pio Esposito shows strong attacking threat with 1 goal, 1 assist and 3.48 shots per 90. Lautaro Martínez, despite 0 goals, has 4.38 shots per 90 but carries a yellow card risk. Defensively, Roma’s Mario Hermoso averages 4.39 tackles per 90, crucial for containing Inter’s attack.

Stats & Betting Angles

Roma has kept 67% clean sheets this season with just 0.33 goals conceded, contrasting Inter’s 33% clean sheets and 1 goal conceded per game. BTTS occurred in only 33% of Roma’s matches but 67% for Inter, indicating Inter’s attack is more prone to both teams scoring. Over 2.5 goals hit 100% in Roma’s games and 67% in Inter’s, supporting an expectation of a high-scoring encounter.

Verdict

Expect a tight but attacking match with Roma’s defensive resilience tested by Inter’s firepower. Given Roma’s lower xG conceded and strong recent form, they have a slight edge at home. However, Inter’s historical dominance and attacking stats suggest both teams will score. The predicted scoreline is 2-1 to Roma, supporting BTTS Yes and Over 2.5 goals. Roma’s home advantage and defensive discipline could be decisive.

Martin Anderson

Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across European football markets. See the public track record.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the recent form of AS Roma and Inter compare?

Roma's recent form is strong with DWWW in their last four games, scoring 3.33 goals per game and conceding 0.33, showing defensive solidity. Inter's form is LWWW with 2.67 goals scored and 1 conceded per game. Roma's xG (3.13) slightly surpasses Inter's (2.86), indicating Roma's better attacking efficiency recently.

What do the xG statistics reveal about the attacking and defensive qualities of both teams?

Roma has an xG of 3.13 for and 0.6 against per game, highlighting strong attack and tight defense. Inter's xG is 2.86 for and 1.38 against, showing good attack but more defensive vulnerabilities. The difference suggests Roma has a more balanced profile, especially defensively, based on a larger sample from last season and early this season.

Which key players are most likely to influence the outcome based on per-90 stats?

Paulo Dybala (Roma) averages 3.31 shots and 3.87 key passes per 90, with 3 assists already. Inter’s Pio Esposito shows 3.48 shots and 2.32 key passes per 90, plus 1 goal and 1 assist. Lautaro Martínez has 4.38 shots per 90 but carries 1 yellow card, indicating attacking threat but possible risk if booked. These players will shape attacking chances.

How do defensive performances and clean sheet rates compare between the two teams?

Roma boasts 67% clean sheets this season with only 0.33 goals conceded per game, reflecting strong defense. Inter has 33% clean sheets and concedes 1 goal per game on average. Last season both kept 18 clean sheets, but Roma's current form and xG against (0.6) show better defensive discipline in this early phase.

What is the rationale behind the BTTS (Both Teams To Score) prediction?

BTTS occurred in only 33% of Roma’s matches but in 67% of Inter’s this season. Inter’s higher xG against (1.38) and lower clean sheet rate (33%) suggest defensive vulnerabilities. Roma’s strong attack (3.13 xG) and Inter’s offensive players like Esposito and Lautaro support the expectation both teams will find the net.

Why is the over 2.5 goals prediction supported by the stats?

Roma’s matches have seen over 2.5 goals in 100% of cases this season, while Inter’s have 67%. Combined with high xG averages (Roma 3.13, Inter 2.86) and recent head-to-head results like the 5-2 win for Inter, there is a strong statistical basis for expecting a high-scoring game exceeding 2.5 goals.

How do recent head-to-head results influence the betting value for this match?

Inter has won 7 of the last 10 clashes, including a 5-2 win in April and several narrow 1-0 victories, showing they can break down Roma’s defense. However, Roma’s recent 1-0 win in April suggests they can upset. Given Roma’s current form and home advantage, betting on Roma 2-1 offers value against odds favoring Inter.