Auxerre VS Nice Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds (Sep 12, 2026)

AJ AuxerreAuxerre

18:45

Sat, Sep 12 2026

OGC NiceNice

Ligue 1·Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps

Comparison of analyst and AI predictions

Predicto AI

AJ Auxerre to win

@2.30

View Reasoning

AJ Auxerre has a slightly better recent form with a record of W5 D7 L8 compared to OGC Nice's W2 D10 L8. Additionally, the home advantage may play a crucial role, as they have historically performed well against Nice, winning 6 of their last 15 encounters. With a 30% clean sheet rate for Nice and Auxerre's scoring rate, a win for AJ Auxerre seems plausible.

Human Analyst

Both Teams to Score

@1.80

View Reasoning

Both teams have demonstrated a moderate ability to score, with AJ Auxerre's BTTS percentage at 50% and OGC Nice at 45%. Given their historical head-to-head record of 39 total goals over 15 matches, it's likely both will find the net in this encounter. The attacking capabilities, despite struggles, suggest that a BTTS bet is a strong option.

Split call — see both takes above

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Defensive Vulnerabilities

Both AJ Auxerre and OGC Nice have struggled defensively this season, with Auxerre conceding 28 goals and Nice 30 across their respective matches. Auxerre’s clean sheet rate stands at 30%, marginally higher than Nice’s 25%, but neither side demonstrates a resolute backline. This defensive frailty is key to understanding the likely openness of the game, especially given the goal-heavy nature of their encounters. With an over 2.5 goals occurrence at 55% for Auxerre and 40% for Nice, goals are a frequent feature here.

Scoring Trends and Offensive Output

Auxerre’s 24 goals scored so far reflect a moderately effective attack, while Nice’s 17 goals suggest more difficulty in breaking down opponents. Both teams average around half of their games with both teams scoring (50% for Auxerre, 45% for Nice), highlighting a tendency to find the net even if defensive lapses occur. Considering their combined goal output and their BTTS rates, expect at least one goal from each side, if not multiple strikes given their offensive vulnerabilities.

Head-to-Head Analysis

Their historical record is notably balanced: in 15 meetings, Auxerre and Nice have each secured 6 wins, with 3 draws, and a striking 39 goals scored in total. This averages nearly 2.6 goals per game, an indicator of open and competitive fixtures. Past encounters reinforce the likelihood of goals at both ends, making the ‘Both Teams to Score’ market an attractive option. The tight head-to-head also suggests this match could be closely contested.

Home Advantage and Recent Form

Auxerre’s home form and slightly better win ratio (5 wins compared to Nice’s 2) give them a tangible edge. Their 30% clean sheet rate at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps further bolsters their defensive credibility, albeit limited. Nice's 10 draws show resilience but also an inability to convert performances into wins. The combination of Auxerre’s home familiarity and a marginally stronger recent record implies they will push for a positive result.

Prediction Summary

Considering Auxerre’s superior win count and home edge alongside the balanced but goal-prone head-to-head history, backing Auxerre to win aligns with data-driven expectations. Simultaneously, both teams’ tendency to concede and score supports a ‘Both Teams to Score’ bet, especially with Auxerre’s 50% BTTS rate and Nice’s 45%. This dual-angle approach captures the nuances of defensive weaknesses and scoring patterns, providing a comprehensive betting strategy for the fixture.

Martin Anderson

Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across European football markets. See the public track record.

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Head-to-Head

Auxerre

Wins

🤝

Draws

Shared

Nice

Wins

Total Matches

Total Goals

Community Predictions

Pick what you think will happen, then cast your vote.

250

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Total Goals

Indicative only — not betting advice

Auxerre performance

Total Matches

Form

5W7D8L

Avg Scored

1.20

per match

Avg Conceded

1.40

per match

Goals Scored24

Goals Conceded28

Clean Sheets6 (30%)

BTTS50%

Over 2.555%

Over 3.540%

Nice performance

Total Matches

Form

2W10D8L

Avg Scored

0.85

per match

Avg Conceded

1.50

per match

Goals Scored17

Goals Conceded30

Clean Sheets5 (25%)

BTTS45%

Over 2.540%

Over 3.530%

Expected Match Outcome

Auxerre

1-1

(1.4 - 1.1 xG)

Nice

Auxerre

Scores1.20/g

Concedes1.40/g

Nice

Scores0.85/g

Concedes1.50/g

Market Predictions

BTTS

48%

Over 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

35%

Under 2.5

53%

Team form

Auxerre

Olympique Lyonnais

3 - 1

Angers SCO

1 - 3

Racing Club de Lens

5 - 2

Lille OSC

0 - 2

OGC Nice

2 - 1

Nice

Le Mans

1 - 1

Paris

3 - 0

Lorient

0 - 0

Metz

0 - 0

AJ Auxerre

2 - 1

Predicto Power Ranking

This is a real-time strength score based on form, stats, and momentum — not just opinion.

Frequently Asked Questions

What's your prediction for this match?

The prediction for AJ Auxerre vs OGC Nice leans towards a win for AJ Auxerre, supported by their slightly better form and home advantage. Auxerre has 5 wins compared to Nice's 2 this season, and their AI prediction favors Auxerre. The head-to-head record is balanced at 6 wins each, but Auxerre’s stronger goal-scoring record (24 goals) suggests a likely 2-1 victory. Both teams have a decent chance to score given their BTTS percentages, so expect an open game with goals from both sides.

Which team has better recent form?

AJ Auxerre currently holds a record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses with 24 goals scored and 28 conceded. OGC Nice has struggled more with 2 wins, 10 draws, and 8 losses, scoring only 17 goals while conceding 30. Auxerre also has a slightly better clean sheet rate at 30% versus Nice’s 25%. Both teams have similar tendencies for goals over 2.5, but Auxerre’s higher scoring and better defensive stats suggest they have been the more balanced side this season.

What are the best betting opportunities?

For AJ Auxerre vs OGC Nice, the best betting markets include Both Teams to Score (BTTS) given Auxerre’s 50% and Nice’s 45% BTTS rates. Over 2.5 goals is another attractive market, especially with Auxerre’s 55% rate, although Nice’s 40% suggests some caution. Clean sheet bets are less favorable since Auxerre and Nice have clean sheet percentages of 30% and 25%, respectively, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Therefore, BTTS and Over 2.5 goals markets offer the most data-supported value.

How do these teams match up historically?

The head-to-head record between AJ Auxerre and OGC Nice is perfectly balanced, with each team having 6 wins and 3 draws across 15 matches. These encounters have produced a total of 39 goals, averaging 2.6 goals per game. This balanced history indicates a competitive matchup where neither side dominates, reinforcing the expectation of a closely fought game with multiple goals.

What are the key tactical matchups?

Tactically, AJ Auxerre displays a more balanced approach with a higher goal-scoring rate (24 goals) but also concedes a fair number (28 goals). OGC Nice has struggled offensively with just 17 goals but concedes even more at 30, indicating defensive weaknesses. Auxerre’s slightly better clean sheet percentage (30% vs 25%) suggests a more organized defense. The matchup will likely see Auxerre pressing for goals while Nice may rely on counterattacks, making the battle between Auxerre’s attacking strength and Nice’s defensive fragility key.

Should I bet on the favorite or underdog?

The betting value in AJ Auxerre vs OGC Nice seems to lie with AJ Auxerre as the favorites, given their superior win record and home advantage. Despite a balanced head-to-head, Auxerre’s better goal stats and 30% clean sheet rate provide confidence for a win. Betting on Auxerre offers value especially combined with Both Teams to Score, reflecting the data-backed expectation of a competitive, goal-filled match.