TPS Turku vs Vaasan Sport - Liiga Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds (Nov 29, 2026)

TPS Turku

15:00

Sun, Nov 29 2026

Vaasan Sport

Liiga

AI vs Analyst Prediction

Predicto AI

TPS Turku +1.5

@1.11

Human Analyst

TPS Turku to win

@1.36

Both back TPS Turku—different markets

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Team Statistics

Turkuper gameSport

9-7-2 · 31 pts5-10-2 · 19 pts

47%

Win Rate

28%

Goal Diff

-20

2.8

Avg Goals For

1.8

2.5

Avg Goals Against

2.9

19 GPTotal Goals: 53 · 3318 GP

#	Team	GP	Wins	L	PTS	Form
8	TPS Turku	19	9	7	31
15	Vaasan Sport	18	5	10	19

Standings & Form

TPS Turku currently holds the 9th position in Liiga with 15 points gathered from 10 games, evidenced by a balanced 5W-5L-0OT record. Vaasan Sport sits lower at 14th place with 13 points from 11 games, showing a 3W-5L-2OT record. TPS’s slightly better points per game (1.5) compared to Vaasan’s (1.18) highlights their edge in consistency, while Vaasan’s two overtime losses indicate close games but an inability to close out tightly contested matches.

Goals For & Against

Analyzing scoring, TPS has found the net 26 times over 10 games, averaging 2.6 goals per match, while conceding 21 goals (2.1 GA per game). Vaasan Sport, conversely, has scored 20 goals in 11 outings (1.82 GPG) but allowed 31 goals against (2.82 GA per game). The defensive contrast is stark: TPS demonstrates a more reliable defensive structure, conceding nearly 0.7 fewer goals per game than Vaasan, which will be pivotal in this matchup.

Head-to-Head Record

Vaasan Sport holds the advantage historically with 7 wins in the last 10 meetings against TPS’s 3. However, recent encounters have been competitive, with TPS clinching a narrow 4-3 victory and a 3-2 result in two of the past five clashes. The most recent matchups reflect a tightening gap, but Vaasan’s ability to secure several decisive 3-0 and 4-1 wins here shouldn’t be overlooked.

Defensive Implications

TPS’s defense has been notably steadier throughout the season, reflected in their better goals against average and fewer losses overall. Vaasan’s porous defense has contributed to their lower league standing, with their 31 goals conceded ranking among the highest in the league. Defensive discipline and minimizing mistakes will be critical, especially since Vaasan’s penalty kill has faced challenges, making them vulnerable to teams like TPS who can capitalize efficiently on special teams.

Prediction Summary

Considering TPS’s superior league position, better defensive record, and recent improvements against Vaasan in head-to-head battles, the expert pick for a TPS win at 1.31 is well supported. The AI’s safer alternative, TPS +1.5 at 1.18, reflects the possibility of a close contest but with TPS maintaining control. Given Vaasan’s defensive struggles and lower scoring rate, TPS’s ability to control the game tempo and capitalize on chances makes them the clear favorite here.

Martin Anderson

Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across NHL, SHL, and Liiga markets. See the public track record.

Frequently Asked Questions

What's your prediction for this game?

The prediction for TPS Turku vs Vaasan Sport favors TPS Turku to win, supported by their better league standing at #9 with 15 points compared to Vaasan Sport's #14 position and 13 points. TPS Turku also boasts a positive goal differential (26 GF vs 21 GA) unlike Vaasan Sport's negative differential (20 GF vs 31 GA). Although Vaasan Sport leads the recent head-to-head with 7 wins out of 10, TPS Turku's recent close victories and home advantage make them the likely winners.

Which team has better recent form?

TPS Turku holds a 5W-5L-0OT record over 10 games with 15 points, placing them 9th in the Liiga standings. Vaasan Sport has a 3W-5L-2OT record in 11 games, earning 13 points and sitting 14th. TPS Turku's slightly better form and point accumulation indicate a more consistent performance, while Vaasan Sport's 2 overtime losses suggest competitiveness but less success in closing games.

What are the best betting opportunities?

Considering TPS Turku's 26 goals for and 21 against in 10 games, and Vaasan Sport's 20 goals for and 31 against in 11 games, betting markets focusing on total goals could be promising. Historical head-to-head matches have seen varied scoring, with recent games ranging from low to moderate scores (1-0 up to 4-3). Markets such as 'TPS Turku to win' and 'TPS Turku +1.5 puck line' offer value given the data and expert picks.

How do these teams match up historically?

The head-to-head record between TPS Turku and Vaasan Sport over the last 10 games favors Vaasan Sport with 7 wins to TPS Turku's 3. Recent results include close matches such as 4-3, 1-0, and 3-2 wins for TPS Turku, but Vaasan Sport has also secured dominant victories like 4-1 and a 3-0 shutout. This shows competitive balance but a slight historical edge for Vaasan Sport.

What are the key line matchups?

Key matchups in TPS Turku vs Vaasan Sport center on TPS's stronger offense, scoring 2.6 goals per game, against Vaasan Sport's weaker defense allowing 2.8 goals per game. Vaasan Sport's offense is less potent with 1.8 goals per game, while TPS Turku concedes fewer goals. TPS's more consistent form and home ice advantage may help them exploit Vaasan Sport's defensive vulnerabilities.

Should I bet on the favorite or underdog?

The best betting value lies in taking TPS Turku on the +1.5 puck line at odds of 1.18, offering a safety net with their superior form and home advantage. Given the moderate scoring trends and Vaasan Sport's defensive struggles, betting on total goals over a moderate threshold could also yield value. The expert pick for a straight TPS Turku win at 1.31 is solid but less lucrative compared to puck line options.