Rögle vs Timrå - SHL Prediction & Betting Tips - AI Analysis & Odds (Nov 21, 2026)

Rögle

14:15

Sat, Nov 21 2026

Timrå

SHL

AI vs Analyst Prediction

Predicto AI

Rögle +1.5

@1.28

View Reasoning

Rögle has a solid record of 6 wins and only 6 losses, indicating their competitive strength in the league. With 37 goals for and only 33 against, they have shown a better overall performance compared to Timrå, who has 4 wins and 6 losses. This makes Rögle a strong candidate to cover the puck line of +1.5.

Human Analyst

Rögle to win

@1.75

View Reasoning

Rögle's current form with 6 wins in their last 12 games shows they are capable of competing effectively, while Timrå's 4 wins indicate struggles. With 22 points and a goal differential of +4, Rögle is positioned well to secure a victory against Timrå, who sits lower in the standings with only 18 points. This makes the moneyline bet on Rögle a favorable option.

Both back Rögle—different markets

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Team Statistics

Rögleper gameTimrå

6-6 · 22 pts4-6 · 18 pts

43%

Win Rate

31%

Goal Diff

-3

2.6

Avg Goals For

1.9

2.4

Avg Goals Against

2.2

14 GPTotal Goals: 37 · 2513 GP

#	Team	GP	Wins	L	PTS	Form
5	Rögle	14	6	6	22
8	Timrå	13	4	6	18

Standings & Form

Rögle currently sits 5th in the SHL standings with 22 points from 14 games, compiling a 6-6-0 record. Timrå, on the other hand, are positioned 8th with 18 points in 13 games, holding a 4-6-0 record. Rögle’s slightly better point accumulation and additional game played reflect a more consistent ability to secure results, especially in regulation time. Both teams have yet to register any overtime results, suggesting a tendency for decisive outcomes in their recent matches.

Goals For & Against

Offensively, Rögle has been more productive with 37 goals scored in 14 games, averaging approximately 2.64 goals per game. Timrå trails with 25 goals in 13 games, averaging 1.92 goals per game. Defensively, Rögle has conceded 33 goals, giving them a goal differential of +4, while Timrå’s defense has allowed 28 goals, placing them at a -3 differential. These stats indicate that Rögle’s offensive efficiency and marginally leaky defense should pose a significant challenge to Timrå’s lower scoring output.

Head-to-Head Record

Examining their last ten meetings, Rögle holds a 6-4 advantage over Timrå, demonstrating a subtle edge in this matchup. Recent games reinforce this trend, with Rögle outscoring Timrå decisively in three of the last five contests, including a 5-1 and 5-2 result. The more recent 3-2 outcomes suggest tighter defensive battles but still favor Rögle’s ability to secure narrow wins.

Defensive Analysis

Rögle’s defensive structure has allowed them to maintain a positive goal differential, conceding 33 goals in 14 matches, approximately 2.36 goals per game. Timrå, conceding 28 goals in 13 games, are slightly better in goals against per game (2.15), but their lower offensive output limits their ability to capitalize on defensive solidity. Rögle’s capacity to balance defense with effective scoring presents a more complete team dynamic compared to Timrå’s more defensive-oriented but less potent attack.

Prediction Summary

Considering Rögle’s superior position in the standings, higher goal-scoring rate, and favorable head-to-head record, the expert pick of Rögle to win at 1.75 is well justified. The AI’s recommendation of Rögle +1.5 at 1.28 offers a safer alternative with a cushion against narrow losses. Given the statistical advantage in offensive production and consistent results, betting on Rögle to secure the win or at least cover the spread aligns with the data-driven analysis.

Martin Anderson

Human analyst

Professional betting analyst with 10+ years of experience in sports data analytics and statistics. Featured on The Athletic, 433, and ESPN. Currently maintaining a 70% win rate this season across NHL, SHL, and Liiga markets. See the public track record.

Frequently Asked Questions

What's your prediction for this game?

The prediction for Rögle vs Timrå favors Rögle to win, as they currently sit 5th in the SHL standings with a 6W-6L record and a positive goal differential (37 GF, 33 GA) in 14 games. Timrå holds 8th place with a 4W-6L record and a negative goal differential (25 GF, 28 GA) in 13 games. Historically, Rögle leads the head-to-head with 6 wins in the last 10 encounters, including recent convincing victories like 5-1 and 5-2. This data supports the expert pick of Rögle winning at 1.75 odds.

Which team has better recent form?

Rögle's current form stands at 6 wins and 6 losses with no overtime results, accumulating 22 points and ranking 5th in the SHL. Timrå has a slightly weaker form with 4 wins and 6 losses, no OT games, 18 points, and sits 8th. Rögle has scored 37 goals and conceded 33 in 14 games, while Timrå has 25 goals for and 28 against in 13 games, indicating more offensive productivity and slightly weaker defense for Rögle compared to Timrå this season.

What are the best betting opportunities?

The best betting markets for Rögle vs Timrå include the moneyline favoring Rögle at 1.75 and the puck line with Rögle +1.5 at 1.28 odds. Considering Rögle averages 2.64 goals per game (37 GF/14 GP) and Timrå 1.92 (25 GF/13 GP), markets on total goals over 5 may be attractive given their combined scoring potential and past high-scoring H2H games, such as 5-1 and 5-2 results. Bettors should also consider the defensive vulnerabilities reflected in goals against, with Rögle conceding slightly more (33 GA) than Timrå (28 GA).

How do these teams match up historically?

The head-to-head record between Rögle and Timrå in the last 10 games shows Rögle with 6 wins and Timrå with 4. Rögle has dominated at home with 6 victories, including recent scores like 4-5, 5-1, 5-2, 3-2, and 3-2. This close competitive history suggests a fairly balanced rivalry, but Rögle's recent strong wins highlight their advantage in this matchup.

What are the key line matchups?

Key matchups in Rögle vs Timrå center on Rögle's stronger offense and slightly weaker defense compared to Timrå. Rögle averages 2.64 goals per game but concedes 2.36, while Timrå scores 1.92 and allows 2.15. Rögle's recent form and home advantage give them an edge in this contest. Timrå will need to tighten their defense against Rögle's prolific attack to stay competitive.

Should I bet on the favorite or underdog?

Betting value lies in taking Rögle on the puck line at +1.5 with odds of 1.28, offering a safer bet given their offensive firepower and home advantage. The expert pick of Rögle to win at 1.75 also holds good value considering their superior form and head-to-head success. Additionally, a wager on total goals over 5 could yield value based on the combined scoring averages and recent high-scoring matches between these teams.